Sat, Sep 13 2025
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Week 3
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🏟 SHI Stadium
Piscataway, NJ
·
Turf
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52,454 cap
Norfolk State✈ 6,777 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Rutgers wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Rutgers -44.5
O/U 56.5
DraftKings
Norfolk State 2025 Schedule
Norfolk State's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/13 | Norfolk State at Rutgers | +44.5L10–60 | 56.5 | L10–60 | O | N |
Rutgers 2025 Schedule
Rutgers's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/28 | Rutgers vs Ohio | -11.5W34–31 | 46.5 | W34–31 | O | N |
| Sat 9/6 | Rutgers vs Miami (OH) | -15.5W45–17 | 45.5 | W45–17 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/13 | Rutgers vs Norfolk State | -44.5W60–10 | 56.5 | W60–10 | O | Y |
| Fri 9/19 | Rutgers vs Iowa | +2.5L28–38 | 46.5 | L28–38 | O | N |
| Sat 9/27 | Rutgers at Minnesota | +3.5L28–31 | 51.5 | L28–31 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Fri 10/10 | Rutgers at Washington | +9.5L19–38 | 62.5 | L19–38 | U | N |
| Sat 10/18 | Rutgers vs Oregon | +17.5L10–56 | 62.5 | L10–56 | O | N |
| Sat 10/25 | Rutgers at Purdue | +2.5W27–24 | 60.5 | W27–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/1 | Rutgers at Illinois | +13.5L13–35 | 63.5 | L13–35 | U | N |
| Sat 11/8 | Rutgers vs Maryland | -1.5W35–20 | 56.5 | W35–20 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/22 | Rutgers at Ohio State | +29.0L9–42 | 54.0 | L9–42 | U | N |
| Sat 11/29 | Rutgers vs Penn State | +14.5L36–40 | 55.5 | L36–40 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Norfolk State Edge
Norfolk State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Rutgers Edge
Rutgers +40.6
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: CSS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: GS is not a predictive ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓