Minnesota at Wisconsin - 2026 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Camp Randall Stadium - Madison, WI

 
Golden Gophers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (66 - 44)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WIS is playing their 7th straight game
MINN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Minnesota -2  (SP+ MINN -6)
Projected Score: MINN: 21 - WIS: 19 (40)
MINN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MINN Travel: 231 miles
Badgers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Minnesota vs Eastern Illinois-27.5
Sat 9/12 Minnesota vs Mississippi State-0
Sat 9/19 Minnesota vs Akron-22
Sat 9/26 Minnesota at Washington+17
Sat 10/3 Minnesota vs Michigan+9
Sat 10/10 Minnesota at Purdue-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Minnesota vs Iowa+7.5
Sat 10/31 Minnesota at Indiana+27.5
Sat 11/7 Minnesota vs UCLA-8.5
Sat 11/14 Minnesota at Penn State+13.5
Sat 11/21 Minnesota vs Northwestern-3
Sat 11/28 Minnesota at Wisconsin-2

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/6 Wisconsin vs Notre Dame+25
Sat 9/12 Wisconsin vs Western Illinois-22.5
Sat 9/19 Wisconsin vs Eastern Michigan-14
Sat 9/26 Wisconsin at Penn State+18.5
Sat 10/3 Wisconsin vs Michigan State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Wisconsin at UCLA+1.5
Sat 10/24 Wisconsin vs USC+19
Sat 10/31 Wisconsin at Iowa+17
Sat 11/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-3
Sat 11/14 Wisconsin at Maryland+5.5
Sat 11/21 Wisconsin at Purdue-0
Sat 11/28 Wisconsin vs Minnesota+2

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#94 (.13)40% (101)2339% (110)2.62 (123)10341% (77)1903.79 (60)#97 (.2)45% (113)22.943% (82)47% (124)3.84 (84)310.71.2
WIS#132 (.01)35% (130)12.834% (132)2.82 (91)11838% (108)1362.28 (135)#88 (.19)45% (110)21.644% (92)46% (118)3.13 (25)30.11.30.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense13238.339.9%3.790.7172931031903.641%57%39%41%16%.13
WIS Defense1221.618.344.8%3.130.5 - - - - - 47%51%44%46%13%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1322.93845.2%3.841.2 - - - - - 46%53%43%47%18%.2
WIS Offense1212.815.635.4%2.281.3142551181363.456%42%34%38%18%.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1329:2317.140%43%3.8310.71.27.13230.7
Wisconsin1230:3714.132%67%3.630.11.30.55.12.6128.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1341% (126)39% (110)28.8103.53.615 (88).02 (116)2.62 (123)73% (61)9% (44)0.89 (105)
WIS Defense1247% (31)44% (92) - - - - .06 (42)2.75 (43)71% (70)9% (89)0.86 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1346% (19)43% (82) - - - - .14 (92)2.86 (63)73% (80)13% (6)0.98 (83)
WIS Offense1256% (24)34% (132)35.1118.33.49 (122).04 (107)2.82 (91)66% (103)12% (121)1.05 (34)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1357% (11)41% (77)19.330.7189.96.29.819 (61)7 (34).22 (82)1.4 (121)33% (96)28% (94).2 (111)7% (114)1.8 (126)
WIS Defense1251% (100)46% (118) - - - - - - 5 (75).33 (106)1.4 (11)30% (97)29% (67).34 (91)4% (133)2 (70)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1353% (119)47% (124) - - - - - - 9 (38).25 (73)1.5 (35)30% (102)36% (129).42 (122)5% (122)2 (54)
WIS Offense1242% (113)38% (108)13.122.7136.4610.49 (114)13 (119).03 (131)1.5 (105)33% (101)25% (120).2 (109)7% (95)2.1 (48)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 6.44  #37
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 14.80  #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 13.36  #41
2026 Talent Rating: 1010.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #24
Minnesota's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Minnesota's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5  #70
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #94
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #33

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 6.44   Wisconsin: 1.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 1.5   Wisconsin: -4.4




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 1.73  #52
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 11.73  #62
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 13.87  #44
2026 Talent Rating: 828.00  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #24
Wisconsin's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Wisconsin's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #85
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #122
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 21
Wisconsin 19

Projected Total Points: 40
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Minnesota17Wisconsin7Wisconsin -2.5Minnesota38.5Under
202411/29Wisconsin7Minnesota24Minnesota -1.5Minnesota40.5Under
202311/25Minnesota14Wisconsin28Wisconsin -1.5Wisconsin42.0Push
202211/26Wisconsin16Minnesota23Wisconsin -3Minnesota37.0Over
202111/27Minnesota23Wisconsin13Wisconsin -7Minnesota39.0Under
202012/19Wisconsin20Minnesota17Wisconsin -10Minnesota47.0Under
201911/30Minnesota17Wisconsin38Wisconsin -3Wisconsin45.0Over
201811/24Wisconsin15Minnesota37Wisconsin -10.5Minnesota53.0Under
201711/25Minnesota0Wisconsin31Wisconsin -18.5Wisconsin43.5Under
201611/26Wisconsin31Minnesota17Wisconsin -14Push42.5Over
201511/28Minnesota21Wisconsin31Wisconsin -2.5Wisconsin44.5Over
201411/29Wisconsin34Minnesota24Wisconsin -12.5Minnesota0
201311/23Minnesota7Wisconsin20Wisconsin -14.5Minnesota0
201210/20Wisconsin38Minnesota13
201111/12Minnesota13Wisconsin42
201010/09Wisconsin41Minnesota23
200910/03Minnesota28Wisconsin31
200811/15Wisconsin35Minnesota32
200711/17Minnesota34Wisconsin41
200610/14Wisconsin48Minnesota12
200510/15Minnesota34Wisconsin38
200411/06Wisconsin38Minnesota14
200311/08Minnesota37Wisconsin34
200111/24Minnesota42Wisconsin31
200011/03Wisconsin41Minnesota20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin1844 Overs
Minnesota786 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 123 - 90 - 43 - 5
Road Teams12 - 139 - 35 - 34 - 0

(#37) MINN at (#52) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNWIS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #37 #52
SP+SP+ #70 #85
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #12 #45
Blue ChipsBC% #24 #24
Minnesota on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffWIS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #101 #110
ExplosiveExp #99 #20
PPAPPA #94 #88
PowerPwr #37 #44
SP+SP+ #94 #34
Pts POPPO #60 #25
HavocHav #74 #120
Minnesota Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffWIS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #110 #92
Run ExplRExp #105 #16
PPAExp #116 #42
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #123 #43
Stuff RateStuff #94 #24
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffWIS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #77 #118
Pass ExplPExl #121 #11
PPAExp #82 #106
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #44 #89
DB HavocDB #114 #133
Wisconsin on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWIS OffMINN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #130 #113
ExplosiveExp #75 #74
PPAPPA #132 #97
PowerPwr #62 #41
SP+SP+ #122 #33
Pts POPPO #135 #84
HavocHav #119 #29
Wisconsin Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #132 #82
Run ExplRExp #34 #83
PPAExp #107 #92
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #91 #63
Stuff RateStuff #72 #55
TackleTak - NR
Wisconsin Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWIS OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #108 #124
Pass ExplPExl #105 #35
PPAExp #131 #73
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #121 #6
DB HavocDB #95 #122
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

MINN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Wisconsin last year (17-7)
Minnesota beat Wisconsin in 2024 (24-7)
Wisconsin beat Minnesota in 2023 (28-14)

  
MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey24638963%23821866.1
Michael Merdinger (Tr)214151%350108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor14367044.771
TJ Thomas Jr. (Tr)9138464.244
Grant Washington2113206.316
Cortez LeGrant2513105.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy37454612.345
Jalen Smith28419415.078
Noah Jennings (Tr)23323014.036
Zion Steptoe (Tr)21272013.042

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Danny Collins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski1029331
Andrew Marshall (Tr)614130
Kerry Brown564003
John Nestor506006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith38181373
Karter Menz329742
T.J. Bush3911541
Jaxon Howard296410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Nestor506006
Kerry Brown564003
Anthony Smith38181373

WIS's OC Jeff Grimes (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph (Tr)17328860%261921109.1
Danny O'Neil619068%635557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Colton Joseph (Tr)1571011136.478
Abu Sama III (Tr)14173255.244
Darrion Dupree8336324.484
Gideon Ituka6025504.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Vinny Anthony31391112.667
Shamar Rigby (Tr)25351114.048
Ryan Schwendeman (Tr)15191212.749
Jacob Harris (Tr)1918259.638

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Posa574424
Cooper Catalano565111
Matthew Jung491000
Marvin Burks Jr. (Tr)492001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Posa574424
Junior Poyser (Tr)305420
Sebastian Cheeks246320
Cooper Catalano565111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javan Robinson (Tr)423008
Mason Posa574424
Eric Fletcher (Tr)122002