Utah State at Nevada - 2020 Matchup Preview
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at Nevada Wolf PackNevada logo
Thursday, November 5th 2020 (7:00 PM EST)
Nevada -17 (57.5)
Nevada 34 - Utah State: 9  (Mountain West)

 
Aggies (1 - 5) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 35 (11 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ NEV -16)
Projected Score: USU: 22 - NEV: 35 (57)
NEV Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
USU Travel: 446 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (7 - 2) (6 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Utah State at Boise State+17.051.0L 13 - 42ON
Sat 10/31 Utah State vs San Diego State+7.5
Thu 11/5 Utah State at Nevada+17.057.5L 9 - 34UN
Sat 11/14 Utah State vs Fresno State+10.551.5L 16 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/26 Utah State vs New Mexico+6.049.0W 41 - 27OY
Thu 12/3 Utah State vs Air Force+13.551.0L 7 - 35UN
Sat 12/12 Utah State at Colorado State+13.551.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Nevada's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Nevada vs Wyoming+3.054.0W 37 - 34OY
Sat 10/31 Nevada at UNLV-10.5
Thu 11/5 Nevada vs Utah State-17.057.5W 34 - 9UY
Sat 11/14 Nevada at New Mexico-17.562.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/21 Nevada vs San Diego State+1.546.5W 26 - 21OY
Sat 11/28 Nevada at Hawai'i-7.061.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 12/5 Nevada vs Fresno State-6.559.0W 37 - 26OY
Fri 12/11 Nevada at San José State-1.560.5L 20 - 30UN
Tue 12/22 Nevada vs Tulane+1.556.5W 38 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU.0234%15.538%2.7714028%1362.83.3250%35.251%50%3.9747.31.50.7
NEV.2643%30.842%2.6212144%3173.49.1441%23.341%41%3.5569.411
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
NEV#55 (.21)45% (46)47% (33)3.06 (59)16442% (65)2133.88 (73)#110 (.24)46% (117)49% (121)43% (92)4.33 (114)73.11.21



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense615.51133.5%2.831.5142761401364.453%47%38%28%16%.02
NEV Defense923.322.540.9%3.551 - - - - - 46%54%41%41%13%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense635.23850.5%3.970.7 - - - - - 50%49%51%50%13%.32
NEV Offense930.833.542.9%3.491214391213174.338%61%42%44%15%.26

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State625:1013.738%50%5.347.31.50.76.32.7128.6
Nevada931:3321.242%67%7.969.4115.82.6028.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense653%38%321404.44.052.7781%10%1.08
NEV Defense946%41% - - - - .082.8668%9%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense650%51% - - - - .263.3674%10%0.95
NEV Offense938%42%28.2121.24.37.12.6257%11%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense647%28%14.828.2135.84.89.264-.021.635%20%.16%2
NEV Defense954%41% - - - - - - 6.21.432%29%.284%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense649%50% - - - - - - 2.41.525%37%.564%2.1
NEV Offense961%44%27.739.7317.4811.5264.371.630%34%.514%2

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.3  #119
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #111
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #116

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State:    Nevada: 2.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -16.3   Nevada: -0.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 2.3 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2020 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4  #74
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #67
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 15.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 35.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Utah State's 2020 Record
Record: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Nevada 35
Utah State 22

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Nevada 36
Utah State 27

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Nevada 34
Utah State 18

Total Points: 52
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Nevada's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Utah State51Nevada14Utah State -10Utah State52.5Over
202311/11Utah State41Nevada24Utah State -14.5Utah State54.5Over
202011/05Nevada34Utah State9Nevada -17Nevada57.5Under
201910/19Utah State36Nevada10Utah State -21Utah State59.0Under
201611/19Nevada38Utah State37Utah State -5Nevada56.5Over
201511/21Utah State31Nevada27Utah State -14Nevada54.5Over
201111/26Utah State21Nevada17
201010/30Nevada56Utah State42
200910/17Utah State32Nevada35
200810/18Nevada44Utah State17
200710/20Utah State28Nevada31
200611/11Nevada42Utah State0
200511/19Utah State24Nevada30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada834 Overs
Utah State532 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 35 - 14 - 11 - 0
Road Teams3 - 101 - 50 - 11 - 4

(#) USU at (#) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSUNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #93 #92
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCat
USU OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #111 #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCat
USU OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffUSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'20 Profile: Up to Top G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 68°
Rematch from Week 10
Nevada -17.0 (57.5)
Nevada won vs Utah State this year (34-9)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Nevada in 2023 (41-24)

  
USU's OC ()
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USU's DC ()
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NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NEV's DC ()
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