Howard at Rutgers Week 4 College Football Matchup Howard at Rutgers Matchup - Week 4
Sat, Sep 26 2026 · Week 4 · 🏟 SHI Stadium Piscataway, NJ · Turf · 52,454 cap
Howard✈ 6,659 miSame TZ
Away
VS
Home
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2026 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2025 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Howard
30
Rutgers
32
P&R Line Rutgers -2.5
P&R Total O/U 61.5
Confidence 55 Early Season
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
76%
Rutgers wins
Strong
🏠 Rutgers 2nd straight Home Game 🛋 Howard Coming off BYE
Howard 2026 Schedule
Howard's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Howard at Maryland+6.5
Sat 9/12Howard at Indiana+27.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26Howard at Rutgers+2.5
Rutgers 2026 Schedule
Rutgers's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3Rutgers vs Massachusetts-29.5
Fri 9/11Rutgers at Boston College-1
Sat 9/19Rutgers vs USC+14.5
Sat 9/26Rutgers vs Howard-23.5
Sat 10/3Rutgers vs Indiana+22.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17Rutgers at Maryland+7
Sat 10/24Rutgers at Northwestern+4.5
Sat 10/31Rutgers vs Michigan+15
Sat 11/7Rutgers at Wisconsin+3.5
Sat 11/14Rutgers vs Nebraska+4
Sat 11/21Rutgers at Penn State+15
Sat 11/28Rutgers vs Michigan State-3
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Howard Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Howard
0.00
Rutgers #75
1.00
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Howard
0.00
Rutgers #118
1.64
Howard +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Rutgers Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Howard #138
2.9
Rutgers #83
38.6
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Howard #140
94.6
Rutgers #88
44.4
Rutgers +35.7
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself