Sat, Sep 3 2022
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Vanderbilt Stadium
Nashville, TN
·
Turf
·
40,350 cap
Elon✈ 407 mi-1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
Vanderbilt wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
Vanderbilt -18.5
O/U 51.5
consensus
Elon 2022 Schedule
Elon's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | Elon at Vanderbilt | +18.5L31–42 | 51.5 | L31–42 | O | Y |
Vanderbilt 2022 Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/27 | Vanderbilt at Hawai'i | -9.5W63–10 | 54.5 | W63–10 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/3 | Vanderbilt vs Elon | -18.5W42–31 | 51.5 | W42–31 | O | N |
| Sat 9/10 | Vanderbilt vs Wake Forest | +13.5L25–45 | 65.5 | L25–45 | O | N |
| Sat 9/17 | Vanderbilt at Northern Illinois | +2.5W38–28 | 58.5 | W38–28 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/24 | Vanderbilt at Alabama | +40.5L3–55 | 61.0 | L3–55 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/8 | Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss | +17.0L28–52 | 59.5 | L28–52 | O | N |
| Sat 10/15 | Vanderbilt at Georgia | +37.5L0–55 | 56.5 | L0–55 | U | N |
| Sat 10/22 | Vanderbilt at Missouri | +14.0L14–17 | 49.0 | L14–17 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/5 | Vanderbilt vs South Carolina | +6.5L27–38 | 49.0 | L27–38 | O | N |
| Sat 11/12 | Vanderbilt at Kentucky | +17.0W24–21 | 45.5 | W24–21 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/19 | Vanderbilt vs Florida | +14.0W31–24 | 58.0 | W31–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/26 | Vanderbilt vs Tennessee | +14.0L0–56 | 63.5 | L0–56 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Elon Edge
Elon +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Vanderbilt Edge
Vanderbilt +15.1
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓