Oregon at Oklahoma State - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Oregon Ducks at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Oklahoma State logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK

 
Ducks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (48 - 9)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#6)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Oregon -18  (SP+ ORE -21)
Projected Score: ORE: 34 - OKST: 16 (49)
ORE Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
ORE Travel: 1472 miles, 2 hrs behind
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#68)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Oregon's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Oregon vs Boise State-23.5
Sat 9/12Oregon at Oklahoma State-18
Sat 9/19Oregon vs Portland State-36.5
Sat 9/26Oregon at USC-6.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Oregon vs UCLA-23
Sat 10/17Oregon vs Nebraska-22.5
Sat 10/24Oregon at Illinois-15
Sat 10/31Oregon vs Northwestern-26.5
Sat 11/7Oregon at Ohio State+6
Sat 11/14Oregon vs Michigan-11.5
Sat 11/21Oregon at Michigan State-24.5
Sat 11/28Oregon vs Washington-12.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Oklahoma State at Tulsa-7
Sat 9/12Oklahoma State vs Oregon+18
Sat 9/19Oklahoma State vs Murray State-28.5
Sat 9/26Oklahoma State at West Virginia-2.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Oklahoma State vs UCF-5
Sat 10/17Oklahoma State at Houston+5
Sat 10/24Oklahoma State vs Colorado-8
Sat 10/31Oklahoma State at Iowa State-1.5
Sat 11/7Oklahoma State at Kansas State+5
Sat 11/14Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech+17
Sat 11/21Oklahoma State at Arizona State+3.5
Sat 11/28Oklahoma State vs Kansas-6.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#13 (.3)48% (17)36.948% (18)3.08 (45)19949% (13)2544.1 (36)#13 (.05)36% (12)17.938% (24)36% (14)3.9 (92)49.711.5
OKST#133 (.01)35% (129)14.236% (128)2.59 (127)11835% (126)1742.96 (125)#130 (.28)45% (109)33.343% (76)48% (130)4 (100)47.31.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1536.932.847.8%4.11224521992545.452%46%48%49%11%.3
OKST Defense1233.327.644.8%41.1 - - - - - 52%46%43%48%15%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1517.915.636.4%3.91.5 - - - - - 49%48%38%36%18%.05
OKST Offense1214.21735.4%2.961.4162931181743.547%52%36%35%19%.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1530:4821.947%56%5.149.711.552531.1
Oklahoma State1228:5215.635%40%5.347.31.41.15.61.8125.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1552% (46)48% (18)36.7198.65.435 (16).23 (16)3.08 (45)71% (73)8% (26)1.04 (42)
OKST Defense1252% (102)43% (76) - - - - .16 (99)2.98 (86)67% (39)10% (46)1.07 (118)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1549% (57)38% (24) - - - - .05 (39)2.72 (35)71% (69)10% (68)0.98 (79)
OKST Offense1247% (94)36% (128)33.6118.43.510 (107)-.04 (134)2.59 (127)69% (87)11% (116)0.89 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1546% (93)49% (13)20.929.1253.68.712.231 (6)10 (34).42 (16)1.6 (38)26% (12)31% (55).39 (36)3% (6)2.1 (61)
OKST Defense1246% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 6 (100).44 (133)1.7 (112)30% (103)31% (89).37 (106)5% (118)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1548% (69)36% (14) - - - - - - 15 (22).15 (26)1.6 (90)36% (14)28% (52).21 (30)9% (6)2 (61)
OKST Offense1252% (43)35% (126)17.530.4174.15.7107 (128)10 (60).07 (128)1.4 (126)36% (133)23% (131).15 (122)8% (121)2 (80)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 23.98  #8
Oregon's Offense Rating: 26.58  #8
Oregon's Defense Rating: 2.60  #7
2026 Talent Rating: 1044.00  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 68%  #5
Oregon's 2026 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
Oregon's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3  #2
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7  #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 888.22
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 23.98   Oklahoma State: 8.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 28.3   Oklahoma State: 7.1




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 8.385  #44
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 19.70  #25
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 15.03  #64
2026 Talent Rating: 770.00  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #50
Oklahoma State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Oklahoma State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.1  #38
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #42
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 766.38
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 34
Oklahoma State 16


Projected Total Points: 49
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Oregon69Oklahoma State3Oregon -28.5Oregon55.5Over
200812/30Oregon42Oklahoma State31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State001 Overs
Oregon210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#8) ORE at (#44) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOREOKST
Game ControlGC #2 #131
Momentum ControlMC #53 #103
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #8 #44
SP+SP+ #2 #38
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #10 #53
Blue ChipsBC% #5 #50
Oregon Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Angry w CFP routs, love DL but new staff?
(3/24) DL top 5 in CFB? DT's are great, DE's really good
(2/12) Lanning replacing OC/DC w in-house hires
(2/12) New DC Hampton potential upgrade?
(1/29) QB Moore back, huge for OU. Raiola (Neb) added
(1/29) RBs Davison & Hill came on LY, good duo for '26
(1/29) WRs still good. Stewart back, Moore, Hooks (UAB)
(1/29) TE Johnson played great to finish last year, weapon
(1/29) OL 2 back, lots of ? but lots of talented options
(1/29) CB good depth, Finney great. S Perich a huge add
Oregon Injury Report
Oklahoma State Notes
(2/14) Vibes: Excited for Morris Off, program reset
(2/26) WR Young (NT) a star, 5 of 7 portals w 400+ yds.
(2/4) New staff/team w Morris. 54 portals in/66 out
(2/4) QB Mestemaker huge sign/upgrade. Jordan depth
(2/4) RB Hawkins (NT) & Page (Tar) only ones w exp
(2/4) OL 10 portals, can bulid a decent OL w these guys
(2/4) DL 10 portals, 7 have good exp. Good+ unit
(2/4) LB 5 portals, could be a really good unit
(2/4) DB 9 portals, 3 starters from NT (good PDef LY)
(2/4) Requires proof, Pokes could rise fast w staff/roster
Oklahoma State Injury Report
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffOKST Def
Game ControlGC #2 #129
Momentum ControlMC #31 #86
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #17 #109
ExplosiveExp #35 #124
PPAPPA #13 #130
PowerPwr #8 #64
SP+SP+ #1 #51
Pts POPPO #36 #100
HavocHav #4 #86
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffOKST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #18 #76
Run ExplRExp #42 #118
PPAExp #16 #99
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #45 #86
Stuff RateStuff #31 #46
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffOKST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #13 #130
Pass ExplPExl #38 #112
PPAExp #16 #133
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #26 #46
DB HavocDB #6 #118
Oklahoma State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatOKST OffORE Def
Game ControlGC #130 #4
Momentum ControlMC #136 #69
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #129 #12
ExplosiveExp #116 #83
PPAPPA #133 #13
PowerPwr #25 #7
SP+SP+ #42 #3
Pts POPPO #125 #92
HavocHav #125 #21
Oklahoma State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #128 #24
Run ExplRExp #100 #79
PPAExp #134 #39
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #127 #35
Stuff RateStuff #89 #100
TackleTak - NR
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatOKST OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #126 #14
Pass ExplPExl #126 #90
PPAExp #128 #26
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #68
DB HavocDB #121 #6
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'26 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Oklahoma State last year (69-3)

  
ORE's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore29641272%356530108.7
Dylan Raiola (Tr)18125072%20001868.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordon Davison112667156.067
Dierre Hill Jr.7565658.771
Dante Moore7315622.149
Simeon Price (Tr)2114426.938
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Iverson Hooks (Tr)72927712.951
Jeremiah McClellan38557314.751
Jamari Johnson32510315.956
Dakorien Moore34497314.665

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Chris Hampton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koi Perich (Tr)823102
Aaron Flowers691013
Teitum Tuioti68161075
Jerry Mixon574147
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teitum Tuioti68161075
Matayo Uiagalelei3410673
Nasir Wyatt114310
A'Mauri Washington335257
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerry Mixon574147
Brandon Finney Jr.423107
A'Mauri Washington335257

OKST's OC Sean Brophy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)31946569%43693499.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)6311057%595325.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins (Tr)2311424256.251
Tre Page III (Tr)11283977.5N/A
Chris Barnes (Tr)13143011.078
Ayo Adeyi (Tr)2412005.024
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young (Tr)7012641018.184
Miles Coleman (Tr)47550211.759
Chris Barnes (Tr)39547314.070
Israel Polk (Tr)33525815.975

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Wesloski (Tr)1139260
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)843011
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Evan Jackson (Tr)442102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)3110510
Malik Charles283310
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212
DJ Jackson Jr. (Tr)225230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn (Tr)40003
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Evan Jackson (Tr)442102