Northwestern at Penn State - 2012 Matchup Preview
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Northwestern Wildcats at Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State logo
Saturday, October 6th 2012 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State 39 - Northwestern: 28  (Big Ten)

 
Wildcats (10 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (15 - 26 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU is playing their 6th straight game
NW is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NW: 19 - PSU: 28 (47)
NW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NW Travel: 517 miles, 1 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (8 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Northwestern at Syracuse+2.5
Sat 9/8 Northwestern vs Vanderbilt-23.5
Sat 9/15 Northwestern vs Boston College-23.5
Sat 9/22 Northwestern vs South Dakota-23.5
Sat 9/29 Northwestern vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 10/6 Northwestern at Penn State+2.5
Sat 10/13 Northwestern at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 10/20 Northwestern vs Nebraska-23.5
Sat 10/27 Northwestern vs Iowa-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 Northwestern at Michigan+2.5
Sat 11/17 Northwestern at Michigan State+2.5
Sat 11/24 Northwestern vs Illinois-23.5
Tue 1/1 Northwestern vs Mississippi State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Penn State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Penn State vs Ohio-23.5
Sat 9/8 Penn State at Virginia+2.5
Sat 9/15 Penn State vs Navy-23.5
Sat 9/22 Penn State vs Temple-23.5
Sat 9/29 Penn State at Illinois+2.5
Sat 10/6 Penn State vs Northwestern-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Penn State at Iowa+2.5
Sat 10/27 Penn State vs Ohio State-23.5
Sat 11/3 Penn State at Purdue+2.5
Sat 11/10 Penn State at Nebraska+2.5
Sat 11/17 Penn State vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 11/24 Penn State vs Wisconsin-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW.1247%23.446%3.2616748%276-0.17.1343%19.839%46%037.81.31.5
PSU-39%3140%3.0116534%1860.0138%20.537%37%0451.91.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1323.415.247.3%-0.171.3234211672763.853%46%46%48%2%.12
PSU Defense1320.515.138%01.9 - - - - - 48%50%37%37%3%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense1319.82643.2%01.5 - - - - - 55%43%39%46%3%.13
PSU Offense13313438.8%01.9183421651864.255%43%40%34%1%-

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1319:1523.548%61%4.337.81.31.500030.1
Penn State1318:4818.336%56%4.9451.91.900132.7
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1353%46%44.4166.63.825.053.2666%0%0.65
PSU Defense1348%37% - - - - -.052.7967%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1355%39% - - - - -.012.858%0%0.82
PSU Offense1355%40%39.6165.44.218.013.0164%0%0.73

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1346%48%22.231.3275.88.812.4269.21.127%33%.372%1.8
PSU Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 14.081.236%28%.193%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1343%46% - - - - - - 12.331.432%41%.513%1.7
PSU Offense1343%34%13.928.9185.66.413.31012.011.332%33%.211%1.5

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2012 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Penn State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Penn State:




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Northwestern's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 28
Northwestern 19

Projected Total Points: 47
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Penn State21Northwestern22Penn State -20.5Northwestern46.5Under
202309/30Northwestern13Penn State41Penn State -27Penn State48.0Over
202210/01Penn State17Northwestern7Penn State -25.5Northwestern50.0Under
201710/07Northwestern7Penn State31Penn State -14.5Penn State51.5Under
201511/07Northwestern23Penn State21Northwestern -2Push41.0Over
201409/27Penn State6Northwestern29Penn State -9Northwestern0
201210/06Penn State39Northwestern28
201110/22Northwestern24Penn State34
201011/06Penn State35Northwestern21
200910/31Northwestern13Penn State34
200609/30Penn State33Northwestern7
200509/24Northwestern29Penn State34
200411/06Penn State7Northwestern14
200311/08Northwestern17Penn State7
200210/19Penn State49Northwestern0
200110/20Northwestern35Penn State38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1122 Overs
Northwestern533 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 90 - 50 - 30 - 2
Road Teams9 - 75 - 02 - 03 - 0

(#) NW at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCat
NW OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCat
NW OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffNW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
()
Penn State won vs Northwestern this year (39-28)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Penn State last year (22-21)
Penn State beat Northwestern in 2023 (41-13)

  
NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NW's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD