Massachusetts at Mississippi State - 2017 Matchup Preview
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Massachusetts Minutemen at Mississippi State Bulldogs

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Saturday, November 4th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -34 (57.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 34 - Massachusetts: 23

 
Minutemen (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -15.5  (SP+ MSST -26)
Projected Score: UMASS: 20 - MSST: 37 (57)
MSST Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
UMASS Travel: 1077 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Massachusetts vs Hawai'i-2.061.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 9/2 Massachusetts at Coastal Carolina-2.556.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 9/9 Massachusetts vs Old Dominion+3.560.5L 7 - 17UN
Fri 9/15 Massachusetts at Temple+14.552.5L 21 - 29UY
Sat 9/23 Massachusetts at Tennessee+28.058.5L 13 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Massachusetts vs Ohio+4.553.0L 50 - 58ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Massachusetts vs Georgia Southern-7.554.5W 55 - 20OY
Sat 10/28 Massachusetts vs App State+4.057.0W 30 - 27UY
Sat 11/4 Massachusetts at Mississippi State+34.057.0L 23 - 34UY
Sat 11/11 Massachusetts vs Maine-16.5
Sat 11/18 Massachusetts at BYU+3.551.5W 16 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/2 Massachusetts at Florida International-2.555.5L 45 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Mississippi State vs Charleston Southern-23.0
Sat 9/9 Mississippi State at Louisiana Tech-10.567.5W 57 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Mississippi State vs LSU+7.553.5W 37 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Mississippi State at Georgia+2.550.0L 3 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Mississippi State at Auburn+7.551.5L 10 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Mississippi State vs BYU-23.050.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 10/21 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-14.054.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 10/28 Mississippi State at Texas A&M-3.555.5W 35 - 14UY
Sat 11/4 Mississippi State vs Massachusetts-34.057.0W 34 - 23UN
Sat 11/11 Mississippi State vs Alabama+14.550.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Mississippi State at Arkansas-14.056.0W 28 - 21UN
Thu 11/23 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss-14.064.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 12/30 Mississippi State vs Louisville+6.562.0W 31 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS.1140%11.138%2.6210040%2573.5.1945%38.644%45%3.7766.22.11.1
MSST.2245%30.447%3.3623141%2103.13.2343%30.242%43%3.6647.51.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.19.339.8%3.52.1193561002573.341%58%38%40%20%.11
MSST Defense1330.227.943.2%3.661.7 - - - - - 47%51%42%43%15%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1238.642.545.4%3.771.1 - - - - - 52%46%44%45%15%.19
MSST Offense1330.433.945.2%3.131.2224402312105.655%44%47%41%16%.22

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1226:5819.233%50%7.866.22.11.15.82.1029.2
Mississippi State1328:5122.141%50%5.247.51.21.76.21.9329.6
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1241%38%30.599.53.310.032.6268%12%0.85
MSST Defense1347%42% - - - - .122.9764%10%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1252%44% - - - - .13.0264%10%0.96
MSST Offense1355%47%40.9230.55.624.263.3675%9%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1258%40%21.136.3256.77.112.22715.171.737%29%.238%2.1
MSST Defense1351%43% - - - - - - 14.351.833%37%.45%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1246%45% - - - - - - 4.311.529%32%.275%1.6
MSST Offense1344%41%17.731.6209.76.611.92410.181.529%34%.327%1.9

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Massachusetts's 2017 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.7  #100
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #97
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts:    Mississippi State: 10.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -9.7   Mississippi State: 16.0




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 10.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0  #19
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #40
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2017 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 37
Massachusetts 20

Projected Total Points: 57
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2017 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Mississippi State45Massachusetts20Mississippi State -19.5Mississippi State59.5Over
201711/04Mississippi State34Massachusetts23Mississippi State -34Massachusetts57.0Push
201609/24Massachusetts35Mississippi State47Mississippi State -25Massachusetts49.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State312 Overs
Massachusetts020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 12 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#) UMASS at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #100 #19
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #94 #26
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCat
UMASS OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #97 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffUMASS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #40 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Mississippi State -34.0 (57.0)
Mississippi State won vs Massachusetts this year (34-23)

Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Massachusetts in 2024 (45-20)

  
UMASS's OC ()
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UMASS's DC ()
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MSST's OC ()
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MSST's DC ()
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