Oklahoma State at Arizona State - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Oklahoma State Cowboys at Arizona State Sun Devils

Arizona State logo
Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ  (Big 12)

 
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (10 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#68)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
ASU is playing their 8th straight game
OKST is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -3  (SP+ OKST -1)

Projected Score: OKST: 23 - ASU: 26 (49)
ASU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
OKST Travel: 863 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#60)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
Oklahoma State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Oklahoma State at Tulsa-7
Sat 9/12Oklahoma State vs Oregon+17.5
Sat 9/19Oklahoma State vs Murray State-28
Sat 9/26Oklahoma State at West Virginia-5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Oklahoma State vs UCF-6
Sat 10/17Oklahoma State at Houston+5.5
Sat 10/24Oklahoma State vs Colorado-11.5
Sat 10/31Oklahoma State at Iowa State+4.5
Sat 11/7Oklahoma State at Kansas State+4
Sat 11/14Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech+20
Sat 11/21Oklahoma State at Arizona State+3
Sat 11/28Oklahoma State vs Kansas-5.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Arizona State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Arizona State vs Morgan State-28.5
Sat 9/12Arizona State at Texas A&M+14.5
Sat 9/19Arizona State vs Kansas-6
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/3Arizona State vs Baylor-5.5
Sat 10/10Arizona State vs Hawai'i-8.5
Sat 10/17Arizona State at Texas Tech+24.5
Sat 10/24Arizona State vs Kansas State-1.5
Sat 10/31Arizona State at BYU+10
Sat 11/7Arizona State vs Colorado-12
Sat 11/14Arizona State at UCF-1.5
Sat 11/21Arizona State vs Oklahoma State-3
Sat 11/28Arizona State at Arizona+7.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#133 (.01)35% (129)14.236% (128)2.59 (127)11835% (126)1742.96 (125)#130 (.28)45% (109)33.343% (76)48% (130)4 (100)47.31.41.1
ASU#91 (.14)40% (99)25.843% (75)2.86 (82)19339% (101)2243.37 (103)#35 (.1)41% (58)24.542% (63)40% (51)3.46 (51)57.81.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1214.210.235.4%2.961.4162931181743.547%52%36%35%19%.01
ASU Defense1324.521.440.8%3.461.2 - - - - - 45%54%42%40%19%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1233.341.444.8%41.1 - - - - - 52%46%43%48%15%.28
ASU Offense1325.824.740.2%3.371.6214171932245.151%47%43%39%17%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1228:5215.635%40%5.347.31.41.15.61.8125.8
Arizona State1331:3321.133%58%7.257.81.61.26.62.6027.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1247% (94)36% (128)33.6118.43.510 (107)-.04 (134)2.59 (127)69% (87)11% (116)0.89 (100)
ASU Defense1345% (16)42% (63) - - - - .03 (28)2.72 (36)71% (63)11% (40)0.92 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1252% (102)43% (76) - - - - .16 (99)2.98 (86)67% (39)10% (46)1.07 (118)
ASU Offense1351% (54)43% (75)38192.95.118 (78).11 (72)2.86 (82)63% (118)10% (87)0.97 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1252% (43)35% (126)17.530.4174.15.7107 (128)10 (60).07 (128)1.4 (126)36% (133)23% (131).15 (122)8% (121)2 (80)
ASU Defense1354% (123)40% (51) - - - - - - 8 (55).17 (32)1.5 (39)32% (58)28% (56).2 (28)8% (11)2.1 (98)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1246% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 6 (100).44 (133)1.7 (112)30% (103)31% (89).37 (106)5% (118)2 (56)
ASU Offense1347% (89)39% (101)19.333.1223.76.811.620 (86)9 (20).25 (68)1.6 (46)32% (79)28% (88).26 (86)7% (105)1.9 (99)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 4.76  #44
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 19.69  #25
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 14.92  #64
2026 Talent Rating: 770.00  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 750%  #47
Oklahoma State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Oklahoma State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #54
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2  #131
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #100

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 766.38
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 4.76   Arizona State: 8.12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 5.1   Arizona State: 3.9




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 8.12  #30
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 21.26  #21
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 13.93  #57
2026 Talent Rating: 828.00  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 999  #1
Arizona State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Arizona State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9  #62
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 766.38
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

Oklahoma State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 26
Oklahoma State 23


Projected Total Points: 49
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Oklahoma State21Arizona State42Arizona State -5Arizona State57.0Over
202309/09Arizona State15Oklahoma State27Oklahoma State -2.5Oklahoma State53.5Under
202209/10Oklahoma State34Arizona State17Oklahoma State -12Oklahoma State58.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State111 Overs
Oklahoma State222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 00 - 1

(#44) OKST at (#30) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKSTASU
Game ControlGC #131 #62
Momentum ControlMC #103 #45
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #44 #30
SP+SP+ #54 #62
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #52 #39
Blue ChipsBC% #47 #1
Oklahoma State Notes
(2/14) Vibes: Excited for Morris Off, program reset
(2/26) WR Young (NT) a star, 5 of 7 portals w 400+ yds.
(2/4) New staff/team w Morris. 54 portals in/66 out
(2/4) QB Mestemaker huge sign/upgrade. Jordan depth
(2/4) RB Hawkins (NT) & Page (Tar) only ones w exp
(2/4) OL 10 portals, can bulid a decent OL w these guys
(2/4) DL 10 portals, 7 have good exp. Good+ unit
(2/4) LB 5 portals, could be a really good unit
(2/4) DB 9 portals, 3 starters from NT (good PDef LY)
(2/4) Requires proof, Pokes could rise fast w staff/roster
Oklahoma State Injury Report
Arizona State Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Good, Staff back, Off could be real fun
(3/17) WR 3 big adds w Harris + Miller, looks lethal
(3/17) OL is ? IOL has some exp, meh prod. OTs ?
(3/17) DL is an issue, DT's are ⬇ DE's exp but meh
(3/17) Portal haul great on Off, Def much needed exp
(2/4) Staff continuity w OC/DC combo for 3 years
(2/4) QB Boley (UK) was OK as Fr. Talented depth
(2/4) RBs portals Gillis & Avit, or K Brown? Options
(2/4) LB 2 portal adds, there's exp here but avg perf
(2/4) CBs have big ?, S more proven w exp'd portal adds
Arizona State Injury Report
Oklahoma State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffASU Def
Game ControlGC #130 #71
Momentum ControlMC #136 #58
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #129 #58
ExplosiveExp #116 #53
PPAPPA #133 #35
PowerPwr #25 #57
SP+SP+ #131 #44
Pts POPPO #125 #51
HavocHav #125 #15
Oklahoma State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffASU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #128 #63
Run ExplRExp #100 #47
PPAExp #134 #28
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #127 #36
Stuff RateStuff #89 #34
TackleTak - NR
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffASU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #126 #51
Pass ExplPExl #126 #39
PPAExp #128 #32
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #40
DB HavocDB #121 #11
Arizona State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatASU OffOKST Def
Game ControlGC #60 #129
Momentum ControlMC #32 #86
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #99 #109
ExplosiveExp #60 #124
PPAPPA #91 #130
PowerPwr #21 #64
SP+SP+ #59 #100
Pts POPPO #103 #100
HavocHav #99 #86
Arizona State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffOKST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #76
Run ExplRExp #63 #118
PPAExp #72 #99
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #82 #86
Stuff RateStuff #88 #46
TackleTak - NR
Arizona State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatASU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #101 #130
Pass ExplPExl #46 #112
PPAExp #68 #133
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #46
DB HavocDB #105 #118
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

OKST 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Oklahoma State in 2024 (42-21)
Oklahoma State beat Arizona State in 2023 (27-15)

  
OKST's OC Sean Brophy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)31946569%43693499.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)6311057%595325.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins (Tr)2311424256.251
Tre Page III (Tr)11283977.5N/A
Chris Barnes (Tr)13143011.078
Ayo Adeyi (Tr)2412005.024
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young (Tr)7012641018.184
Miles Coleman (Tr)47550211.759
Chris Barnes (Tr)39547314.070
Israel Polk (Tr)33525815.975

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Wesloski (Tr)1139260
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)843011
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Evan Jackson (Tr)442102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)3110510
Malik Charles283310
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212
DJ Jackson Jr. (Tr)225230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn (Tr)40003
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Evan Jackson (Tr)442102

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cutter Boley (Tr)19830166%216015127.2
Kanyon Floyd11100%190019.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquis Gillis (Tr)183114576.375
David Avit (Tr)12568785.534
Jason Brown Jr.1513719.144
Kyson Brown1810605.934
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Miller (Tr)44807818.370
Reed Harris (Tr)39673517.357
Kristian Ingman (Tr)23342014.937
Derek Eusebio22341215.568

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Long (Tr)1485205
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Jessiah Mcgrew (Tr)670004
Adrian Wilson571016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emar'Rion Winston (Tr)246440
Jalen Thompson (Tr)296381
Owen Long (Tr)1485205
C.J. Fite297142
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Montana Warren402028
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Adrian Wilson571016