Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2022 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2021 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Hawai'i wins
Strong
Duquesne 2022 Schedule
Duquesne's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/27 | Duquesne at Florida State | +42.0L7–47 | 57.0 | L7–47 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/17 | Duquesne at Hawai'i | -9.5 | — | — | — | — |
Hawai'i 2022 Schedule
Hawai'i's 2022 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/27 | Hawai'i vs Vanderbilt | +9.5L10–63 | 54.5 | L10–63 | O | N |
| Sat 9/3 | Hawai'i vs Western Kentucky | +16.5L17–49 | 67.5 | L17–49 | U | N |
| Sat 9/10 | Hawai'i at Michigan | +52.5L10–56 | 66.5 | L10–56 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/17 | Hawai'i vs Duquesne | -11.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/24 | Hawai'i at New Mexico State | +4.5L26–45 | 53.0 | L26–45 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/8 | Hawai'i at San Diego State | +23.5L14–16 | 48.5 | L14–16 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/15 | Hawai'i vs Nevada | +6.5W31–16 | 51.5 | W31–16 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/22 | Hawai'i at Colorado State | +6.0L13–17 | 46.0 | L13–17 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/29 | Hawai'i vs Wyoming | +11.5L20–27 | 50.5 | L20–27 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/5 | Hawai'i at Fresno State | +27.0L13–55 | 62.0 | L13–55 | O | N |
| Sat 11/12 | Hawai'i vs Utah State | +10.0L34–41 | 55.0 | L34–41 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/19 | Hawai'i vs UNLV | +11.0W31–25 | 56.5 | W31–25 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/26 | Hawai'i at San José State | +15.5L14–27 | 58.5 | L14–27 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Duquesne Edge
Duquesne +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Hawai'i Edge
Hawai'i +25.1
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2021 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓