Composite Control Rankings — 2022 College Football | Punt & Rally
Punt & Rally Analytics
2022 Composite Control Rankings

Game Control + Momentum Control — the most complete dominance metric in college football — 131 FBS teams — 2022 season

● Game Control — Win Probability ● Momentum Control — Scoring Sequences
85.6%
MC Win Rate
92.9%
MC + TO Win Rate
50 / 50
GC / MC Blend
0 – 100
Composite Scale
The Composite Control Score blends two independently validated dominance metrics into one number. Game Control measures win probability trajectory across every play — how favorable a team’s position was throughout the game. Momentum Control measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, forces a stop, and scores again. Both are opponent-adjusted, then normalized to a 0–100 scale within the season and blended equally. A score of 100 means the best team in both metrics. A score of 0 means the worst. When GC and MC disagree significantly, the “Split” column flags it — these are analytically interesting teams worth a closer look.
All 5 Yrs 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
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# Team Conf Composite ▼ Game Control Momentum Control Split
GC Score GC Net MC Score MC Net
1 Georgia SEC 100 100 +74.4 100 +2.85 0
2 Alabama SEC 81.1 87.6 +54.1 74.6 +1.33 13
3 Michigan B1G 80.9 85.3 +50.4 76.6 +1.45 9
4 Ohio State B1G 80.3 92.9 +62.9 67.7 +0.92 25
5 Texas SEC 77.7 78.5 +39.2 76.8 +1.46 2
6 USC B1G 73 87.9 +54.7 58.1 +0.34 30
7 Air Force MWC 71.1 84 +48.2 58.1 +0.34 26
8 Clemson ACC 69.7 75.9 +34.9 63.4 +0.66 13
9 Penn State B1G 69.2 74.1 +32 64.4 +0.72 10
10 Washington B1G 67.8 74.4 +32.6 61.2 +0.52 13
11 Boise State PAC 67.8 68.5 +22.8 67.1 +0.88 1
12 Tennessee SEC 67.5 77.2 +37.1 57.7 +0.32 20
13 Kansas State B12 64.2 73.3 +30.7 55.2 +0.16 18
14 James Madison SBC 64 71.2 +27.3 56.7 +0.26 15
15 UCLA B1G 63 71.8 +28.3 54.3 +0.11 18
16 Oregon State PAC 63 71.1 +27.1 54.9 +0.15 16
17 Cincinnati B12 62.9 63.8 +15.2 62 +0.57 2
18 Notre Dame Ind 62.9 67 +20.3 58.8 +0.38 8
19 Duke ACC 61.7 61.7 +11.7 61.6 +0.55 0
20 Liberty CUSA 61.5 62.2 +12.5 60.9 +0.5 1
21 Louisville ACC 60.7 57.5 +4.8 63.9 +0.69 6
22 Florida State ACC 60.6 67.9 +21.8 53.3 +0.05 15
23 Illinois B1G 60.2 67.7 +21.5 52.8 +0.02 15
24 Utah B12 60 64.8 +16.7 55.1 +0.16 10
25 Troy SBC 59.8 62.5 +13 57 +0.27 6
26 Wake Forest ACC 59.4 66.4 +19.4 52.3 -0.01 14
27 Pittsburgh ACC 59 69.6 +24.7 48.3 -0.25 21
28 Tulane AAC 58.1 70.4 +26 45.8 -0.4 25
29 UTSA AAC 57.7 68.5 +22.9 47 -0.33 22
30 Memphis AAC 57.7 58.1 +5.8 57.3 +0.29 1
31 NC State ACC 57.7 58.8 +6.9 56.6 +0.25 2
32 UAB AAC 57.3 59.8 +8.5 54.8 +0.14 5
33 Ole Miss SEC 57.2 67.9 +21.8 46.5 -0.36 21
34 UCF B12 57 65.2 +17.4 48.8 -0.22 16
35 Western Kentucky CUSA 56.8 65.4 +17.8 48.3 -0.25 17
36 Louisiana SBC 56.6 55.7 +1.9 57.5 +0.31 2
37 South Alabama SBC 56.6 60.2 +9.3 53 +0.03 7
38 App State SBC 56.6 63.1 +14.1 50 -0.15 13
39 Fresno State PAC 56.2 60.7 +10 51.8 -0.04 9
40 Oregon B1G 56 70.7 +26.5 41.2 -0.67 30
41 East Carolina AAC 55 55.7 +1.8 54.3 +0.11 1
42 North Carolina ACC 54.8 58.6 +6.7 50.9 -0.09 8
43 Eastern Michigan MAC 54 59.9 +8.8 48.1 -0.26 12
44 San José State MWC 53.7 63.1 +13.9 44.4 -0.48 19
45 Arkansas SEC 53.5 56.8 +3.7 50.2 -0.14 7
46 LSU SEC 53.2 53.4 -1.9 53 +0.03 0
47 TCU B12 53 67.1 +20.6 39 -0.81 28
48 Wisconsin B1G 52.6 65.2 +17.4 40 -0.75 25
49 Minnesota B1G 52.1 64.3 +16 39.9 -0.76 24
50 Marshall SBC 51.8 57.3 +4.5 46.3 -0.37 11
51 SMU ACC 50.9 54.3 -0.4 47.6 -0.29 7
52 Syracuse ACC 50.7 48.6 -9.8 52.8 +0.02 4
53 Baylor B12 50.4 60 +8.9 40.9 -0.69 19
54 Southern Miss SBC 50.4 47.1 -12.2 53.6 +0.07 7
55 Coastal Carolina SBC 50 60.2 +9.3 39.7 -0.76 21
56 Mississippi State SEC 50 62.3 +12.7 37.6 -0.89 25
57 Georgia State SBC 49.8 52.7 -3.1 46.9 -0.33 6
58 Houston B12 49.4 52.1 -4 46.7 -0.34 5
59 Texas Tech B12 48.6 46.3 -13.5 50.8 -0.1 5
60 Oklahoma State B12 48.5 48.3 -10.2 48.7 -0.23 0
61 Oklahoma SEC 48.5 60 +8.9 37 -0.93 23
62 Maryland B1G 48.1 47 -12.3 49.2 -0.2 2
63 Purdue B1G 47.9 47.6 -11.5 48.3 -0.25 1
64 Buffalo MAC 47.9 44.9 -15.9 50.9 -0.1 6
65 Florida SEC 47 46.5 -13.2 47.4 -0.3 1
66 North Texas AAC 46.5 48 -10.7 45 -0.45 3
67 San Diego State PAC 46.2 52.3 -3.6 40.1 -0.74 12
68 Washington State PAC 46.2 49.4 -8.5 43.1 -0.56 6
69 Northern Illinois MWC 45.6 40.5 -23.1 50.8 -0.1 10
70 Texas A&M SEC 45.3 42.1 -20.4 48.4 -0.24 6
71 Missouri SEC 45.2 44.3 -16.8 46.2 -0.38 2
72 BYU B12 45.2 51.2 -5.5 39.2 -0.8 12
73 Iowa B1G 45.1 55.5 +1.6 34.7 -1.06 21
74 Kentucky SEC 45.1 43.5 -18.1 46.7 -0.35 3
75 Miami (OH) MAC 44.7 36.1 -30.2 53.3 +0.05 17
76 Army AAC 44.1 51.3 -5.4 36.9 -0.93 14
77 Florida Atlantic AAC 43.6 44.4 -16.7 42.9 -0.57 2
78 Iowa State B12 43 38.5 -26.3 47.5 -0.3 9
79 UTEP MWC 42.4 41.1 -22.1 43.8 -0.52 3
80 Georgia Southern SBC 42.4 42.8 -19.3 42 -0.63 1
81 Ohio MAC 42.3 45.6 -14.6 39 -0.81 7
82 Miami ACC 41.5 34.6 -32.7 48.3 -0.25 14
83 South Carolina SEC 41.2 48.9 -9.3 33.4 -1.14 16
84 Middle Tennessee CUSA 39.4 43.4 -18.3 35.4 -1.02 8
85 Texas State PAC 39.1 29.7 -40.8 48.4 -0.24 19
86 Wyoming MWC 37.5 37.4 -28.1 37.6 -0.89 0
87 Auburn SEC 37.1 36.2 -30.1 38 -0.87 2
88 Nebraska B1G 35.7 37.1 -28.6 34.3 -1.09 3
89 Kansas B12 35.6 35.2 -31.7 36.1 -0.98 1
90 Tulsa AAC 35.6 27.6 -44.2 43.6 -0.53 16
91 Kent State MAC 35.5 35.3 -31.6 35.8 -1 1
92 California ACC 35.2 29.1 -41.7 41.2 -0.68 12
93 Virginia Tech ACC 34 39.2 -25.2 28.9 -1.42 10
94 Old Dominion SBC 33.3 24.4 -49.4 42.2 -0.61 18
95 Arizona State B12 33.2 26.8 -45.5 39.7 -0.77 13
96 Toledo MAC 33.1 53.5 -1.7 12.6 -2.39 41 ⚡
97 Rice AAC 32.9 27.4 -44.5 38.4 -0.85 11
98 Arizona B12 32.8 28.1 -43.3 37.4 -0.9 9
99 Arkansas State SBC 32.4 31.6 -37.5 33.2 -1.16 2
100 Virginia ACC 32.4 35 -32 29.7 -1.37 5
101 Central Michigan MAC 31.9 30.4 -39.6 33.4 -1.14 3
102 UNLV MWC 31.8 34.8 -32.4 28.8 -1.42 6
103 Western Michigan MAC 31.3 28.5 -42.7 34 -1.11 6
104 Navy AAC 30.4 26.5 -46 34.4 -1.08 8
105 West Virginia B12 28.2 30.8 -38.9 25.7 -1.61 5
106 Bowling Green MAC 27.6 29.3 -41.3 25.9 -1.6 3
107 Louisiana Tech CUSA 27 27.3 -44.6 26.6 -1.55 1
108 Northwestern B1G 25.6 13.9 -66.6 37.3 -0.91 23
109 Indiana B1G 25.4 19.9 -56.7 30.9 -1.3 11
110 New Mexico MWC 25.1 22.3 -52.8 27.8 -1.48 6
111 Boston College ACC 23.2 18.4 -59.2 28 -1.47 10
112 New Mexico State CUSA 23.2 32.5 -36.1 13.8 -2.32 19
113 Stanford ACC 22.1 23.7 -50.5 20.5 -1.92 3
114 Ball State MAC 20.8 31.9 -37.2 9.7 -2.57 22
115 UConn Ind 20.6 25.2 -48.1 16 -2.19 9
116 UL Monroe SBC 20.5 11.8 -70 29.2 -1.4 17
117 Michigan State B1G 20.5 23.4 -51.1 17.5 -2.1 6
118 South Florida AAC 19.4 11.6 -70.4 27.3 -1.51 16
119 Hawai'i MWC 18.6 18.7 -58.7 18.5 -2.04 0
120 Nevada MWC 18.5 18.6 -58.9 18.5 -2.04 0
121 Charlotte AAC 18.1 19.9 -56.8 16.2 -2.17 4
122 Temple AAC 17.4 19.9 -56.8 14.9 -2.26 5
123 Georgia Tech ACC 17.3 21.1 -54.7 13.5 -2.34 8
124 Rutgers B1G 17.3 23.7 -50.5 10.9 -2.5 13
125 Vanderbilt SEC 16.4 21.1 -54.8 11.6 -2.45 10
126 Massachusetts MAC 16.3 14.1 -66.3 18.5 -2.04 4
127 Utah State PAC 13.8 27.5 -44.2 0 -3.15 28
128 Colorado State PAC 13.4 15.6 -63.8 11.2 -2.48 4
129 Akron MAC 13.2 16.5 -62.3 9.8 -2.56 7
130 Florida International CUSA 11.9 14.7 -65.3 9.1 -2.6 6
131 Colorado B12 1.2 0 -89.4 2.5 -3 3
⚡ Split > 30 — GC and MC disagree significantly. These teams are worth a closer look.