Fri, Sep 1 2023
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Skelly Field at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Tulsa, OK
·
Turf
·
30,000 cap
Arkansas-Pine Bluff✈ 257 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Tulsa wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Tulsa -41
O/U 52.5
William Hill (New Jersey)
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 2023 Schedule
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/31 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Tulsa | +41.0L7–42 | 52.5 | L7–42 | U | Y |
Tulsa 2023 Schedule
Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/31 | Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | -41.0W42–7 | 52.5 | W42–7 | U | N |
| Sat 9/9 | Tulsa at Washington | +34.0L10–43 | 66.5 | L10–43 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/16 | Tulsa vs Oklahoma | +28.0L17–66 | 58.5 | L17–66 | O | N |
| Sat 9/23 | Tulsa at Northern Illinois | +3.5W22–14 | 54.5 | W22–14 | U | Y |
| Thu 9/28 | Tulsa vs Temple | -3.0W48–26 | 56.0 | W48–26 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/7 | Tulsa at Florida Atlantic | +3.0L17–20 | 54.5 | L17–20 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Thu 10/19 | Tulsa vs Rice | -3.0L10–42 | 56.5 | L10–42 | U | N |
| Sat 10/28 | Tulsa at SMU | +20.5L10–69 | 55.0 | L10–69 | O | N |
| Sat 11/4 | Tulsa vs Charlotte | -4.5L26–33 | 47.5 | L26–33 | O | N |
| Sat 11/11 | Tulsa at Tulane | +24.5L22–24 | 52.5 | L22–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/18 | Tulsa vs North Texas | +1.5L28–35 | 69.5 | L28–35 | U | N |
| Sat 11/25 | Tulsa at East Carolina | +4.5W29–27 | 44.5 | W29–27 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Edge
Arkansas-Pine Bluff +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Tulsa Edge
Tulsa +33.7
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓