Stony Brook at Ball State - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Stony Brook Seawolves at Ball State Cardinals

Ball State logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Scheumann Stadium - Muncie, IN

 
Seawolves (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 42 (0 - 42 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -21  (SP+ BALL -25)
STON Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (24 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.6 - 9.4 (#111)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
Stony Brook's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/12Stony Brook at Ball State-21————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stony Brook's Schedule
Ball State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Ball State at Ohio State+39————
Sat 9/12Ball State vs Stony Brook-0————
Sat 9/19Ball State at Liberty+21.5————
Sat 9/26Ball State at Kent State+7.5————
Sat 10/3Ball State vs Toledo+15————
Sat 10/10Ball State at Northwestern+28————
Sat 10/17Ball State at Bowling Green+14.5————
Sat 10/24Ball State vs Sacramento State+3.5————
— Bye Week —
Wed 11/4Ball State at Massachusetts-3.5————
Wed 11/11Ball State vs Buffalo+9.5————
Tue 11/17Ball State at Ohio+14————
Sat 11/28Ball State vs Central Michigan+12.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STON0%00%000%000%420%0%0000
BALL#134 (-)33% (136)15.834% (133)2.52 (130)13431% (133)1382.71 (132)#79 (.18)44% (106)29.847% (112)44% (97)3.57 (59)38.81.31.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STON0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STON Offense1000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
BALL Defense1229.821.644.5%3.571.1 - - - - - 52%46%47%44%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STON Defense142420%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
BALL Offense1215.824.432.7%2.711.3152721341383.555%42%34%31%21%-

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stony Brook10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Ball State1229:4414.734%53%4.738.81.31.14.61.8127.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STON Offense10%0%000000%0%0
BALL Defense1252% (99)47% (112) - - - - .16 (98)2.97 (83)63% (17)9% (99)1.03 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STON Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
BALL Offense1255% (28)34% (133)37.8133.73.511 (88).03 (111)2.52 (130)58% (133)16% (136)1.09 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STON Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
BALL Defense1246% (39)44% (97) - - - - - - 9 (100).3 (93)1.6 (72)30% (101)32% (101).33 (89)5% (90)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STON Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
BALL Offense1242% (112)31% (133)1323.1138610.611 (114)8 (20)-.03 (136)1.6 (64)36% (132)22% (133).06 (130)5% (42)1.9 (89)

Stony Brook's Power Ratings
Stony Brook's Power Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Offense Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stony Brook's 2026 Expected Record: -
Stony Brook's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28

Power Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook:    Ball State: -20.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook:    Ball State: -25.2




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -20.93  #137
Ball State's Offense Rating: 5.92  #132
Ball State's Defense Rating: 27.58  #136
2026 Talent Rating: 462.00  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #104
Ball State's 2026 Expected Record: 2.6 - 9.4
Ball State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.2  #134
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.2  #136
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #128

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 467.85
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28


Stony Brook Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Stony Brook's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ball State 31
Stony Brook 13

Projected Total Points: 44
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.4
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Ball State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State000 Overs
Stony Brook000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) STON at (#137) BALL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSTONBALL
Game ControlGC #140 #135
Momentum ControlMCNR #74
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #137
SP+SP+NR #134
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #109
Blue ChipsBC%NR #104
Ball State Notes
(3/4) Vibes: If this team wins 2 games I'll be shocked
(3/4) QB Luster (Tx St) taken 6 snaps, most exp'd QB
(3/4) RB Horton has some exp, rough unit on paper
(3/4) WR 2 exp'd starters (meh), 4 portal adds
(3/4) OL looks OK, 4 very exp'd starters, tons of bodies
(3/4) Def 13 portals need to help, esp 4 on a rough DL
(3/4) This is the worst Def on paper I've seen this year
Ball State Injury Report
Stony Brook on Offense
CategoryCat
STON OffBALL Def
Game ControlGC #139 #133
Momentum ControlMCNR #38
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #106
ExplosiveExpNR #70
PPAPPANR #79
PowerPwrNR #136
SP+SP+NR #128
Pts POPPONR #59
HavocHavNR #105
Stony Brook Run Game
CategoryCat
STON OffBALL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #112
Run ExplRExpNR #100
PPAExpNR #98
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #83
Stuff RateStuffNR #41
TackleTak - NR
Stony Brook Pass Game
CategoryCat
STON OffBALL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #97
Pass ExplPExlNR #72
PPAExpNR #93
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #99
DB HavocDBNR #90
Ball State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatBALL OffSTON Def
Game ControlGC #135 #140
Momentum ControlMC #127NR
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #136NR
ExplosiveExp #38NR
PPAPPA #134NR
PowerPwr #132NR
SP+SP+ #136NR
Pts POPPO #132NR
HavocHav #135NR
Ball State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffSTON Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #133NR
Run ExplRExp #23NR
PPAExp #111NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #130NR
Stuff RateStuff #123NR
TackleTak - NR
Ball State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatBALL OffSTON Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #133NR
Pass ExplPExl #64NR
PPAExp #136NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #136NR
DB HavocDB #42NR
Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

STON 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
STON's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ikaika Ragsdale6222103.613
Jeremiah Coney (Tr)84705.921
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ikaika Ragsdale127005.824
Jeremiah Coney (Tr)31505.09

View Stony Brook's Full Roster

STON's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BALL's OC Mike Uremovich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keldric Luster (Tr)1333%14004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Horton6018003.013
Jalen Bonds277712.915
Johnny Thompson Jr. (Tr)197503.99
Elijah Jackson81702.17
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Nelson (Tr)22393317.975
Donovan Hamilton20244012.247
Jabari Smith15166311.137
TJ Horton157114.719

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Jeff Knowles (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willizhuan Yates320006
Tobi Adewoyin140000
Ameir Glenn133100
Deondre Shepherd131000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Gracio (Tr)42121
Ameir Glenn133100
Jared Badie (Tr)82140
Ben Marsh72100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willizhuan Yates320006
Maverick Gracio (Tr)42121
Ameir Glenn133100