Arkansas at Texas - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas Longhorns

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Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium - Austin, TX  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#103)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
TEX is playing their 7th straight game
ARK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas -28  (SP+ TEX -21)

Projected Score: ARK: 17 - TEX: 45 (61)
TEX Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
ARK Travel: 449 miles
Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (46 - 20)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#8)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Arkansas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Arkansas vs North Alabama-25
Sat 9/12Arkansas at Utah+11
Sat 9/19Arkansas vs Georgia+22.5
Sat 9/26Arkansas vs Tulsa-8.5
Sat 10/3Arkansas at Texas A&M+18.5
Sat 10/10Arkansas vs Tennessee+11
Sat 10/17Arkansas at Vanderbilt+8
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31Arkansas vs Missouri+9.5
Sat 11/7Arkansas at Auburn+9.5
Sat 11/14Arkansas vs South Carolina+1.5
Sat 11/21Arkansas at Texas+28
Sat 11/28Arkansas vs LSU+12

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Texas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Texas vs Texas State-26
Sat 9/12Texas vs Ohio State-0.5
Sat 9/19Texas vs UTSA-27
Sat 9/26Texas at Tennessee-9.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Texas at Oklahoma-5.5
Sat 10/17Texas vs Florida-22
Sat 10/24Texas vs Ole Miss-11.5
Sat 10/31Texas vs Mississippi State-28
Sat 11/7Texas at Missouri-11
Sat 11/14Texas at LSU-8
Sat 11/21Texas vs Arkansas-28
Fri 11/27Texas at Texas A&M-6.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#11 (.31)49% (12)32.954% (1)3.43 (6)19245% (38)2634.2 (31)#127 (.27)47% (127)33.850% (132)46% (117)4.21 (119)671.70.8
TEX#66 (.18)40% (96)30.542% (83)2.83 (87)13839% (100)2513.52 (88)#39 (.1)39% (44)20.340% (45)39% (42)3.77 (75)69.70.71.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1232.931.248.7%4.21.7234551922635.748%51%54%45%17%.31
TEX Defense1320.31739.4%3.771.8 - - - - - 44%55%40%39%18%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1233.836.447.3%4.210.8 - - - - - 54%44%50%46%15%.27
TEX Offense1330.538.840.5%3.520.7193891382514.247%51%42%39%16%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1229:0123.347%53%7.8671.70.85.41.8227.4
Texas1328:291939%53%8.369.70.71.86.33231.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1248% (78)54% (1)33.6192.25.725 (30).3 (4)3.43 (6)65% (106)10% (79)1.08 (25)
TEX Defense1344% (13)40% (45) - - - - .01 (19)2.69 (30)57% (4)11% (20)0.84 (13)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1254% (118)50% (132) - - - - .21 (125)3.05 (100)71% (68)9% (89)0.95 (61)
TEX Offense1347% (91)42% (83)32.51384.217 (88).08 (83)2.83 (87)63% (116)10% (95)0.94 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1251% (55)45% (38)19.331.8262.98.313.722 (8)11 (60).37 (31)1.7 (22)31% (59)40% (4).58 (5)7% (114)2.3 (3)
TEX Defense1355% (129)39% (42) - - - - - - 16 (12).2 (52)1.5 (38)33% (48)28% (37).22 (38)7% (38)1.8 (21)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1244% (15)46% (117) - - - - - - 6 (75).44 (132)1.7 (122)31% (84)36% (132).44 (129)6% (52)2.1 (107)
TEX Offense1351% (48)39% (100)19.832.3250.77.812.628 (50)7 (60).29 (50)1.7 (11)33% (99)33% (38).43 (26)6% (55)2.2 (21)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: -2.25  #86
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 14.89  #77
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 17.14  #93
2026 Talent Rating: 799.00  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 999%  #1
Arkansas's 2026 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Arkansas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #54
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.31
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: -2.25   Texas: 29.195

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 5.1   Texas: 26.2




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 29.195  #4
Texas's Offense Rating: 29.52  #2
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.32  #6
2026 Talent Rating: 1137.00  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 999  #1
Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.2  #4
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #30
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.31
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.4

Arkansas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 45
Arkansas 17


Projected Total Points: 61
Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Texas52Arkansas37Texas -10.5Texas57.5Over
202411/16Arkansas10Texas20Texas -13Arkansas57.5Under
202109/11Arkansas40Texas21Texas -6Arkansas57.5Over
201412/29Texas7Arkansas31Arkansas -7Arkansas42.5Under
200809/27Texas52Arkansas10
200409/11Arkansas20Texas22
200309/13Texas28Arkansas38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas412 Overs
Arkansas332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 43 - 11 - 02 - 1
Road Teams4 - 31 - 31 - 20 - 1

(#86) ARK at (#4) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKTEX
Game ControlGC #59 #29
Momentum ControlMC #90 #25
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #86 #4
SP+SP+ #54 #4
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #45 #3
Blue ChipsBC% #1 #1
Arkansas Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Skeptical, seem uneasy of Silverfield hire
(2/10) QB1 AJ Hill (Memphis, big croot) or KJ Jackson.
(2/2) New staff & new roster, 40 portals in/42 out
(2/2) RB Smith (Mem) decent but small. Some depth
(2/2) WR has 4 exp'd options. Should be good unit
(2/2) OL looks good. 5 proven starters (3 are portals)
(2/2) DL is very light on exp. 5 portals must hit
(2/2) LBs a lot of avg portals but have good exp
(2/2) DBs took 11 portals. Should patch OK unit here
Arkansas Injury Report
Texas Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Biggest expectations of UT since 2005
(3/18) OG L Seymore eligible for '26, waiver approved
(2/6) OL allowed pressure on 49% of drop backs LY
(2/2) OL bad LY, 3 Portal starters added. Good exp
(1/29) LB Biles + Simmons both top 10 pass rusher LY
(1/29) CB duo looks great, McDonald @ S underrated
(1/28) RBs much better w R Brown & H Smothers added
(1/28) Def has a great F7, DL is big, good & exp'd
(1/28) Firing DC Kwiatkowski for Muschamp is a choice
(1/28) QB Manning improved LY, can he jump to elite?
(1/28) WRs Coleman & Wingo w/ depth. Best in CFB?
Texas Injury Report
Arkansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTEX Def
Game ControlGC #34 #41
Momentum ControlMC #68 #29
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #12 #44
ExplosiveExp #17 #28
PPAPPA #11 #39
PowerPwr #77 #6
SP+SP+ #16 #18
Pts POPPO #31 #75
HavocHav #102 #24
Arkansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTEX Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #1 #45
Run ExplRExp #25 #13
PPAExp #4 #19
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #6 #30
Stuff RateStuff #93 #33
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTEX Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #42
Pass ExplPExl #22 #38
PPAExp #31 #52
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #79 #20
DB HavocDB #114 #38
Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffARK Def
Game ControlGC #25 #96
Momentum ControlMC #35 #101
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #96 #127
ExplosiveExp #14 #76
PPAPPA #66 #127
PowerPwr #2 #93
SP+SP+ #30 #99
Pts POPPO #88 #119
HavocHav #76 #74
Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #83 #132
Run ExplRExp #79 #61
PPAExp #83 #125
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #87 #100
Stuff RateStuff #120 #63
TackleTak - NR
Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #100 #117
Pass ExplPExl #11 #122
PPAExp #50 #132
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #95 #89
DB HavocDB #55 #52
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Texas beat Arkansas last year (52-37)
Texas beat Arkansas in 2024 (20-10)

  
ARK's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Jackson335461%441308.2
AJ Hill (Tr)193259%223117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sutton Smith (Tr)10266976.684
Braylen Russell5528655.223
Jasper Parker (Tr)259323.711
KJ Jackson115224.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donovan Faupel (Tr)61661710.855
Jamari Hawkins (Tr)38623216.457
Chris Marshall (Tr)30574219.146
CJ Brown28319311.426

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khmori House (Tr)733161
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
Miguel Mitchell521101
Bradley Shaw505211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.4316860
Steven Soles Jr. (Tr)115432
Ben Bogle (Tr)375310
Bradley Shaw505211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson381009
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
Carter Stoutmire (Tr)330015

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning24840461%31632677.8
MJ Morris (Tr)356058%304145.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raleek Brown (Tr)186114146.188
Daylan Smothers16093965.965
Arch Manning92399104.360
James Simon2912204.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Wingo54834715.475
Cam Coleman (Tr)57725512.746
Sterling Berkhalter (Tr)30416213.951
Emmett Mosley V28408314.640

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Will Muschamp (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles (Tr)10017544
Jelani McDonald804013
Ty'Anthony Smith596111
Bo Mascoe (Tr)482004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons431612152
Rasheem Biles (Tr)10017544
Brad Spence216320
Lance Jackson162240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Graceson Littleton463006
Kade Phillips222006
Rasheem Biles (Tr)10017544