Sat, Sep 10 2022
·
Week 2
·
🏟 FAU Stadium
Boca Raton, FL
·
Turf
·
30,000 cap
SE Louisiana✈ 691 mi+1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Florida Atlantic wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Florida Atlantic -11
O/U 63.5
consensus
SE Louisiana 2022 Schedule
SE Louisiana's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | SE Louisiana at Louisiana | +13.5L7–24 | 61.0 | L7–24 | U | N |
| Sat 9/10 | SE Louisiana at Florida Atlantic | +11.0L9–42 | 63.5 | L9–42 | U | N |
Florida Atlantic 2022 Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/27 | Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte | -7.0W43–13 | 60.0 | W43–13 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/3 | Florida Atlantic at Ohio | -6.0L38–41 | 51.0 | L38–41 | O | N |
| Sat 9/10 | Florida Atlantic vs SE Louisiana | -11.0W42–9 | 63.5 | W42–9 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/17 | Florida Atlantic vs UCF | +7.5L14–40 | 61.5 | L14–40 | U | N |
| Sat 9/24 | Florida Atlantic at Purdue | +16.0L26–28 | 57.0 | L26–28 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/1 | Florida Atlantic at North Texas | -3.0L28–45 | 67.5 | L28–45 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/15 | Florida Atlantic vs Rice | -5.0W17–14 | 54.5 | W17–14 | U | N |
| Sat 10/22 | Florida Atlantic at UTEP | -3.0L21–24 | 50.5 | L21–24 | U | N |
| Sat 10/29 | Florida Atlantic vs UAB | +5.0W24–17 | 45.0 | W24–17 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/12 | Florida Atlantic at Florida International | -15.0W52–7 | 54.5 | W52–7 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/19 | Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee | -5.5L21–49 | 51.0 | L21–49 | O | N |
| Sat 11/26 | Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky | +7.5L31–32 | 62.5 | L31–32 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
SE Louisiana Edge
SE Louisiana +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Florida Atlantic Edge
Florida Atlantic +36.1
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓