Air Force Composite Control — 2022 | Punt & Rally
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Air Force
2022 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
71.1
Composite Rank: #7  •  9–3 (FBS games)
GC Score
84
#7 in FBS
GC Net
+48.2
Raw GC Net
GC Off
63.1
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
14.9
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
58.1
#15 in FBS
MC Net
+0.34
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.01
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
GC > MC by 26 points. Air Force dominated win probability (Game Control score: 84) but generated fewer consecutive scoring sequences than expected (Momentum Control score: 58.1). This profile suggests a team that controlled field position and clock without delivering many knockout scoring runs — a suffocating, methodical style rather than explosive momentum swings.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Northern Iowa H — 96.7 1.6 +95.1 96.1% 100% ✓
2 Colorado H W 41–10 98.3 1.7 +96.6 95.8% 100% ✓
3 Wyoming A L 14–17 44.7 34.2 +10.5 62.9% 52.7% —
4 Nevada H W 48–20 95.4 1.4 +94 96.5% 100% ✓
5 Navy H W 13–10 93.5 4.4 +89.2 89.1% 100% ✓
6 Utah State A L 27–34 57 30.4 +26.6 61.4% 70.3% —
7 UNLV A W 42–7 92.3 3.3 +89 91.7% 97.1% ✓
8 Boise State H L 14–19 9.8 81.3 -71.5 24.4% 0% —
10 Army N W 13–7 69 14.7 +54.3 73.1% 80.4% —
11 New Mexico H W 35–3 98.3 0.9 +97.4 97.9% 100% ✓
12 Colorado State H W 24–12 95.4 1.5 +93.9 96.4% 100% ✓
13 San Diego State A W 13–3 90.4 7.7 +82.8 80.9% 96.2% ✓
1 Baylor NPost W 30–15 75.1 10.9 +64.3 73.5% 67.2% ✓
9W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 Colorado H W 41–10 0.2 0 +0.2 2 0 ✓ +2
0.1
3 Wyoming A L 14–17 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.41
4 Nevada H W 48–20 0.26 0 +0.26 4 0 ✓ +4
0.06
5 Navy H W 13–10 0.58 0 +0.58 1 0 ✓ +1
0.58
6 Utah State A L 27–34 0 0.31 -0.31 0 1 ✗ 0
0.31
7 UNLV A W 42–7 1.09 0 +1.09 3 0 ✓ +3
0.36
8 Boise State H L 14–19 0 4.25 -4.25 0 3 ✗ 0
1
10 Army A W 13–7 0.9 0 +0.9 1 0 ✓ +1
0.9
11 New Mexico H W 35–3 0.01 0 +0.01 1 0 ✓ +1
0.01
12 Colorado State H W 24–12 0.07 0.07 +0 1 1 Tied
0.07
13 San Diego State A W 13–3 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.73
1 Baylor HPost W 30–15 3.86 0 +3.86 2 0 ✓ +2
1
9W / 12G ——— 15 5 — —