Kansas State at Arizona State - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Kansas State Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils

Arizona State logo
Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Collin Klein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#45)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
ASU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -1  (SP+ KSU -4)

Projected Score: KSU: 26 - ASU: 27 (53)
ASU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
KSU Travel: 941 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#59)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
Kansas State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Kansas State vs Nicholls-29.5
Sat 9/12Kansas State vs Washington State-16
Sat 9/19Kansas State vs Tulane-13.5
Sat 9/26Kansas State at Cincinnati-4
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Kansas State vs Houston-2.5
Sat 10/17Kansas State vs Kansas-9
Sat 10/24Kansas State at Arizona State+1
Sat 10/31Kansas State at Colorado-5.5
Sat 11/7Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-5
Sat 11/14Kansas State at TCU+2
Sat 11/21Kansas State vs Arizona-1
Sat 11/28Kansas State at Iowa State-4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Arizona State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Arizona State vs Morgan State-29
Sat 9/12Arizona State at Texas A&M+13
Sat 9/19Arizona State vs Kansas-7.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/3Arizona State vs Baylor-5.5
Sat 10/10Arizona State vs Hawai'i-12
Sat 10/17Arizona State at Texas Tech+21
Sat 10/24Arizona State vs Kansas State-1
Sat 10/31Arizona State at BYU+11
Sat 11/7Arizona State vs Colorado-9
Sat 11/14Arizona State at UCF-1
Sat 11/21Arizona State vs Oklahoma State-3.5
Sat 11/28Arizona State at Arizona+5.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#45 (.2)41% (92)29.441% (94)2.82 (93)17241% (82)1984.15 (32)#56 (.13)39% (45)26.741% (61)38% (30)3.45 (49)38.31.32.2
ASU#91 (.14)40% (99)25.843% (75)2.86 (82)19339% (101)2243.37 (103)#35 (.1)41% (58)24.542% (63)40% (51)3.46 (51)57.81.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1229.430.840.8%4.151.3173711721985.251%47%41%41%18%.2
ASU Defense1324.521.440.8%3.461.2 - - - - - 45%54%42%40%19%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1226.726.439.5%3.452.2 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%17%.13
ASU Offense1325.824.740.2%3.371.6214171932245.151%47%43%39%17%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1229:0017.237%56%4.138.31.32.262.3230.2
Arizona State1331:3321.133%58%7.257.81.61.26.62.6027.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1251% (50)41% (94)33.2172.35.223 (88).18 (40)2.82 (93)67% (101)11% (114)1.2 (3)
ASU Defense1345% (16)42% (63) - - - - .03 (28)2.72 (36)71% (63)11% (40)0.92 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1252% (92)41% (61) - - - - .12 (81)2.73 (38)70% (56)10% (49)1.12 (129)
ASU Offense1351% (54)43% (75)38192.95.118 (78).11 (72)2.86 (82)63% (118)10% (87)0.97 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1247% (86)41% (82)1728.5198.3711.718 (42)7 (20).25 (65)1.6 (39)34% (120)31% (65).28 (79)7% (92)1.8 (121)
ASU Defense1354% (123)40% (51) - - - - - - 8 (55).17 (32)1.5 (39)32% (58)28% (56).2 (28)8% (11)2.1 (98)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1247% (55)38% (30) - - - - - - 13 (38).15 (27)1.6 (87)33% (37)28% (53).24 (50)7% (38)2.1 (95)
ASU Offense1347% (89)39% (101)19.333.1223.76.811.620 (86)9 (20).25 (68)1.6 (46)32% (79)28% (88).26 (86)7% (105)1.9 (99)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 6.20  #36
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 18.22  #37
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 12.02  #37
2026 Talent Rating: 782.00  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #56
Kansas State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
Kansas State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4  #29
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #17
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #49

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 766.38
Average Power Five Talent: 872.36
Average FBS Talent: 677.88

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 6.20   Arizona State: 9.285

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 10.4   Arizona State: 6.4




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 9.285  #31
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 21.18  #22
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 14.01  #56
2026 Talent Rating: 828.00  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 13  #35
Arizona State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Arizona State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4  #42
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #57
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 766.38
Average Power Five Talent: 872.36
Average FBS Talent: 677.88


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 27
Kansas State 26


Projected Total Points: 53
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Kansas State14Arizona State24Kansas State -7.5Arizona State51.5Under
200212/27Arizona State27Kansas State34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State110 Overs
Kansas State101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#36) KSU at (#31) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUASU
Game ControlGC #26 #62
Momentum ControlMC #62 #45
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #36 #31
SP+SP+ #29 #42
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #50 #40
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #35
Kansas State Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Hopeful w native son Klein. New era
(4/2) TE Garrett Oakley rated top 10 via PFF, 3 yr starter
(3/31) OC Gleason was Rutgers OC for 3 years ('20-'22)
(3/17) RB Jackson back, Fields (OSU) good add. Depth
(3/17) WR has 3 good exp'd starters + good TE, some depth.
(3/17) LBs looks decent w/ depth. Mason (LT) good add
(3/17) CB solid w 3 decent options, ? at S behind Beasley
(2/4) QB Johnson back. Can Klein help elevate him?
(2/4) OL 7 portals, solid OTs, unproven at OG
(2/4) DL 6 portals, mostly G5s coming up. Big ?
(2/4) New era w Klein, DC Peterson was A&M Co-DC
Kansas State Injury Report
Arizona State Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Good, Staff back, Off could be real fun
(3/17) WR 3 big adds w Harris + Miller, looks lethal
(3/17) OL is ? IOL has some exp, meh prod. OTs ?
(3/17) DL is an issue, DT's are ⬇ DE's exp but meh
(3/17) Portal haul great on Off, Def much needed exp
(2/4) Staff continuity w OC/DC combo for 3 years
(2/4) QB Boley (UK) was OK as Fr. Talented depth
(2/4) RBs portals Gillis & Avit, or K Brown? Options
(2/4) LB 2 portal adds, there's exp here but avg perf
(2/4) CBs have big ?, S more proven w exp'd portal adds
Arizona State Injury Report
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffASU Def
Game ControlGC #27 #71
Momentum ControlMC #53 #58
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #92 #58
ExplosiveExp #8 #53
PPAPPA #45 #35
PowerPwr #37 #56
SP+SP+ #17 #36
Pts POPPO #32 #51
HavocHav #108 #15
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffASU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #94 #63
Run ExplRExp #3 #47
PPAExp #40 #28
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #93 #36
Stuff RateStuff #119 #34
TackleTak - NR
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffASU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #82 #51
Pass ExplPExl #39 #39
PPAExp #65 #32
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #114 #40
DB HavocDB #92 #11
Arizona State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatASU OffKSU Def
Game ControlGC #60 #23
Momentum ControlMC #32 #64
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #99 #45
ExplosiveExp #60 #113
PPAPPA #91 #56
PowerPwr #22 #37
SP+SP+ #57 #49
Pts POPPO #103 #49
HavocHav #99 #46
Arizona State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffKSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #61
Run ExplRExp #63 #129
PPAExp #72 #81
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #82 #38
Stuff RateStuff #88 #56
TackleTak - NR
Arizona State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatASU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #101 #30
Pass ExplPExl #46 #87
PPAExp #68 #27
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #49
DB HavocDB #105 #38
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Kansas State in 2024 (24-14)

  
KSU's OC Sean Gleeson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson20434160%23801867.0
Linkon Cure010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Jackson16991185.480
Rodney Fields Jr. (Tr)12461415.041
Avery Johnson10947784.458
Jay Harris (Tr)4215123.616
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaron Tibbs47595312.738
Brandon White (Tr)38399210.546
Garrett Oakley38389610.235
Joshua Manning (Tr)29318211.034

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Jordan Peterson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mekhi Mason (Tr)6215434
Zashon Rich5731010
Koy Beasley (Tr)402006
Wesley Fair361003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Hill (Tr)2212960
Wendell Gregory (Tr)2712471
Mekhi Mason (Tr)6215434
Jordan Allen165301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zashon Rich5731010
Koy Beasley (Tr)402006
Ja'Son Prevard (Tr)241015

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cutter Boley (Tr)19830166%216015127.2
Kanyon Floyd11100%190019.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquis Gillis (Tr)183114576.375
David Avit (Tr)12568785.534
Jason Brown Jr.1513719.144
Kyson Brown1810605.934
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Miller (Tr)44807818.370
Reed Harris (Tr)39673517.357
Kristian Ingman (Tr)23342014.937
Derek Eusebio22341215.568

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Long (Tr)1485205
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Jessiah Mcgrew (Tr)670004
Adrian Wilson571016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emar'Rion Winston (Tr)246440
Jalen Thompson (Tr)296381
Owen Long (Tr)1485205
C.J. Fite297142
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Montana Warren402028
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Adrian Wilson571016