Navy at SMU - 2011 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Saturday, November 12th 2011 (3:30 PM EST)
Navy 24 - SMU: 17

 
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (24 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 5th straight game
NAVY is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: NAVY: 23 - SMU: 31 (54)
NAVY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 1208 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (33 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Navy vs Delaware-23.5
Sat 9/10 Navy at Western Kentucky+2.5
Sat 9/17 Navy at South Carolina+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Navy vs Air Force-23.5
Sat 10/8 Navy vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 10/15 Navy at Rutgers+2.5
Sat 10/22 Navy vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/29 Navy at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 11/5 Navy vs Troy-23.5
Sat 11/12 Navy at SMU+2.5
Sat 11/19 Navy at San José State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/10 Navy vs Army-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
SMU's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/4 SMU at Texas A&M+2.5
Sat 9/10 SMU vs UTEP-23.5
Sat 9/17 SMU vs Northwestern State-23.5
Sat 9/24 SMU at Memphis+2.5
Sat 10/1 SMU at TCU+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 SMU vs UCF-23.5
Sat 10/22 SMU at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 10/29 SMU at Tulsa+2.5
Sat 11/5 SMU vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 11/12 SMU vs Navy-23.5
Sat 11/19 SMU at Houston+2.5
Sat 11/26 SMU vs Rice-23.5
Sat 1/7 SMU vs Pittsburgh+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.1145%29.748%3.4531229%940.1752%28.948%56%0.09201.31.9
SMU.0742%25.838%2.8411444%288-0.11.0741%23.138%42%-0.2850.52.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1229.723.845.1%01.321398312945.480%18%48%29%2%.11
SMU Defense1323.118.841.5%-0.281.2 - - - - - 47%51%38%42%1%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1228.926.551.7%0.091.9 - - - - - 55%44%48%56%2%.17
SMU Offense1325.832.542.3%-0.112.6193891142884.238%61%38%44%4%.07

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1220:2121.347%50%2.3201.31.900331.3
SMU1319:0318.940%35%6.250.52.61.200129.4
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1280%48%57.8312.35.434.143.4576%0%0.81
SMU Defense1347%38% - - - - -.022.9357%0%0.71
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1255%48% - - - - .063.3179%0%0.69
SMU Offense1338%38%27.3113.84.2252.8455%0%0.72

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1218%29%5.411.393.58.317.3106.021.727%30%.172%1.5
SMU Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 6.171.231%32%.31%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1244%56% - - - - - - 10.321.126%34%.292%1.8
SMU Offense1361%44%21.636.6288.17.913.31719.131.134%32%.224%1.6

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2011 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    SMU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy:    SMU:




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2011 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Navy Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Navy's 2011 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 31
Navy 23


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 34
Navy 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
SMU 28
Navy 24

Total Points: 52
SMU Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

SMU's 2011 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25SMU59Navy14SMU -20SMU46.0Over
202210/14SMU40Navy34SMU -12.5Navy59.0Over
202110/09Navy24SMU31SMU -13.5Navy57.0Under
202010/31SMU51Navy37SMU -14.0Push0
201911/23Navy35SMU28Navy -3.5Navy68.5Under
201809/22SMU31Navy30Navy -6.5SMU57.5Over
201711/11Navy43SMU40Navy -1.5Navy66.0Over
201611/26SMU31Navy75Navy -8Navy65.5Over
201511/14Navy55SMU14Navy -20Navy59.5Over
201111/12SMU17Navy24
201010/16Navy28SMU21
200910/17SMU35Navy38
200810/25Navy34SMU7
200208/31SMU7Navy38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU526 Overs
Navy962 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 56 - 24 - 12 - 1
Road Teams5 - 92 - 61 - 21 - 4

(#) NAVY at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 11
()
Navy won at SMU this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Navy in 2023 (59-14)
SMU beat Navy in 2022 (40-34)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD