Long Island University at Kansas Week 1 College Football Matchup Long Island University at Kansas Matchup - Week 1
Fri, Sep 4 2026 · Week 1 · 🏟 Memorial Stadium Lawrence, KS · Turf · 50,071 cap
Long Island University✈ 1,152 mi-1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2026 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2025 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Long Island University
25
Kansas
29
P&R Line Kansas -4.5
P&R Total O/U 54
Confidence 55 Early Season
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
Kansas wins
Solid
Long Island University 2026 Schedule
Long Island University's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4Long Island University at Kansas+4.5
Kansas 2026 Schedule
Kansas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4Kansas vs Long Island University-25.5
Sat 9/12Kansas vs Missouri+9
Sat 9/19Kansas at Arizona State+6
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/3Kansas vs Middle Tennessee-21
Sat 10/10Kansas at Utah+10.5
Sat 10/17Kansas at Kansas State+7
Sat 10/24Kansas vs Baylor-2
Sat 10/31Kansas at TCU+8
Sat 11/7Kansas vs UCF-3
Sat 11/14Kansas at West Virginia-2
Sat 11/21Kansas vs BYU+9
Sat 11/28Kansas at Oklahoma State+5.5
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Long Island University Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Long Island University
0.00
Kansas #73
1.00
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Long Island University
0.00
Kansas #45
0.73
Long Island University +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Kansas Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Long Island University #129
30.3
Kansas #58
44.1
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Long Island University #116
56.2
Kansas #79
41.2
Kansas +13.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself