SMU at UCF - 2008 Matchup Preview
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SMU Mustangs at UCF Knights

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Saturday, October 4th 2008 (3:30 PM EDT)
UCF 31 - SMU: 17  (Conference USA)

 
Mustangs (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'08 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Road Game
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 25 - UCF: 25 (50)
SMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 970 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'08 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2008 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 SMU at Rice+2.5
Sat 9/6 SMU vs Texas State-23.5
Sat 9/13 SMU at Texas Tech+2.5
Sat 9/20 SMU vs TCU-23.5
Thu 9/25 SMU at Tulane+2.5
Sat 10/4 SMU at UCF+2.5
Sat 10/11 SMU vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 10/18 SMU vs Houston-23.5
Sat 10/25 SMU at Navy+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 SMU vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 11/15 SMU at UTEP+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 SMU vs Southern Miss-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
UCF's 2008 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCF vs South Carolina State-23.5
Sat 9/6 UCF vs South Florida-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UCF at Boston College+2.5
Sat 9/27 UCF at UTEP+2.5
Sat 10/4 UCF vs SMU-23.5
Sat 10/11 UCF at Miami+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sun 10/26 UCF at Tulsa+2.5
Sun 11/2 UCF vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/8 UCF vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 11/15 UCF at Marshall+2.5
Sat 11/22 UCF at Memphis+2.5
Sat 11/29 UCF vs UAB-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.0245%32.243%2.8717145%2690.1143%20.543%43%068.22.91.8
UCF.0544%24.343%2.8223543%188-0.07-40%23.642%36%047.51.92
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.844.7%02.9234231712694.450%49%43%45%2%.02
UCF Defense1423.615.740.4%02 - - - - - 42%56%42%36%3%-
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.243.4%01.8 - - - - - 50%49%43%43%2%.11
UCF Offense1424.332.644.4%-0.071.9214122351884.961%36%43%43%2%.05

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1217:5223.443%38%7.668.22.91.800229.8
UCF1418:4720.939%61%5.347.51.9200432.8
Run Game Stats (2008)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1250%43%39.1171.34.415-.012.8754%0%0.78
UCF Defense1442%42% - - - - -.052.5958%0%0.69
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1250%43% - - - - .032.9278%0%0.75
UCF Offense1461%43%47.9234.84.941-.012.8258%0%0.64

Pass Game Stats (2008)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1249%45%20.836269.27.512.92619.070.928%36%.212%1.3
UCF Defense1456%36% - - - - - - 24.051.235%33%.223%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1249%43% - - - - - - 12.191.232%40%.422%1.6
UCF Offense1436%43%14.124.7187.97.613.31512.21.229%37%.272%1.3

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2008 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2008 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2008 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    UCF: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2008 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2008 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2008 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2008 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 25
UCF 25

Projected Total Points: 50
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2008 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/05UCF41SMU19UCF -3UCF65.0Under
202111/13SMU55UCF28SMU -7SMU61.5Over
201810/06UCF48SMU20UCF -25UCF73.5Under
201711/04SMU24UCF31UCF -14SMU75.0Under
201411/22UCF53SMU7UCF -26.5UCF0
201312/07SMU13UCF17UCF -10SMU0
201211/03UCF42SMU17
201110/15SMU38UCF17
201012/04UCF17SMU7
200810/04UCF31SMU17
200711/17SMU20UCF49
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF931 Overs
SMU233 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 36 - 04 - 02 - 0
Road Teams3 - 80 - 60 - 20 - 4

(#) SMU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'08 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'08 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
()
UCF won vs SMU this year (31-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SMU's OC ()
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UCF's OC ()
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UCF's DC ()
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