Massachusetts at Mississippi State - 2017 Matchup Preview

Massachusetts Minutemen at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Saturday, November 4th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -34 (57.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 34 - Massachusetts: 23

Minutemen (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (24 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -15.5 (SP+ MSST -26)
Projected Score: UMASS: 21 - MSST: 31 (52)
MSST Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
UMASS Travel: 1077 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UMASS Players
MSST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Massachusetts's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Massachusetts vs Hawai'i	-2.0	61.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/2	Massachusetts at Coastal Carolina	-2.5	56.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/9	Massachusetts vs Old Dominion	+3.5	60.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Fri 9/15	Massachusetts at Temple	+14.5	52.5	L 21 - 29	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Massachusetts at Tennessee	+28.0	58.5	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Massachusetts vs Ohio	+4.5	53.0	L 50 - 58	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Massachusetts vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	54.5	W 55 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Massachusetts vs App State	+4.0	57.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Massachusetts at Mississippi State	+34.0	57.0	L 23 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Massachusetts vs Maine	-16.5
Sat 11/18	Massachusetts at BYU	+3.5	51.5	W 16 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/2	Massachusetts at Florida International	-2.5	55.5	L 45 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

Mississippi State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Mississippi State vs Charleston Southern	-23.0
Sat 9/9	Mississippi State at Louisiana Tech	-10.5	67.5	W 57 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Mississippi State vs LSU	+7.5	53.5	W 37 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Mississippi State at Georgia	+2.5	50.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Mississippi State at Auburn	+7.5	51.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Mississippi State vs BYU	-23.0	50.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	-14.0	54.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	-3.5	55.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Mississippi State vs Massachusetts	-34.0	57.0	W 34 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/11	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+14.5	50.0	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Mississippi State at Arkansas	-14.0	56.0	W 28 - 21	U	N
Thu 11/23	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	-14.0	64.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/30	Mississippi State vs Louisville	+6.5	62.0	W 31 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	.21	41%	30.6	37%	2.63	136	43%	298	3.47	.14	41%	31.8	42%	36%	3.85	56.6	1.4	1.7
MSST	.16	46%	32	48%	3.3	252	42%	167	3.65	.03	36%	20.9	38%	32%	2.53	54.6	1.7	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	#69 (.19)	41% (94)		43% (78)	3.1 (50)	164	38% (110)	182	3.73 (89)	#114 (.26)	46% (116)		51% (128)	40% (71)	4.66 (129)	63.2	0.8	0.8
MSST	#78 (.17)	39% (109)		40% (105)	2.9 (93)	139	38% (104)	239	3.75 (86)	#130 (.32)	50% (133)		47% (108)	55% (134)	4.32 (113)	60.3	1.5	0.9

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Offense	12	30.6	24.3	41.4%	3.47	1.4	22	433	136	298	3.9	42%	56%	37%	43%	19%	.21
MSST Defense	13	20.9	15.6	36%	2.53	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	38%	32%	21%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Defense	12	31.8	31.8	40.5%	3.85	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	42%	36%	20%	.14
MSST Offense	13	32	36	46.2%	3.65	1.7	23	419	252	167	5.2	61%	37%	48%	42%	14%	.16

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Massachusetts	12	29:09	21.7	34%	63%	6.6	56.6	1.4	1.7	7	1.9	2	31.2
Mississippi State	13	33:23	23	46%	52%	6.2	54.6	1.7	1.6	6.5	2.8	5	32.4

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense	12	42%	37%	34.8	135.5	3.9	19	.09	2.63	71%	13%	1.07
MSST Defense	13	52%	38%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.6	68%	14%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.88	71%	12%	1.17
MSST Offense	13	61%	48%	48.8	251.7	5.2	30	.18	3.3	87%	7%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense	12	56%	43%	22.7	37.3	297.5	8	13.1	26	6	.31	1.6	36%	32%	.4	6%	2.1
MSST Defense	13	46%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.09	1.9	34%	29%	.18	8%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense	12	44%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.16	1.6	35%	32%	.38	8%	2
MSST Offense	13	37%	42%	14.7	27.2	166.9	6.2	11.4	17	14	.14	1.4	28%	33%	.27	7%	1.7

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Massachusetts's 2017 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.7 #100
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #97
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: Mississippi State: 10.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -9.7 Mississippi State: 16.0

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 10.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #19
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #40
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 30.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Massachusetts's 2017 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Mississippi State 31
Massachusetts 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 30
Massachusetts 20

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 33
Massachusetts 23

Total Points: 56

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Mississippi State's 2017 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Mississippi State	45	Massachusetts	20	Mississippi State -19.5	Mississippi State	59.5	Over
2017	11/04	Mississippi State	34	Massachusetts	23	Mississippi State -34	Massachusetts	57.0	Push
2016	09/24	Massachusetts	35	Mississippi State	47	Mississippi State -25	Massachusetts	49.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	3	1	2 Overs
Massachusetts	0	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#) UMASS at (#) MSST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UMASS	MSST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#19
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#94	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Massachusetts Injury Report

Mississippi State Injury Report

Massachusetts on Offense


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	MSST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#18
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Massachusetts Run Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Massachusetts Pass Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	UMASS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 68° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Mississippi State -34.0 (57.0)
Mississippi State won vs Massachusetts this year (34-23)

Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Massachusetts last year (45-20)

UMASS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD