Northwestern at Michigan State - 2012 Matchup Preview
Northwestern logo   Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan State Spartans  Michigan State logo
Saturday, November 17th 2012 (12:00 PM EST)
Northwestern 23 - Michigan State: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Wildcats (10 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (15 - 26 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NW 2nd straight Road Game
MSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NW: 24 - MSU: 24 (48)
NW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NW Travel: 170 miles, 1 hrs behind
Spartans (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Northwestern at Syracuse+2.5
Sat 9/8 Northwestern vs Vanderbilt-23.5
Sat 9/15 Northwestern vs Boston College-23.5
Sat 9/22 Northwestern vs South Dakota-23.5
Sat 9/29 Northwestern vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 10/6 Northwestern at Penn State+2.5
Sat 10/13 Northwestern at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 10/20 Northwestern vs Nebraska-23.5
Sat 10/27 Northwestern vs Iowa-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 Northwestern at Michigan+2.5
Sat 11/17 Northwestern at Michigan State+2.5
Sat 11/24 Northwestern vs Illinois-23.5
Tue 1/1 Northwestern vs Mississippi State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Michigan State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Michigan State vs Boise State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Michigan State at Central Michigan+2.5
Sat 9/15 Michigan State vs Notre Dame-23.5
Sat 9/22 Michigan State vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/29 Michigan State vs Ohio State-23.5
Sat 10/6 Michigan State at Indiana+2.5
Sat 10/13 Michigan State vs Iowa-23.5
Sat 10/20 Michigan State at Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/27 Michigan State at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 11/3 Michigan State vs Nebraska-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 Michigan State vs Northwestern-23.5
Sat 11/24 Michigan State at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 12/29 Michigan State vs TCU-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW.1247%23.446%3.2616748%276-0.17.1343%19.839%46%037.81.31.5
MSU.0441%24.635%2.6813844%260-0.16-.0433%29.931%34%-0.56551.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1323.415.247.3%-0.171.3234211672763.853%46%46%48%2%.12
MSU Defense1429.927.833%-0.561.8 - - - - - 51%48%31%34%3%-.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense1319.82643.2%01.5 - - - - - 55%43%39%46%3%.13
MSU Offense1424.624.840.7%-0.161.320390138260447%50%35%44%2%.04

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1319:1523.548%61%4.337.81.31.500030.1
Michigan State1419:0619.539%56%6.7551.31.800633.7
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1353%46%44.4166.63.825.053.2666%0%0.65
MSU Defense1451%31% - - - - -.082.4560%0%0.81
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1355%39% - - - - -.012.858%0%0.82
MSU Offense1447%35%34.9137.9421-.092.6872%0%0.73

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1346%48%22.231.3275.88.812.4269.21.127%33%.372%1.8
MSU Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 18.021.339%27%.153%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1343%46% - - - - - - 12.331.432%41%.513%1.7
MSU Offense1450%44%20.632.22608.112.62610.171.132%34%.232%1.4

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2012 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Michigan State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Michigan State:




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Northwestern's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 24
Michigan State 24

Projected Total Points: 48
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Michigan State's 2012 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/03Northwestern21Michigan State38Northwestern -3Michigan State45.5Over
202011/28Michigan State29Northwestern20Northwestern -13.5Michigan State40.0Over
201909/21Northwestern10Michigan State31Michigan State -7.5Michigan State35.0Over
201810/06Michigan State19Northwestern29Michigan State -10.5Northwestern43.0Over
201710/28Northwestern39Michigan State31Michigan State -2Northwestern41.5Over
201610/15Michigan State40Northwestern54Michigan State -6.5Northwestern41.0Over
201311/23Northwestern6Michigan State30Michigan State -7Michigan State0
201211/17Michigan State20Northwestern23
201111/26Northwestern17Michigan State31
201010/23Northwestern27Michigan State35
200910/17Michigan State24Northwestern14
200810/11Northwestern20Michigan State37
200710/06Michigan State41Northwestern48
200610/21Northwestern38Michigan State41
200510/22Michigan State14Northwestern49
200209/28Michigan State39Northwestern24
200109/29Northwestern27Michigan State26
200009/29Michigan State17Northwestern37
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State1046 Overs
Northwestern830 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 132 - 50 - 32 - 2
Road Teams13 - 55 - 22 - 23 - 0

(#) NW at (#) MSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCat
NW OffMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCat
NW OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCatMSU OffNW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSU OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
()
Northwestern won at Michigan State this year (23-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NW's OC ()
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NW's DC ()
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MSU's OC ()
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MSU's DC ()
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