Illinois at Minnesota - 2015 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo   Illinois Fighting Illini at Minnesota Golden Gophers  Minnesota logo
Saturday, November 21st 2015 (12:00 PM EST)
Minnesota -4.5 (47.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Minnesota 32 - Illinois: 23  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MINN is playing their 4th straight game
ILL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ILL: 23 - MINN: 28 (51)
MINN Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ILL Travel: 422 miles
Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Illinois vs Kent State-13.054.0W 52 - 3OY
Sat 9/12 Illinois vs Western Illinois-25.0
Sat 9/19 Illinois at North Carolina+7.063.0L 14 - 48UN
Sat 9/26 Illinois vs Middle Tennessee-7.062.0W 27 - 25UN
Sat 10/3 Illinois vs Nebraska+7.557.0W 14 - 13UY
Sat 10/10 Illinois at Iowa+10.047.0L 20 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Illinois vs Wisconsin+7.046.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/31 Illinois at Penn State+4.044.5L 0 - 39UN
Sat 11/7 Illinois at Purdue-1.550.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/14 Illinois vs Ohio State+16.055.0L 3 - 28UN
Sat 11/21 Illinois at Minnesota+4.547.0L 23 - 32ON
Sat 11/28 Illinois vs Northwestern+3.542.0L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Minnesota's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Minnesota vs TCU+16.057.0L 17 - 23UY
Sat 9/12 Minnesota at Colorado State-5.059.5W 23 - 20UN
Sat 9/19 Minnesota vs Kent State-23.047.5W 10 - 7UN
Sat 9/26 Minnesota vs Ohio-13.047.0W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/3 Minnesota at Northwestern+6.540.5L 0 - 27UN
Sat 10/10 Minnesota at Purdue-2.547.5W 41 - 13OY
Sat 10/17 Minnesota vs Nebraska+1.547.0L 25 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Minnesota vs Michigan+10.039.5L 26 - 29OY
Sat 11/7 Minnesota at Ohio State+23.053.0L 14 - 28UY
Sat 11/14 Minnesota at Iowa+11.047.0L 35 - 40OY
Sat 11/21 Minnesota vs Illinois-4.547.0W 32 - 23OY
Sat 11/28 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+2.544.5L 21 - 31ON
Mon 12/28 Minnesota vs Central Michigan-6.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.0740%29.440%2.0711739%2503.1.1844%23.644%41%3.5551.51.71.5
MINN.1344%2345%3.121539%1423.9.1141%22.943%38%3.246.51.52.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1329.426.640.3%3.11.7193671172503.743%56%40%39%2%.07
MINN Defense1322.91341.5%3.22.3 - - - - - 53%46%43%38%2%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1323.635.643.6%3.551.5 - - - - - 59%39%44%41%2%.18
MINN Offense132330.143.6%3.91.5183572151424.766%33%45%39%3%.13

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1328:0719.236%38%6.151.51.71.500332.6
Minnesota1331:3418.340%70%5.346.51.52.300432.2
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1343%40%31.8117.53.716-.082.0760%0%0.92
MINN Defense1353%43% - - - - .132.7472%0%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1359%44% - - - - .152.9770%0%1.05
MINN Offense1366%45%46.1215.54.732.143.171%0%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1356%39%22.136.2249.86.911.32512.21.635%31%.242%1.8
MINN Defense1346%38% - - - - - - 15.131.534%34%.242%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1339%41% - - - - - - 7.271.830%36%.372%1.9
MINN Offense1333%39%9.819.5141.87.314.5129.161.729%34%.183%1.8

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2015 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Minnesota: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Minnesota:




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2015 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 28
Illinois 23

Projected Total Points: 51
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2015 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Illinois17Minnesota25Minnesota -2.5Minnesota47.0Under
202311/04Minnesota26Illinois27Minnesota -1.5Illinois43.0Over
202210/15Illinois26Minnesota14Minnesota -4.5Illinois40.0Push
202111/06Minnesota6Illinois14Minnesota -14.5Illinois44.5Under
202011/07Illinois14Minnesota41Minnesota -7.5Minnesota64.5Under
201910/05Minnesota40Illinois17Minnesota -14Minnesota58.0Under
201811/03Illinois55Minnesota31Minnesota -8.5Illinois61.5Over
201710/21Minnesota24Illinois17Minnesota -14.5Illinois48.5Under
201610/29Illinois17Minnesota40Minnesota -10Minnesota46.5Over
201511/21Minnesota32Illinois23Minnesota -4.5Minnesota47.0Over
201410/25Illinois28Minnesota24Minnesota -6.5Illinois0
201211/10Illinois3Minnesota17
201111/26Minnesota27Illinois7
201011/13Illinois34Minnesota38
200911/07Minnesota32Illinois35
200810/11Illinois20Minnesota27
200711/03Minnesota17Illinois44
200410/23Minnesota45Illinois0
200310/25Illinois10Minnesota36
200210/03Minnesota31Illinois10
200110/06Illinois25Minnesota14
200009/29Minnesota44Illinois10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota1454 Overs
Illinois865 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 115 - 62 - 33 - 3
Road Teams11 - 116 - 53 - 33 - 2

(#) ILL at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #60 #64
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
ILL OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Minnesota -4.5 (47.0)
Minnesota won vs Illinois this year (32-23)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Illinois in 2024 (25-17)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2023 (27-26)

  
ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD