Ball State at Massachusetts - 2014 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Wednesday, November 12th 2014 (8:00 PM EST)
UMass -3 (65.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Massachusetts 24 - Ball State: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (24 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UMASS coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BALL: 28 - UMASS: 30 (58)
UMASS Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BALL Travel: 684 miles
Minutemen (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ball State vs Colgate-27.0
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Iowa+17.5
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs Indiana State-20.0
Sat 9/20 Ball State at Toledo+9.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State at Army+3.0
Sat 10/11 Ball State vs Western Michigan-6.0
Sat 10/18 Ball State at Central Michigan+6.5
Sat 10/25 Ball State vs Akron+1.0
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Northern Illinois+1.5
Wed 11/12 Ball State at Massachusetts+3.065.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan-17.0
Fri 11/28 Ball State at Bowling Green+9.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Massachusetts vs Boston College+12.5
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Colorado+17.0
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Vanderbilt+17.0
Sat 9/20 Massachusetts at Penn State+30.0
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+12.0
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts at Miami (OH)+4.5
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State+1.5
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan-11.5
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Toledo+17.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Ball State-3.065.0W 24 - 10UY
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Akron+7.0
Fri 11/28 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL.1243%27.741%2.6215343%2163.75.1746%27.246%45%3.3239.11.32
UMASS.1642%27.344%2.9610940%3123.47.1945%3344%44%4.0251.41.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1227.723.843.2%3.751.3203691532164.150%47%41%43%3%.12
UMASS Defense123330.545.3%4.021.5 - - - - - 50%49%44%44%2%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1227.226.846.1%3.322 - - - - - 52%46%46%45%2%.17
UMASS Offense1227.32841.6%3.471.9224211093123.440%59%44%40%2%.16

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1229:4920.338%85%4.239.11.3200029.8
Massachusetts1227:1622.336%53%6.151.41.91.500228.4
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1250%41%37.3153.44.116.022.6269%0%0.86
UMASS Defense1250%44% - - - - .143.0164%0%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1252%46% - - - - .123.0876%0%0.95
UMASS Offense1240%44%32.3109.33.416.032.9670%0%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1247%43%19.334.1215.86.311.2197.251.430%32%.263%1.7
UMASS Defense1249%44% - - - - - - 13.261.529%37%.432%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1246%45% - - - - - - 10.241.429%33%.282%1.6
UMASS Offense1259%40%22.441311.87.613.92713.281.837%32%.342%2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State:    Massachusetts: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State:    Massachusetts:




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2014 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Ball State's 2014 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Massachusetts 30
Ball State 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Massachusetts 34
Ball State 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Ball State 29
Massachusetts 27

Total Points: 56
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 33 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.5

Massachusetts's 2014 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201510/31Ball State20Massachusetts10Ball State -4Ball State67.5Under
201411/12Massachusetts24Ball State10UMass -3Massachusetts65.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts110 Overs
Ball State112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) BALL at (#) UMASS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBALLUMASS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCat
BALL OffUMASS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCatUMASS OffBALL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBALL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCatUMASS OffBALL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 43°
Rematch from Week 12
Massachusetts -3.0 (65.0)
Massachusetts won vs Ball State this year (24-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BALL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BALL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UMASS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD