Duke at North Carolina - 2003 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2003 (1:05 PM EST)
Duke 30 - North Carolina: 22  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (13 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
UNC is playing their 10th straight game
DUKE is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: DUKE: 26 - UNC: 30 (56)
DUKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 9 miles
Tar Heels (2 - 10) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (26 - 37 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2003 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 8/30 Duke at Virginia+2.5
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Western Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/13 Duke vs Rice-23.5
Sat 9/20 Duke vs Northwestern-23.5
Sat 9/27 Duke vs Florida State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Duke at Maryland+2.5
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 10/25 Duke vs NC State-23.5
Sat 11/1 Duke at Tennessee+2.5
Sat 11/8 Duke vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 11/15 Duke at Clemson+2.5
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
North Carolina's 2003 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 8/30 North Carolina vs Florida State-23.5
Sat 9/6 North Carolina vs Syracuse-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 North Carolina at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 9/27 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
Sat 10/4 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/11 North Carolina at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/18 North Carolina vs Arizona State-23.5
Sat 10/25 North Carolina at Clemson+2.5
Sat 11/1 North Carolina at Maryland+2.5
Sat 11/8 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 11/15 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/22 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2003)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%17.60%000%000%28.60%0%0000
UNC0%26.40%000%000%38.30%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2003
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1217.612.60%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UNC Defense1238.336.80%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1228.6290%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UNC Offense1226.425.80%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2003
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke120:000NAN%0%0000000100
North Carolina120:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2003)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense120%0%000000%0%0
UNC Defense120%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense120%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UNC Offense120%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2003)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense120%0%000000000%0%0%0
UNC Defense120%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense120%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UNC Offense120%0%000000000%0%0%0

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2003 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2003 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2003 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2003 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2003 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2003 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Duke's 2003 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 30
Duke 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 32
Duke 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 28
Duke 26

Total Points: 54
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.8

North Carolina's 2003 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22North Carolina25Duke32Duke -6.5Duke50.5Over
202409/28Duke21North Carolina20North Carolina -1Duke55.5Under
202311/11North Carolina47Duke45North Carolina -9.5Duke52.5Over
202210/15Duke35North Carolina38North Carolina -7Duke70.0Over
202110/02North Carolina38Duke7North Carolina -19.5North Carolina74.0Under
202011/07Duke24North Carolina56North Carolina -11.5North Carolina63.0Over
201910/26North Carolina20Duke17North Carolina -2.5North Carolina52.5Under
201811/10Duke42North Carolina35Duke -7.5North Carolina58.5Over
201709/23North Carolina17Duke27North Carolina -1.5Duke61.0Under
201611/10Duke28North Carolina27North Carolina -10.5Duke66.5Under
201511/07North Carolina66Duke31North Carolina -8North Carolina59.5Over
201411/20Duke20North Carolina45Duke -6North Carolina0
201311/30North Carolina25Duke27North Carolina -5.5Duke0
201210/20Duke33North Carolina30
201111/26North Carolina37Duke21
201011/27Duke19North Carolina24
200911/07North Carolina19Duke6
200811/29Duke20North Carolina28
200711/24North Carolina20Duke14
200611/25Duke44North Carolina45
200511/19North Carolina24Duke21
200411/20Duke17North Carolina40
200311/22North Carolina22Duke30
200111/17North Carolina52Duke17
200011/17Duke21North Carolina59
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1766 Overs
Duke875 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 126 - 73 - 53 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 62 - 35 - 3

(#) DUKE at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'03 Profile: Remains Poor G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'03 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 72°
Rematch from Week 14
()
Duke won at North Carolina this year (30-22)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2022 (38-35)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD