UTSA at Texas - 2026 Matchup Preview
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UTSA Roadrunners at Texas Longhorns

Texas logo
Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium - Austin, TX

 
Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (53 - 26)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#44)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
UTSA 2nd straight Road Game
TEX 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas -28.5  (SP+ TEX -25)

Projected Score: UTSA: 14 - TEX: 43 (57)
TEX Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
UTSA Travel: 75 miles
Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (46 - 20)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#8)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
UTSA's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5UTSA vs UT Rio Grande Valley-22.5
Sat 9/12UTSA at Texas State+1
Sat 9/19UTSA at Texas+28.5
Sat 9/26UTSA vs Colorado State-10.5
Sat 10/3UTSA at Rice-12.5
Thu 10/8UTSA vs South Florida-2
Sat 10/17UTSA vs Navy-2
Sat 10/24UTSA at Tulane+0.5
— Bye Week —
Thu 11/5UTSA at Florida Atlantic-3.5
Sat 11/14UTSA vs North Texas-9
Sat 11/21UTSA at UAB-14
Sat 11/28UTSA vs Tulsa-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Texas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Texas vs Texas State-29
Sat 9/12Texas vs Ohio State+1.5
Sat 9/19Texas vs UTSA-28.5
Sat 9/26Texas at Tennessee-8
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10Texas at Oklahoma-5
Sat 10/17Texas vs Florida-15
Sat 10/24Texas vs Ole Miss-12
Sat 10/31Texas vs Mississippi State-27
Sat 11/7Texas at Missouri-9.5
Sat 11/14Texas at LSU-4.5
Sat 11/21Texas vs Arkansas-26
Fri 11/27Texas at Texas A&M-5.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#31 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (47)2.81 (94)17447% (21)2474.23 (27)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.2 (115)68.70.91.4
TEX#66 (.18)40% (96)30.542% (83)2.83 (87)13839% (100)2513.52 (88)#39 (.1)39% (44)20.340% (45)39% (42)3.77 (75)69.70.71.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1335.521.745.5%4.230.9224211742475.146%52%45%47%16%.23
TEX Defense1320.31739.4%3.771.8 - - - - - 44%55%40%39%18%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1328.833.739.6%4.21.4 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
TEX Offense1330.538.840.5%3.520.7193891382514.247%51%42%39%16%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1331:5121.840%46%7.368.70.91.45.91.8231.8
Texas1328:291939%53%8.369.70.71.86.33231.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1346% (100)45% (47)34.2174.15.121 (49).19 (35)2.81 (94)73% (61)10% (102)1.17 (6)
TEX Defense1344% (13)40% (45) - - - - .01 (19)2.69 (30)57% (4)11% (20)0.84 (13)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1350% (65)40% (44) - - - - .12 (85)2.86 (62)64% (20)11% (20)0.97 (73)
TEX Offense1347% (91)42% (83)32.51384.217 (88).08 (83)2.83 (87)63% (116)10% (95)0.94 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1352% (37)47% (21)22.934.4247.27.210.834 (33)7 (34).33 (43)1.5 (96)30% (47)36% (21).45 (21)6% (55)2.2 (15)
TEX Defense1355% (129)39% (42) - - - - - - 16 (12).2 (52)1.5 (38)33% (48)28% (37).22 (38)7% (38)1.8 (21)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1349% (77)40% (49) - - - - - - 11 (75).29 (85)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (47).3 (69)7% (20)2.2 (123)
TEX Offense1351% (48)39% (100)19.832.3250.77.812.628 (50)7 (60).29 (50)1.7 (11)33% (99)33% (38).43 (26)6% (55)2.2 (21)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -0.23  #72
UTSA's Offense Rating: 16.42  #59
UTSA's Defense Rating: 16.64  #82
2026 Talent Rating: 535.00  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #60
UTSA's 2026 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
UTSA's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5  #73
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #47
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #102

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 513
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -0.23   Texas: 27.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -1.5   Texas: 23.7




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 27.91  #4
Texas's Offense Rating: 29.53  #2
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.41  #6
2026 Talent Rating: 1137.00  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 68  #5
Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7  #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #7
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.31
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 43
UTSA 14


Projected Total Points: 57
Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Texas56UTSA7Texas -36.5Texas56.5Over
202209/17Texas41UTSA20Texas -13Texas57.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas222 Overs
UTSA000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#72) UTSA at (#4) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSATEX
Game ControlGC #65 #29
Momentum ControlMC #56 #25
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #72 #4
SP+SP+ #73 #6
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #95 #3
Blue ChipsBC% #60 #5
UTSA Notes
(2/17) Vibes: OK, two 7-6 seasons but McCown back
(2/17) QB McCown back (3rd yr starter). Depth is ?
(2/17) New OC Rick Bowie (WKU) runs a fun offense
(2/17) RB good w Henderson + depth. High (Cal) nice +
(2/17) WR Amador/Wilson good start, have depth/portals
(2/17) OL 3 back from good unit, 3 portals w no exp
(2/17) DL 7 portals + 4 w PT exp. Has parts/promise
(2/17) DBs look ?, 4 portals at S, CB needs solid #2
UTSA Injury Report
Texas Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Biggest expectations of UT since 2005
(3/18) OG L Seymore eligible for '26, waiver approved
(2/6) OL allowed pressure on 49% of drop backs LY
(2/2) OL bad LY, 3 Portal starters added. Good exp
(1/29) LB Biles + Simmons both top 10 pass rusher LY
(1/29) CB duo looks great, McDonald @ S underrated
(1/28) RBs much better w R Brown & H Smothers added
(1/28) Def has a great F7, DL is big, good & exp'd
(1/28) Firing DC Kwiatkowski for Muschamp is a choice
(1/28) QB Manning improved LY, can he jump to elite?
(1/28) WRs Coleman & Wingo w/ depth. Best in CFB?
Texas Injury Report
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTEX Def
Game ControlGC #80 #41
Momentum ControlMC #20 #29
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #35 #44
ExplosiveExp #23 #28
PPAPPA #31 #39
PowerPwr #59 #6
SP+SP+ #47 #8
Pts POPPO #27 #75
HavocHav #80 #24
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTEX Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #45
Run ExplRExp #6 #13
PPAExp #35 #19
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #94 #30
Stuff RateStuff #105 #33
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffTEX Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #42
Pass ExplPExl #96 #38
PPAExp #43 #52
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #102 #20
DB HavocDB #55 #38
Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffUTSA Def
Game ControlGC #25 #47
Momentum ControlMC #35 #84
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #96 #46
ExplosiveExp #14 #126
PPAPPA #66 #82
PowerPwr #2 #82
SP+SP+ #7 #102
Pts POPPO #88 #115
HavocHav #76 #18
Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #83 #44
Run ExplRExp #79 #73
PPAExp #83 #85
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #87 #62
Stuff RateStuff #120 #75
TackleTak - NR
Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #100 #49
Pass ExplPExl #11 #131
PPAExp #50 #85
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #95 #20
DB HavocDB #55 #20
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Texas beat UTSA in 2024 (56-7)

  
UTSA's OC Rick Bowie (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson4917733.614
Brandon High239814.322
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
AJ Wilson30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
Miles Campbell (Tr)21305214.552
DJ Allen2018939.543

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Tucker Jr.353040
Owen Pewee284061
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Jakevian Rodgers232004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
James Walley Jr.196202
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers232004
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
James Walley Jr.196202

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning24840461%31632677.8
MJ Morris (Tr)356058%304145.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raleek Brown (Tr)186114146.188
Daylan Smothers16093965.965
Arch Manning92399104.360
James Simon2912204.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Wingo54834715.475
Cam Coleman (Tr)57725512.746
Sterling Berkhalter (Tr)30416213.951
Emmett Mosley V28408314.640

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Will Muschamp (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles (Tr)10017544
Jelani McDonald804013
Ty'Anthony Smith596111
Bo Mascoe (Tr)482004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons431612152
Rasheem Biles (Tr)10017544
Brad Spence216320
Lance Jackson162240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Graceson Littleton463006
Kade Phillips222006
Rasheem Biles (Tr)10017544