Utah State at San Diego State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Utah State logo

Utah State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs

San Diego State logo
Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Snapdragon Stadium - San Diego, CA  (Pac-12)

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
SDSU coming off BYE
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: San Diego State -13.5  (SP+ SDSU -10)

Projected Score: USU: 19 - SDSU: 32 (51)
SDSU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
USU Travel: 685 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aztecs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 3.6 (#48)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Utah State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Utah State vs Idaho State-18
Sat 9/12Utah State at Washington+23
Sat 9/19Utah State at Utah+18
Sat 9/26Utah State vs Troy-5.5
Sat 10/3Utah State at Boise State+11.5
Fri 10/9Utah State vs Washington State+2.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/24Utah State at Texas State+11.5
Sat 10/31Utah State vs Colorado State-9.5
Sat 11/7Utah State vs Fresno State+5.5
Sat 11/14Utah State at San Diego State+13.5
Sat 11/21Utah State at Oregon State-3
Sat 11/28Utah State vs TBD-18

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
San Diego State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5San Diego State vs Portland State-28
Sat 9/12San Diego State at UCLA+3.5
Sat 9/19San Diego State vs James Madison-2
Sat 9/26San Diego State at Toledo+1.5
Sat 10/3San Diego State vs Texas State-4.5
Sat 10/10San Diego State at Oregon State-14
Sat 10/17San Diego State vs Fresno State-5.5
Sat 10/24San Diego State at Colorado State-15
Sat 10/31San Diego State vs Washington State-8.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/14San Diego State vs Utah State-13.5
Sat 11/21San Diego State at Boise State+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#47 (.2)41% (91)30.942% (89)2.87 (81)16341% (85)2474.49 (16)#112 (.22)43% (91)28.745% (99)42% (70)3.77 (76)60.20.81.3
SDSU#93 (.13)42% (76)26.446% (40)3.34 (10)19936% (121)1583.51 (90)#4 (-.01)35% (10)15.438% (24)33% (4)2.42 (3)55.91.21.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1330.925.240.9%4.490.8214101632474.847%52%42%41%16%.2
SDSU Defense1315.46.835.1%2.421.4 - - - - - 48%50%38%33%15%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1328.73743.4%3.771.3 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%13%.22
SDSU Offense1326.431.241.8%3.511.2183561991584.861%37%46%36%13%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1327:1420.635%54%7.660.20.81.34.92.2128.2
San Diego State1330:1717.931%52%6.255.91.21.44.82.5531.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1347% (95)42% (89)34.2162.94.825 (40).19 (31)2.87 (81)71% (75)11% (119)1.16 (9)
SDSU Defense1348% (46)38% (24) - - - - .06 (43)3.04 (99)63% (15)8% (113)0.96 (70)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1347% (28)45% (99) - - - - .21 (124)3.18 (116)70% (61)7% (127)1.04 (105)
SDSU Offense1361% (9)46% (40)41.8198.94.825 (70).17 (43)3.34 (10)80% (16)7% (22)0.9 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1352% (45)41% (85)18.631246.9813.326 (14)5 (7).24 (70)1.5 (67)33% (98)31% (56).36 (47)5% (28)2.1 (60)
SDSU Defense1350% (90)33% (4) - - - - - - 15 (55)-.04 (2)1.4 (16)35% (17)23% (6).06 (3)7% (22)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1352% (111)42% (70) - - - - - - 13 (38).24 (62)1.5 (24)29% (112)33% (114).37 (107)6% (57)1.9 (26)
SDSU Offense1337% (128)36% (121)12.822.3157.97.112.410 (106)10 (7).09 (127)1.7 (20)30% (41)20% (136).04 (132)6% (48)1.9 (88)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.33  #109
Utah State's Offense Rating: 9.97  #110
Utah State's Defense Rating: 18.30  #103
2026 Talent Rating: 456.00  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #104
Utah State's 2026 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Utah State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.1  #82
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #53
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -8.33   San Diego State: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -3.1   San Diego State: 6.7




San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 7.65  #52
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 16.63  #57
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 13.02  #46
2026 Talent Rating: 651.00  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #104
San Diego State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.4 - 3.6
San Diego State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7  #42
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #28

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Utah State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 32
Utah State 19


Projected Total Points: 51
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Utah State41San Diego State20Utah State -5Utah State60.0Over
202311/04San Diego State24Utah State32Utah State -2.0Utah State56.5Under
202112/04San Diego State13Utah State46San Diego State -6.5Utah State49.5Over
202010/31Utah State7San Diego State38San Diego State -7.5San Diego State0
201909/21San Diego State17Utah State23Utah State -4Utah State53.0Under
201610/28Utah State13San Diego State40San Diego State -3San Diego State45.0Over
201510/23San Diego State48Utah State14Utah State -5San Diego State44.5Over
201009/25San Diego State41Utah State7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San Diego State434 Overs
Utah State442 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 52 - 51 - 11 - 4
Road Teams5 - 35 - 24 - 11 - 1

(#109) USU at (#52) SDSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSUSDSU
Game ControlGC #80 #13
Momentum ControlMC #114 #37
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #109 #52
SP+SP+ #82 #42
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #112 #70
Blue ChipsBC% #104 #104
Utah State Notes
(3/2) Vibes: OK, Bronco good HC, has exp to build with
(3/2) Bronco year 2, LY started 3-1, finished 2-6
(3/2) QB Hillstead (BYU) more exp'd than Garcia
(3/2) RB Jacobs (#2 LY) is OK, Vailahi (OK St) added
(3/2) WR top 2 are portals (of 4 adds). Small group
(3/2) OL has 4 decent starters (1 is portal). Good unit
(3/2) DL 8 portals w/ 2 exp'd DE's, 2 avg DT's are back
(3/2) Def has a lot of exp, mix return + portals.
(3/2) CBs have 4 w good exp, Safety has 1. 7 portals
Utah State Injury Report
San Diego State Notes
(3/8) Vibes: Lewis era rising, NIL funding is up
(3/1) QB Denegal back but he ain't it. Depth overtake?
(3/1) RB Sutton great (1.3K) very good depth. Strong
(3/1) WR 3 portals, Napier good/back, have options
(3/1) OL 6 portals, 5 fair to good starters, have depth
(3/1) DL has avg prod but good rotation of 6 exp'd guys
(3/1) LB replacing nearly all from a great Def LY
(3/1) DBs 7 portals, some really prod FCS adds.
(3/1) New DC Sumler (DB LY) has big shoes to fill
San Diego State Injury Report
Utah State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffSDSU Def
Game ControlGC #76 #25
Momentum ControlMC #121 #11
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #91 #10
ExplosiveExp #18 #23
PPAPPA #47 #4
PowerPwr #110 #46
SP+SP+ #53 #28
Pts POPPO #16 #3
HavocHav #87 #78
Utah State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffSDSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #89 #24
Run ExplRExp #9 #70
PPAExp #31 #43
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #81 #99
Stuff RateStuff #91 #109
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #85 #4
Pass ExplPExl #67 #16
PPAExp #70 #2
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #119 #113
DB HavocDB #28 #22
San Diego State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCatSDSU OffUSU Def
Game ControlGC #11 #81
Momentum ControlMC #78 #108
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #76 #91
ExplosiveExp #112 #65
PPAPPA #93 #112
PowerPwr #57 #103
SP+SP+ #90 #98
Pts POPPO #90 #76
HavocHav #25 #114
San Diego State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #40 #99
Run ExplRExp #94 #105
PPAExp #43 #124
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #10 #116
Stuff RateStuff #14 #108
TackleTak - NR
San Diego State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCatSDSU OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #121 #70
Pass ExplPExl #20 #24
PPAExp #127 #62
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #22 #127
DB HavocDB #48 #57
Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Utah State beat San Diego State in 2024 (41-20)
Utah State beat San Diego State in 2023 (32-24)

  
USU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Garcia6786%794011.3
McCae Hillstead (Tr)4580%33006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Javen Jacobs6542956.658
Sesi Vailahi (Tr)4215223.614
Noah White259303.720
Anthony Garcia117516.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Robinson (Tr)58599410.346
Javen Jacobs4337938.830
Anthony Garcia20348217.474
Eli Wood (Tr)16205212.838

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Nick Howell (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Bronson Olevao888463
Carson Tujague714151
Tyree Morris466411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyree Morris466411
Chris Joe416431
Bronson Olevao888463
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Bryson Taylor322015
Bronson Olevao888463

SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Denegal14324459%1810987.4
Bert Emanuel Jr.91656%74004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucky Sutton2531292105.150
Christian Washington9756045.841
Bert Emanuel Jr.3227328.572
Jayden Denegal6710341.529
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier48632213.280
Aldrich Doe (Tr)37467212.635
Javion Kinnard (Tr)18228112.779
Nathan Acevedo16190011.942

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Demetrius Sumler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Thomeson (Tr)867021
Dalesean Staley701008
Tano Letuli270021
Amari Comier193111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Djibril Abdou Rahman (Tr)51111
Amari Comier193111
Kai Wallin (Tr)172141
Solomon Davis (Tr)61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalesean Staley701008
Brady Nassar140043
Krishna Clay151011