Michigan at Illinois - 2007 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo Michigan Wolverines at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, October 20th 2007 (8:00 PM EDT)
Michigan 27 - Illinois: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (29 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL is playing their 8th straight game
MICH is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MICH: 25 - ILL: 24 (49)
MICH Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MICH Travel: 277 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (28 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Michigan vs App State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Michigan vs Oregon-23.5
Sat 9/15 Michigan vs Notre Dame-23.5
Sat 9/22 Michigan vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 9/29 Michigan at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 10/6 Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/13 Michigan vs Purdue-23.5
Sat 10/20 Michigan at Illinois+2.5
Sat 10/27 Michigan vs Minnesota-23.5
Sat 11/3 Michigan at Michigan State+2.5
Sat 11/10 Michigan at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 11/17 Michigan vs Ohio State-23.5
Tue 1/1 Michigan at Florida+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Illinois's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Illinois vs Missouri-23.5
Sat 9/8 Illinois vs Western Illinois-23.5
Sat 9/15 Illinois at Syracuse+2.5
Sat 9/22 Illinois at Indiana+2.5
Sat 9/29 Illinois vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 10/6 Illinois vs Wisconsin-23.5
Sat 10/13 Illinois at Iowa+2.5
Sat 10/20 Illinois vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/27 Illinois vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 11/3 Illinois at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 11/10 Illinois at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 11/17 Illinois vs Northwestern-23.5
Tue 1/1 Illinois at USC+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH.0139%27.239%2.5916537%237039%21.441%35%-0.0944.62.22.5
ILL.0846%27.848%3.1825739%1760.0140%21.839%38%-0.0848.92.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense1327.22938.8%02.221385165237451%47%39%37%2%.01
ILL Defense1321.821.739.7%-0.082 - - - - - 44%54%39%38%2%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1321.425.839.4%-0.092.5 - - - - - 53%45%41%35%2%
ILL Offense1327.828.445.9%02.1214252571765.663%35%48%39%2%.08

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1318:1221.443%36%5.144.62.22.500033.2
Illinois1318:3021.343%75%4.948.92.1200128.9
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1351%39%41.5164.9420-.082.5971%0%0.67
ILL Defense1344%39% - - - - -.032.6163%0%0.81
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1353%41% - - - - .012.6464%0%0.79
ILL Offense1363%48%45.8256.85.621.133.1874%0%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1347%37%17.332.5236.77.313.72514.11.333%30%.182%1.6
ILL Defense1354%38% - - - - - - 17.061.335%33%.162%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1345%35% - - - - - - 14.021.135%26%.072%1.2
ILL Offense1335%39%1424.8176.47.112.6215-.02130%35%.182%1.3

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan's 2007 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan:    Illinois: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan:    Illinois:




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2007 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 21.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Michigan's 2007 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 25
Illinois 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 25
Illinois 21

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Illinois 26
Michigan 25

Total Points: 51
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.4
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.7

Illinois's 2007 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Illinois21Michigan7Michigan -6Illinois44.0Under
202211/19Michigan19Illinois17Michigan -17Illinois41.5Under
201910/12Illinois25Michigan42Michigan -24.5Illinois49.0Over
201610/22Michigan41Illinois8Michigan -28Michigan51.5Under
201210/13Michigan45Illinois0
201111/12Illinois14Michigan31
201011/06Michigan67Illinois65
200910/31Illinois38Michigan13
200810/04Michigan20Illinois45
200710/20Illinois17Michigan27
200410/16Illinois19Michigan30
200310/18Michigan56Illinois14
200209/28Illinois28Michigan45
200109/29Michigan45Illinois20
200009/22Illinois31Michigan35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois331 Overs
Michigan1213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 73 - 11 - 12 - 0
Road Teams7 - 81 - 30 - 21 - 1

(#) MICH at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
MICH OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 8
()
Michigan won at Illinois this year (27-17)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Michigan last year (21-7)
Michigan beat Illinois in 2022 (19-17)

  
MICH's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MICH's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD