Sat, Nov 18 2023
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Week 12
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🏟 Rentschler Field
East Hartford, CT
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Turf
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40,000 cap
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
UConn wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Connecticut -25.5
O/U 40.5
ESPN Bet
Sacred Heart 2023 Schedule
Sacred Heart's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/18 | Sacred Heart at UConn | +25.5L3–31 | 40.5 | L3–31 | U | N |
UConn 2023 Schedule
UConn's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/31 | UConn vs NC State | +14.5L14–24 | 47.5 | L14–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/9 | UConn at Georgia State | +3.0L14–35 | 54.5 | L14–35 | U | N |
| Sat 9/16 | UConn vs Florida International | -7.0L17–24 | 43.0 | L17–24 | U | N |
| Sat 9/23 | UConn vs Duke | +22.0L7–41 | 45.0 | L7–41 | O | N |
| Sat 9/30 | UConn vs Utah State | +4.0L33–34 | 50.5 | L33–34 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/7 | UConn at Rice | +10.0W38–31 | 47.5 | W38–31 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/21 | UConn vs South Florida | -1.0L21–24 | 57.0 | L21–24 | U | N |
| Sat 10/28 | UConn at Boston College | +14.5L14–21 | 49.0 | L14–21 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/4 | UConn at Tennessee | +35.0L3–59 | 55.5 | L3–59 | O | N |
| Sat 11/11 | UConn at James Madison | +24.5L6–44 | 47.5 | L6–44 | O | N |
| Sat 11/18 | UConn vs Sacred Heart | -25.5W31–3 | 40.5 | W31–3 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/25 | UConn at Massachusetts | +2.5W31–18 | 51.0 | W31–18 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Sacred Heart Edge
Sacred Heart +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
UConn Edge
UConn +34.7
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓