North Carolina Composite Control — 2022

North Carolina Composite Control — 2022 | Punt & Rally

2022 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

54.8

Composite Rank: #42 • 8–5 (FBS games)

GC Score

58.6

#50 in FBS

GC Net

+6.7

Raw GC Net

GC Off

37.8

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

31.2

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

50.9

#38 in FBS

MC Net

-0.09

Raw MC Net

MC Off

1.26

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

80%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	Florida A&M H	—	95.6	0.3	+95.3	99.4%	100%	✓
1	App State A	W 63–61	53.7	32.5	+21.2	62.3%	54.3%	—
2	Georgia State A	W 35–28	64.9	13.7	+51.2	70.6%	57.3%	—
4	Notre Dame H	L 32–45	21.9	63.4	-41.5	29%	18.9%	—
5	Virginia Tech H	W 41–10	87.1	5.3	+81.9	90.5%	98.2%	—
6	Miami A	W 27–24	73.4	13	+60.3	69.5%	63.3%	✓
7	Duke A	W 38–35	49.9	29.5	+20.4	59.8%	44.5%	—
9	Pittsburgh H	W 42–24	31.5	41.6	-10	49.8%	20.9%	—
10	Virginia A	W 31–28	55.4	21.7	+33.7	69.5%	51.5%	—
11	Wake Forest A	W 36–34	48.2	25.3	+22.9	57.8%	37.5%	—
12	Georgia Tech H	L 17–21	74.2	15.2	+59	80.8%	77.9%	—
13	NC State H	L 27–30	17.4	54.1	-36.7	39.4%	2.7%	—
14	Clemson N	L 10–39	8.5	77.8	-69.3	14.9%	0%	—
1	Oregon NPost	L 27–28	36.8	43	-6.2	43.1%	27%	—
8W / 13G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
1	App State A	W 63–61	5.58	3.35	+2.23	5	3	✓ +5	1
2	Georgia State A	W 35–28	0.79	0.79	+0	1	1	Tied	0.79
4	Notre Dame H	L 32–45	1.8	7.22	-5.42	1	4	✗ 1	1
5	Virginia Tech H	W 41–10	2.33	0	+2.33	5	0	✓ +5	0.47
6	Miami A	W 27–24	0	0.83	-0.83	0	1	✗ 0	0.83
7	Duke A	W 38–35	1.36	2.72	-1.36	1	2	✗ 1	1
9	Pittsburgh H	W 42–24	4.97	1.66	+3.31	3	1	✓ +3	1
10	Virginia A	W 31–28	0.49	0	+0.49	1	0	✓ +1	0.49
11	Wake Forest A	W 36–34	1.62	1.62	+0	1	1	Tied	1
12	Georgia Tech H	L 17–21	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.37
13	NC State H	L 27–30	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
14	Clemson H	L 10–39	0	5.04	-5.04	0	2	✗ 0	1
1	Oregon HPost	L 27–28	2.66	0	+2.66	1	0	✓ +1	1
8W / 13G			—	—	—	19	15	—	—