Momentum Control Rankings — 2025 College Football | Punt & Rally
2025 Momentum Control Rankings

Opponent-adjusted Consecutive Scoring Sequences — 136 FBS teams — 2025 season

85.6%
Win Rate — CSS Leader
74.1%
Win Rate — TO Leader
92.9%
Win Rate — Lead Both
58.2%
Win Rate — TO Only
Momentum Control measures consecutive scoring sequences (CSS) — when a team scores, forces a stop, then scores again — opponent-adjusted for schedule strength. Teams that win the Momentum Control battle win 85.6% of FBS games (2016–2025, 5,485 games). That makes it the single most predictive game-outcome metric in college football. CSS Off measures sequences created. CSS Def measures sequences allowed (lower is better). CSS Net is the difference — the primary ranking metric.
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# Team Conf G Opponent-Adjusted Raw CSS Win%
CSS Off CSS Def ↓ CSS Net ▼ Off/G Def/G ↓
1 Indiana B1G 15 2.05 0.3 +1.75 2.53 0.27 100%
2 Texas Tech B12 13 2.06 0.32 +1.75 2.46 0.39 100%
3 Ohio State B1G 13 1.67 0.12 +1.56 2.31 0.15 90.9%
4 North Texas AAC 13 1.89 0.54 +1.35 2.54 0.54 100%
5 UConn Ind 12 1.47 0.35 +1.11 1.5 0.58 83.3%
6 USC B1G 13 1.44 0.39 +1.05 2 0.31 80%
7 SMU ACC 12 1.2 0.23 +0.97 1.58 0.25 77.8%
8 Utah B12 12 1.51 0.68 +0.84 1.92 0.5 100%
9 Notre Dame Ind 12 1.45 0.63 +0.83 1.92 0.5 100%
10 Ole Miss SEC 14 1.47 0.67 +0.8 1.93 0.5 88.9%
11 Virginia ACC 13 1.14 0.42 +0.73 1.31 0.39 75%
12 Louisville ACC 12 1.26 0.6 +0.67 1.5 0.5 87.5%
13 Georgia SEC 13 1.31 0.72 +0.59 1.62 0.62 100%
14 Texas A&M SEC 12 1.17 0.59 +0.58 1.33 0.5 100%
15 Old Dominion SBC 12 1.16 0.65 +0.51 2.08 0.58 100%
16 Miami ACC 15 0.86 0.41 +0.45 1.27 0.4 100%
17 Fresno State PAC 12 1.01 0.56 +0.44 1.42 0.58 100%
18 James Madison SBC 13 1.45 1.06 +0.39 1.62 0.46 100%
19 Vanderbilt SEC 12 1.42 1.04 +0.37 2.08 0.75 100%
20 Iowa B1G 12 0.86 0.49 +0.37 1.25 0.5 83.3%
21 East Carolina AAC 12 1.23 0.86 +0.37 1.58 0.83 100%
22 Toledo MAC 12 0.93 0.59 +0.35 1.33 0.5 87.5%
23 Pittsburgh ACC 12 1.56 1.22 +0.34 1.83 1 83.3%
24 Liberty CUSA 11 1.14 0.86 +0.28 1 1.09 66.7%
25 Texas SEC 13 1.07 0.79 +0.28 1.54 0.62 100%
26 Northwestern B1G 12 1.16 0.95 +0.21 1.67 0.67 75%
27 Oklahoma SEC 12 0.84 0.64 +0.2 1.42 0.5 100%
28 Auburn SEC 11 0.9 0.7 +0.2 1 0.55 100%
29 TCU B12 12 1.04 0.85 +0.19 1.08 0.75 83.3%
30 Florida State ACC 11 1.32 1.16 +0.16 1.64 0.91 80%
31 Alabama SEC 14 1.02 0.87 +0.15 1.64 0.79 100%
32 Michigan B1G 13 0.93 0.79 +0.14 1.23 0.54 83.3%
33 LSU SEC 12 0.5 0.36 +0.13 0.58 0.33 100%
34 New Mexico MWC 11 1.01 0.89 +0.13 1.18 0.73 100%
35 Texas State PAC 12 1.27 1.15 +0.12 1.58 0.67 75%
36 Clemson ACC 12 0.68 0.57 +0.11 1 0.5 80%
37 San Diego State PAC 12 0.63 0.52 +0.11 0.92 0.5 80%
38 Hawai'i MWC 12 1.18 1.08 +0.1 1.25 1 100%
39 Arizona B12 12 1.15 1.08 +0.07 1.25 0.92 100%
40 BYU B12 13 1.09 1.02 +0.07 1.23 0.85 100%
41 Penn State B1G 12 0.92 0.86 +0.05 1.5 0.67 83.3%
42 Wake Forest ACC 12 0.93 0.89 +0.04 1 0.75 50%
43 Georgia Tech ACC 12 1.31 1.29 +0.02 1.67 1 100%
44 Jacksonville State CUSA 13 0.77 0.77 -0.01 0.69 0.69 50%
45 Arizona State B12 12 1.09 1.1 -0.01 1.17 1 100%
46 South Florida AAC 12 1.21 1.23 -0.02 2.08 0.75 100%
47 Washington State PAC 12 0.84 0.92 -0.07 1 0.83 85.7%
48 Cincinnati B12 12 0.86 0.94 -0.08 0.92 0.75 100%
49 Houston B12 12 1.19 1.29 -0.1 1.42 1 100%
50 Tennessee SEC 12 1.23 1.33 -0.1 1.5 1.08 71.4%
51 Memphis AAC 12 0.66 0.77 -0.11 0.67 0.58 100%
52 Tulsa AAC 11 0.82 0.94 -0.12 0.91 0.82 50%
53 Oregon B1G 14 1.11 1.25 -0.14 1.64 0.86 100%
54 Missouri SEC 12 0.39 0.57 -0.19 0.75 0.42 100%
55 Buffalo MAC 11 0.44 0.67 -0.24 0.55 0.64 50%
56 UTSA AAC 12 1.22 1.46 -0.25 1.58 1.17 80%
57 Western Kentucky CUSA 12 0.77 1.05 -0.27 1.42 1 83.3%
58 Arkansas State SBC 12 0.69 0.97 -0.28 0.75 0.75 80%
59 UNLV MWC 13 0.88 1.18 -0.3 0.92 1 100%
60 Kansas B12 11 0.65 0.96 -0.31 1 0.73 75%
61 Army AAC 12 0.68 1 -0.32 0.75 0.83 66.7%
62 Kansas State B12 11 0.85 1.21 -0.36 0.73 0.82 40%
63 Florida SEC 11 0.76 1.12 -0.36 0.82 1.09 50%
64 Iowa State B12 11 0.63 0.99 -0.36 0.64 0.82 100%
65 Boise State PAC 13 0.43 0.84 -0.41 1 0.46 100%
66 Western Michigan MAC 13 0.36 0.8 -0.44 0.92 0.54 100%
67 Louisiana SBC 12 0.9 1.34 -0.44 1.25 0.92 75%
68 Washington B1G 12 0.9 1.4 -0.5 1.42 1 100%
69 California ACC 12 0.84 1.39 -0.55 1 1.33 66.7%
70 Miami (OH) MAC 13 0.81 1.36 -0.55 1 1 60%
71 Middle Tennessee CUSA 11 0.44 1.07 -0.64 0.55 1.36 —
72 Mississippi State SEC 12 0.66 1.33 -0.67 1 1 66.7%
73 Southern Miss SBC 12 0.68 1.39 -0.71 0.92 0.92 66.7%
74 Ball State MAC 11 0.18 0.88 -0.71 0.27 0.82 66.7%
75 Baylor B12 11 0.45 1.21 -0.75 0.55 1 50%
76 Air Force MWC 11 0.31 1.09 -0.78 0.36 1 66.7%
77 Wyoming MWC 11 0.2 1.01 -0.81 0.27 0.64 100%
78 Kentucky SEC 11 0.62 1.43 -0.81 0.91 1.36 66.7%
79 Duke ACC 13 0.89 1.77 -0.88 1.15 1.62 100%
80 South Carolina SEC 11 0.3 1.22 -0.92 0.55 0.91 100%
81 North Carolina ACC 11 0.26 1.19 -0.93 0.55 1 100%
82 Navy AAC 12 0.64 1.6 -0.96 0.83 0.83 100%
83 Bowling Green MAC 11 0.34 1.31 -0.97 0.73 1 100%
84 Michigan State B1G 11 0.34 1.33 -0.99 0.36 1 —
85 Colorado B12 12 0.34 1.33 -0.99 0.42 1.25 50%
86 South Alabama SBC 11 0.57 1.61 -1.04 0.73 1.55 100%
87 UCF B12 11 0.57 1.62 -1.05 0.73 1.18 75%
88 Louisiana Tech CUSA 12 0.35 1.42 -1.07 1 1.17 100%
89 Illinois B1G 12 0.66 1.79 -1.14 1.08 1 100%
90 Arkansas SEC 11 0.67 1.82 -1.15 0.91 1.46 50%
91 NC State ACC 12 0.66 1.81 -1.15 0.83 1.5 100%
92 Ohio MAC 12 0.68 1.84 -1.16 0.75 0.58 100%
93 Marshall SBC 11 0.49 1.66 -1.17 0.91 1.27 75%
94 San José State MWC 11 0.54 1.72 -1.18 0.82 1.64 50%
95 New Mexico State CUSA 11 0.7 1.95 -1.25 1 1.46 50%
96 Nebraska B1G 12 0.6 1.85 -1.25 1.17 1.58 100%
97 Troy SBC 13 0.24 1.5 -1.26 0.46 1.08 50%
98 Boston College ACC 11 0.51 1.77 -1.26 0.64 1.64 100%
99 Oregon State PAC 11 0.55 1.82 -1.27 0.73 1 0%
100 Tulane AAC 14 1.09 2.39 -1.29 1.5 1.21 100%
101 Florida International CUSA 12 0.64 1.97 -1.33 1.33 1.33 100%
102 Minnesota B1G 11 0.4 1.74 -1.34 0.64 1.18 100%
103 Oklahoma State B12 11 0.09 1.51 -1.42 0.09 1.64 0%
104 Virginia Tech ACC 11 0.37 1.8 -1.42 0.46 1.82 100%
105 Stanford ACC 12 0.65 2.19 -1.54 0.75 1.75 50%
106 App State SBC 12 0.51 2.06 -1.54 0.75 1.33 66.7%
107 Wisconsin B1G 12 0.17 1.72 -1.55 0.17 1.25 100%
108 Rutgers B1G 11 0.65 2.24 -1.59 1 1.64 100%
109 Colorado State PAC 11 0.16 1.77 -1.61 0.27 1.55 100%
110 Kennesaw State CUSA 13 0.85 2.5 -1.65 1 1.08 100%
111 Northern Illinois MWC 11 0.21 1.88 -1.66 0.91 1.36 100%
112 Delaware CUSA 12 0.56 2.23 -1.67 1 1.5 100%
113 West Virginia B12 11 0.36 2.06 -1.69 0.36 1.73 100%
114 Utah State PAC 12 0.26 1.97 -1.71 0.67 1.08 100%
115 Charlotte AAC 11 0.16 1.92 -1.76 0.36 1.55 —
116 UTEP MWC 11 0.41 2.2 -1.8 0.73 1.73 33.3%
117 UCLA B1G 12 0.51 2.31 -1.8 0.67 2.08 100%
118 Eastern Michigan MAC 11 0.37 2.2 -1.83 0.27 1.27 100%
119 Syracuse ACC 11 0.19 2.03 -1.84 0.27 1.82 100%
120 Maryland B1G 11 0.49 2.36 -1.87 0.82 1.64 100%
121 UAB AAC 11 0.47 2.45 -1.98 0.55 1.82 100%
122 Rice AAC 12 0.36 2.39 -2.03 0.5 1.67 50%
123 Central Michigan MAC 12 0.16 2.19 -2.03 0.83 1.08 100%
124 Massachusetts MAC 11 0.11 2.23 -2.12 0.27 2.36 0%
125 Georgia Southern SBC 12 0.5 2.72 -2.22 0.92 1.75 100%
126 Florida Atlantic AAC 11 0.43 2.66 -2.23 0.73 2.18 100%
127 Purdue B1G 11 0.31 2.61 -2.29 0.46 2 100%
128 Akron MAC 11 0.17 2.53 -2.36 0.55 1.36 100%
129 Missouri State CUSA 12 0.46 2.91 -2.45 0.75 1.58 100%
130 Coastal Carolina SBC 12 0.28 2.74 -2.46 0.75 1.75 100%
131 Sam Houston CUSA 12 0.4 2.87 -2.46 0.42 2.08 100%
132 Temple AAC 11 0.21 2.75 -2.54 0.55 1.91 50%
133 Georgia State SBC 11 0.16 3.2 -3.03 0.36 2.36 —
134 Nevada MWC 11 0.31 3.36 -3.04 0.55 1.91 50%
135 Kent State MAC 11 0.54 3.89 -3.35 0.82 2.18 50%
136 UL Monroe SBC 11 0.17 4.88 -4.71 0.36 2.64 100%