Fresno State at Nevada - 2020 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at Nevada Wolf PackNevada logo
Saturday, December 5th 2020 (9:00 PM EST)
Nevada -6.5 (59.0)
Nevada 37 - Fresno State: 26  (Mountain West)

 
Bulldogs (3 - 3) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (35 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FRES coming off BYE
NEV is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ NEV -4)
Projected Score: FRES: 27 - NEV: 28 (55)
NEV Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
FRES Travel: 189 miles
Wolf Pack (7 - 2) (6 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-2.564.5L 19 - 34UN
Thu 10/29 Fresno State vs Colorado State+2.558.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 11/7 Fresno State at UNLV-11.057.5W 40 - 27OY
Sat 11/14 Fresno State at Utah State-10.551.5W 35 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Fresno State at Nevada+6.559.0L 26 - 37ON
Sat 12/12 Fresno State at New Mexico-15.056.5L 39 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Nevada's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Nevada vs Wyoming+3.054.0W 37 - 34OY
Sat 10/31 Nevada at UNLV-10.5
Thu 11/5 Nevada vs Utah State-17.057.5W 34 - 9UY
Sat 11/14 Nevada at New Mexico-17.562.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/21 Nevada vs San Diego State+1.546.5W 26 - 21OY
Sat 11/28 Nevada at Hawai'i-7.061.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 12/5 Nevada vs Fresno State-6.559.0W 37 - 26OY
Fri 12/11 Nevada at San José State-1.560.5L 20 - 30UN
Tue 12/22 Nevada vs Tulane+1.556.5W 38 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.2245%32.843%2.7412346%3553.84.237%3042%32%3.6847.81.71.7
NEV.2643%30.842%2.6212144%3173.49.1441%23.341%41%3.5569.411
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
NEV#55 (.21)45% (46)47% (33)3.06 (59)16442% (65)2133.88 (73)#110 (.24)46% (117)49% (121)43% (92)4.33 (114)73.11.21



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense632.83544.9%3.841.7244781233553.442%58%43%46%15%.22
NEV Defense923.322.540.9%3.551 - - - - - 46%54%41%41%13%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense63032.337.2%3.681.7 - - - - - 54%46%42%32%18%.2
NEV Offense930.833.542.9%3.491214391213174.338%61%42%44%15%.26

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State631:3324.343%62%5.547.81.71.77.54029
Nevada931:3321.242%67%7.969.4115.82.6028.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense642%43%361233.412.132.7475%11%0.98
NEV Defense946%41% - - - - .082.8668%9%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense654%42% - - - - .263.0184%13%1.32
NEV Offense938%42%28.2121.24.37.12.6257%11%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense658%46%26.241.2355.28.613.6145.291.632%37%.564%2.1
NEV Defense954%41% - - - - - - 6.21.432%29%.284%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense646%32% - - - - - - 4.141.736%29%.365%2.2
NEV Offense961%44%27.739.7317.4811.5264.371.630%34%.514%2

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6  #91
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #52
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #106

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State:    Nevada: 2.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -4.6   Nevada: -0.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 2.3 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2020 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4  #74
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #67
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Fresno State's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Nevada 28
Fresno State 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 26
Nevada 26

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Nevada 31
Fresno State 28

Total Points: 59
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Nevada's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Fresno State20Nevada17Fresno State -12.5Nevada45.5Under
202410/18Nevada21Fresno State24Fresno State -3NA50.0Under
202309/30Fresno State27Nevada9Fresno State -25.5Nevada50.5Under
202211/19Nevada14Fresno State41Fresno State -22.5Fresno State54.0Over
202110/23Fresno State34Nevada32Fresno State -3.5Nevada64.5Over
202012/05Nevada37Fresno State26Nevada -6.5Nevada59.0Over
201911/23Fresno State28Nevada35Fresno State -13.5Nevada51.5Over
201810/06Nevada3Fresno State21Fresno State -15Fresno State59.0Under
201709/30Fresno State41Nevada21Fresno State -7.5Fresno State59.5Over
201610/08Nevada27Fresno State22Nevada -11.5Fresno State54.0Under
201511/05Fresno State16Nevada30Nevada -3.5Nevada54.0Under
201411/22Nevada20Fresno State40Nevada -6.5Fresno State0
201311/02Fresno State41Nevada23Fresno State -23Nevada0
201211/10Nevada36Fresno State52
201110/22Nevada45Fresno State38
201011/13Fresno State34Nevada35
200911/14Nevada52Fresno State14
200811/07Fresno State28Nevada41
200710/06Nevada41Fresno State49
200609/01Fresno State28Nevada19
200511/26Nevada38Fresno State35
200411/20Fresno State54Nevada17
200311/08Nevada10Fresno State27
200111/17Nevada14Fresno State61
200010/13Fresno State58Nevada21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada975 Overs
Fresno State1656 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 122 - 102 - 70 - 3
Road Teams12 - 1310 - 23 - 07 - 2

(#) FRES at (#) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #87 #92
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCat
FRES OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'20 Profile: Up to Top G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 42°
Rematch from Week 14
Nevada -6.5 (59.0)
Nevada won vs Fresno State this year (37-26)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Nevada last year (24-21)
Fresno State beat Nevada in 2023 (27-9)
Fresno State beat Nevada in 2022 (41-14)

  
FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD