Utah State at Oregon State - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Utah State Aggies at Oregon State Beavers

Oregon State logo
Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Reser Stadium - Corvallis, OR  (Pac-12)

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
USU 2nd straight Road Game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
USU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -3  (SP+ USU -13)

Projected Score: USU: 29 - ORST: 26 (54)
USU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
USU Travel: 609 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach JaMarcus Shephard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 7.2 (#97)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Utah State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Utah State vs Idaho State-18
Sat 9/12Utah State at Washington+23
Sat 9/19Utah State at Utah+18
Sat 9/26Utah State vs Troy-5.5
Sat 10/3Utah State at Boise State+11.5
Fri 10/9Utah State vs Washington State+2.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/24Utah State at Texas State+11.5
Sat 10/31Utah State vs Colorado State-9.5
Sat 11/7Utah State vs Fresno State+5.5
Sat 11/14Utah State at San Diego State+13.5
Sat 11/21Utah State at Oregon State-3
Sat 11/28Utah State vs TBD-18

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Oregon State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Oregon State at Houston+21.5
Sat 9/12Oregon State vs Texas Tech+31.5
Sat 9/19Oregon State vs Montana-12.5
Sat 9/26Oregon State at UTEP-3
Sat 10/3Oregon State at Colorado State+1.5
Sat 10/10Oregon State vs San Diego State+14
Sat 10/17Oregon State vs Washington State+8
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31Oregon State at Fresno State+16
Sat 11/7Oregon State vs Texas State+12
Sat 11/14Oregon State at Boise State+17
Sat 11/21Oregon State vs Utah State+3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#47 (.2)41% (91)30.942% (89)2.87 (81)16341% (85)2474.49 (16)#112 (.22)43% (91)28.745% (99)42% (70)3.77 (76)60.20.81.3
ORST#124 (.05)42% (68)17.644% (67)2.82 (89)12742% (68)2252.89 (128)#77 (.18)38% (25)29.441% (51)36% (18)3.41 (46)49.91.70.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1330.925.240.9%4.490.8214101632474.847%52%42%41%16%.2
ORST Defense1229.425.338.3%3.410.8 - - - - - 49%49%41%36%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1328.73743.4%3.771.3 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%13%.22
ORST Offense1217.621.742.3%2.891.7203531272253.846%52%44%42%16%.05

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1327:1420.635%54%7.660.20.81.34.92.2128.2
Oregon State1231:5220.436%40%5.949.91.70.85.31.3028.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1347% (95)42% (89)34.2162.94.825 (40).19 (31)2.87 (81)71% (75)11% (119)1.16 (9)
ORST Defense1249% (59)41% (51) - - - - .07 (52)2.6 (17)68% (43)10% (57)0.94 (57)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1347% (28)45% (99) - - - - .21 (124)3.18 (116)70% (61)7% (127)1.04 (105)
ORST Offense1246% (98)44% (67)33.9127.33.815 (60).01 (120)2.82 (89)77% (30)9% (61)0.73 (135)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1352% (45)41% (85)18.631246.9813.326 (14)5 (7).24 (70)1.5 (67)33% (98)31% (56).36 (47)5% (28)2.1 (60)
ORST Defense1249% (81)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (55).31 (98)2 (136)33% (44)29% (69).44 (126)7% (15)2.5 (136)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1352% (111)42% (70) - - - - - - 13 (38).24 (62)1.5 (24)29% (112)33% (114).37 (107)6% (57)1.9 (26)
ORST Offense1252% (36)42% (68)21.735.9225.46.310.414 (61)13 (127).11 (123)1.3 (133)31% (68)28% (96).05 (131)7% (110)1.7 (134)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.33  #109
Utah State's Offense Rating: 9.97  #110
Utah State's Defense Rating: 18.30  #103
2026 Talent Rating: 456.00  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #104
Utah State's 2026 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Utah State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.1  #82
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #53
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -8.33   Oregon State: -8.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -3.1   Oregon State: -15.9




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -8.74  #105
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 12.96  #99
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 19.54  #110
2026 Talent Rating: 620.00  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 250  #67
Oregon State's 2026 Expected Record: 3.8 - 7.2
Oregon State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9  #126
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #125
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Utah State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 29
Oregon State 26


Projected Total Points: 54
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202112/18Oregon State13Utah State24Oregon State -7Utah State68.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State000 Overs
Utah State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#109) USU at (#105) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSUORST
Game ControlGC #80 #130
Momentum ControlMC #114 #99
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #109 #105
SP+SP+ #82 #126
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #112 #78
Blue ChipsBC% #104 #67
Utah State Notes
(3/2) Vibes: OK, Bronco good HC, has exp to build with
(3/2) Bronco year 2, LY started 3-1, finished 2-6
(3/2) QB Hillstead (BYU) more exp'd than Garcia
(3/2) RB Jacobs (#2 LY) is OK, Vailahi (OK St) added
(3/2) WR top 2 are portals (of 4 adds). Small group
(3/2) OL has 4 decent starters (1 is portal). Good unit
(3/2) DL 8 portals w/ 2 exp'd DE's, 2 avg DT's are back
(3/2) Def has a lot of exp, mix return + portals.
(3/2) CBs have 4 w good exp, Safety has 1. 7 portals
Utah State Injury Report
Oregon State Notes
(3/1) Vibes: Shephard is crootin & building best he can
(3/1) QB Atkinson (Mercer) a big add, can sling it
(3/1) RB not much here, not much exp. Who emerges?
(3/1) WR McDaniel (w/ QB), TE Olsen big target
(3/1) OL eh.. not great. 3 portals, 2 are starters
(3/1) Def lots of FCS adds, LB/DE mix, DL has ?
(3/1) Pass rush concerns, need FCS hits
(3/1) CBs look good, Safeties very inexp'd.
(2/2) Reset w/ Shephard in new P12 after Brey fired
(2/2) Special Teams were a disaster in '25, must fix
Oregon State Injury Report
Utah State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffORST Def
Game ControlGC #76 #128
Momentum ControlMC #121 #100
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #91 #25
ExplosiveExp #18 #133
PPAPPA #47 #77
PowerPwr #110 #110
SP+SP+ #53 #96
Pts POPPO #16 #46
HavocHav #87 #36
Utah State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffORST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #89 #51
Run ExplRExp #9 #57
PPAExp #31 #52
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #81 #17
Stuff RateStuff #91 #22
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #85 #18
Pass ExplPExl #67 #136
PPAExp #70 #98
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #119 #57
DB HavocDB #28 #15
Oregon State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatORST OffUSU Def
Game ControlGC #129 #81
Momentum ControlMC #85 #108
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #68 #91
ExplosiveExp #135 #65
PPAPPA #124 #112
PowerPwr #99 #103
SP+SP+ #125 #98
Pts POPPO #128 #76
HavocHav #89 #114
Oregon State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #67 #99
Run ExplRExp #135 #105
PPAExp #120 #124
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #89 #116
Stuff RateStuff #24 #108
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatORST OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #70
Pass ExplPExl #133 #24
PPAExp #123 #62
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #61 #127
DB HavocDB #110 #57
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Garcia6786%794011.3
McCae Hillstead (Tr)4580%33006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Javen Jacobs6542956.658
Sesi Vailahi (Tr)4215223.614
Noah White259303.720
Anthony Garcia117516.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Robinson (Tr)58599410.346
Javen Jacobs4337938.830
Anthony Garcia20348217.474
Eli Wood (Tr)16205212.838

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Nick Howell (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Bronson Olevao888463
Carson Tujague714151
Tyree Morris466411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyree Morris466411
Chris Joe416431
Bronson Olevao888463
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Bryson Taylor322015
Bronson Olevao888463

ORST's OC Mitch Dahlen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braden Atkinson (Tr)26840766%361134118.9
Maalik Murphy16027658%1802986.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cornell Hatcher Jr.5229225.642
AJ Newberry (Tr)185733.216
Xayvion Noland (Tr)255027.552
Eric Olsen (Tr)73104.48
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xayvion Noland (Tr)37776721.076
Adonis McDaniel (Tr)52676613.056
Eric Olsen (Tr)51566211.149
Gabe Milbourn17185110.926

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Sullivan727151
Takari Hickle385250
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Tyree Blake292001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Takari Hickle385250
Jacob Schuster142202
Aiden Sullivan727151
Jaylen Hill21101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Glasper232005
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Jacob Schuster142202