Bowling Green at Buffalo - 2011 Matchup Preview
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Friday, November 25th 2011 (12:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green 42 - Buffalo: 28  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 29 (26 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 23.1 MPH
BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BGSU: 24 - BUFF: 30 (54)
BGSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 272 miles
Bulls (3 - 9) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 29 (31 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Bowling Green at Idaho+2.5
Sat 9/10 Bowling Green vs Morgan State-23.5
Sat 9/17 Bowling Green vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 9/24 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+2.5
Sat 10/1 Bowling Green at West Virginia+2.5
Sat 10/8 Bowling Green at Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/15 Bowling Green vs Toledo-23.5
Sat 10/22 Bowling Green vs Temple-23.5
Sat 10/29 Bowling Green at Kent State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-23.5
Wed 11/16 Bowling Green vs Ohio-23.5
Fri 11/25 Bowling Green at Buffalo+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Buffalo's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Buffalo at Pittsburgh+2.5
Sat 9/10 Buffalo vs Stony Brook-23.5
Sat 9/17 Buffalo at Ball State+2.5
Sat 9/24 Buffalo vs UConn-23.5
Sat 10/1 Buffalo at Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/8 Buffalo vs Ohio-23.5
Sat 10/15 Buffalo at Temple+2.5
Sat 10/22 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois-23.5
Sat 10/29 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan+2.5
Sat 11/19 Buffalo vs Akron-23.5
Fri 11/25 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.0142%26.542%2.5912341%274-0.09.0543%28.844%39%-0.0940.82.31.2
BUFF.0239%22.239%2.8415538%2230.0440%29.436%42%052.31.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1226.526.241.7%-0.092.3203851232743.744%55%42%41%2%.01
BUFF Defense1229.42439.5%00.9 - - - - - 58%41%36%42%2%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1228.832.242.6%-0.091.2 - - - - - 52%46%44%39%2%.05
BUFF Offense1222.230.839.3%01.3203651552234.346%53%39%38%2%.02

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1218:5119.536%32%4.840.82.31.200132.1
Buffalo1218:3719.834%52%5.652.31.30.900130.1
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1244%42%33.5122.93.713-.112.5956%0%0.65
BUFF Defense1258%36% - - - - -.082.6963%0%0.68
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1252%44% - - - - .083.1852%0%0.85
BUFF Offense1246%39%36.31554.321-.012.8454%0%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1255%41%21.235.7273.87.712.92814.131.333%34%.242%1.7
BUFF Defense1241%42% - - - - - - 6.21.334%32%.212%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1246%39% - - - - - - 6.051.132%28%.152%1.5
BUFF Offense1253%38%19.735.2222.86.311.3129.051.135%34%.172%1.3

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2011 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Buffalo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Buffalo:




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2011 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.2
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Bowling Green's 2011 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 30
Bowling Green 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 31
Bowling Green 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Buffalo 29
Bowling Green 27

Total Points: 56
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Buffalo's 2011 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Bowling Green3Buffalo28Bowling Green -2.5Buffalo44.5Under
202310/14Buffalo14Bowling Green24Buffalo -3Bowling Green44.5Under
202210/08Bowling Green7Buffalo38Buffalo -2Buffalo55.5Under
202110/30Buffalo44Bowling Green56Buffalo -13.5Bowling Green51.5Over
202011/17Bowling Green17Buffalo42Buffalo -31.5Bowling Green57.5Over
201911/29Buffalo49Bowling Green7Buffalo -28Buffalo53.5Over
201811/23Bowling Green14Buffalo44Buffalo -16Buffalo62.0Under
201711/07Buffalo38Bowling Green28Buffalo -7Buffalo61.0Over
201611/25Bowling Green27Buffalo19Bowling Green -11Buffalo60.0Under
201510/03Buffalo22Bowling Green28Bowling Green -6.5Buffalo67.5Under
201410/04Bowling Green36Buffalo35Bowling Green -5Buffalo0
201311/29Buffalo7Bowling Green24Bowling Green -3.5Bowling Green52.0Under
201211/23Bowling Green21Buffalo7
201111/25Buffalo28Bowling Green42
201010/02Bowling Green26Buffalo28
200911/03Buffalo29Bowling Green30
200811/21Bowling Green34Buffalo40
200711/17Buffalo17Bowling Green31
200609/09Bowling Green48Buffalo40
200510/15Buffalo7Bowling Green27
200109/08Bowling Green35Buffalo0
200009/22Buffalo20Bowling Green17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo984 Overs
Bowling Green1347 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 144 - 82 - 52 - 3
Road Teams14 - 88 - 43 - 25 - 2

(#) BGSU at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54° - Wind: 23 mph
Rematch from Week 13
()
Bowling Green won at Buffalo this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-14)
Buffalo beat Bowling Green in 2022 (38-7)

  
BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD