Sat, Sep 10 2022
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Week 2
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🏟 Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
New Orleans, LA
·
Turf
·
30,000 cap
Alcorn State✈ 146 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
Tulane wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
Tulane -35.5
O/U 59.5
consensus
Alcorn State 2022 Schedule
Alcorn State's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/10 | Alcorn State at Tulane | +35.5L0–52 | 59.5 | L0–52 | U | N |
Tulane 2022 Schedule
Tulane's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/3 | Tulane vs Massachusetts | -28.5W42–10 | 59.0 | W42–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/10 | Tulane vs Alcorn State | -35.5W52–0 | 59.5 | W52–0 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/17 | Tulane at Kansas State | +13.5W17–10 | 49.0 | W17–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/24 | Tulane vs Southern Miss | -12.0L24–27 | 48.5 | L24–27 | O | N |
| Fri 9/30 | Tulane at Houston | +5.0W27–24 | 52.0 | W27–24 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/8 | Tulane vs East Carolina | -2.5W24–9 | 56.0 | W24–9 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/15 | Tulane at South Florida | -12.0W45–31 | 55.0 | W45–31 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/22 | Tulane vs Memphis | -7.0W38–28 | 55.5 | W38–28 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/5 | Tulane at Tulsa | -6.5W27–13 | 56.0 | W27–13 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/12 | Tulane vs UCF | -1.0L31–38 | 54.5 | L31–38 | O | N |
| Thu 11/17 | Tulane vs SMU | -3.5W59–24 | 65.0 | W59–24 | O | Y |
| Fri 11/25 | Tulane at Cincinnati | -1.0W27–24 | 44.0 | W27–24 | O | Y |
| Sat 12/3 | Tulane vs UCF | -3.5W45–28 | 57.5 | W45–28 | O | Y |
| Mon 1/2 | Tulane vs USC | +1.5W46–45 | 67.0 | W46–45 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Alcorn State Edge
Alcorn State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Tulane Edge
Tulane +13.8
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓