Momentum Control Rankings — 2024 College Football | Punt & Rally
2024 Momentum Control Rankings

Opponent-adjusted Consecutive Scoring Sequences — 134 FBS teams — 2024 season

85.6%
Win Rate — CSS Leader
74.1%
Win Rate — TO Leader
92.9%
Win Rate — Lead Both
58.2%
Win Rate — TO Only
Momentum Control measures consecutive scoring sequences (CSS) — when a team scores, forces a stop, then scores again — opponent-adjusted for schedule strength. Teams that win the Momentum Control battle win 85.6% of FBS games (2016–2025, 5,485 games). That makes it the single most predictive game-outcome metric in college football. CSS Off measures sequences created. CSS Def measures sequences allowed (lower is better). CSS Net is the difference — the primary ranking metric.
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# Team Conf G Opponent-Adjusted Raw CSS Win%
CSS Off CSS Def ↓ CSS Net ▼ Off/G Def/G ↓
1 Ole Miss SEC 12 2.08 0.13 +1.95 2.33 0.08 90%
2 Ohio State B1G 16 1.82 0.13 +1.68 2.19 0.13 100%
3 Northern Illinois MWC 12 1.31 0.32 +0.99 1 0.58 85.7%
4 Miami ACC 12 1.82 0.88 +0.94 2.33 0.75 87.5%
5 Boise State PAC 13 1.47 0.54 +0.93 1.77 0.62 90%
6 Iowa State B12 13 1.4 0.48 +0.93 1.62 0.39 100%
7 BYU B12 12 1.22 0.31 +0.91 1.17 0.33 66.7%
8 Penn State B1G 16 1.23 0.39 +0.84 1.75 0.38 83.3%
9 Syracuse ACC 12 1.55 0.83 +0.72 1.58 0.75 83.3%
10 Texas SEC 16 1.31 0.64 +0.67 1.81 0.5 90.9%
11 USC B1G 13 1.21 0.57 +0.65 1.31 0.54 62.5%
12 LSU SEC 12 1.32 0.79 +0.53 1.42 0.67 100%
13 Indiana B1G 12 1.04 0.51 +0.52 2 0.42 100%
14 TCU B12 12 1.28 0.82 +0.46 1.42 0.75 100%
15 SMU ACC 13 1.21 0.77 +0.44 1.39 0.54 100%
16 James Madison SBC 12 1.07 0.65 +0.42 1.17 0.5 66.7%
17 Kansas State B12 12 1.23 0.81 +0.42 1.42 0.75 80%
18 Louisville ACC 12 1.53 1.19 +0.33 1.67 1.17 100%
19 Alabama SEC 12 0.99 0.69 +0.31 1.25 0.67 100%
20 Old Dominion SBC 12 1.09 0.82 +0.27 1.17 0.58 50%
21 Liberty CUSA 11 1.22 0.95 +0.26 0.91 0.91 100%
22 Texas State PAC 12 0.84 0.59 +0.25 1.5 0.92 100%
23 Sam Houston CUSA 13 1.04 0.79 +0.25 0.85 0.46 100%
24 Texas Tech B12 12 1.43 1.24 +0.18 1.67 1.17 80%
25 Virginia Tech ACC 13 1.43 1.25 +0.18 1.62 1.08 83.3%
26 Georgia SEC 13 1.18 1 +0.18 1.54 0.85 87.5%
27 Louisiana SBC 13 1.26 1.11 +0.15 1.77 0.62 75%
28 Arizona State B12 14 0.87 0.76 +0.11 1.14 0.79 83.3%
29 Memphis AAC 12 1.36 1.26 +0.1 1.42 1 100%
30 Texas A&M SEC 12 1.31 1.24 +0.07 1.67 0.92 85.7%
31 Miami (OH) MAC 14 0.71 0.66 +0.05 1.07 0.57 100%
32 Michigan B1G 13 0.82 0.77 +0.05 1.23 0.77 66.7%
33 Pittsburgh ACC 12 1.52 1.49 +0.03 2 1.08 55.6%
34 Rice AAC 11 0.53 0.51 +0.02 0.46 0.64 100%
35 Missouri SEC 12 1.1 1.09 +0.01 1.42 0.75 87.5%
36 Colorado B12 12 1.04 1.04 0 1.25 0.92 100%
37 Notre Dame Ind 16 0.99 1 -0.01 1.38 0.56 100%
38 Minnesota B1G 12 0.87 0.9 -0.02 1 0.67 85.7%
39 Rutgers B1G 12 0.78 0.82 -0.03 1.17 0.67 100%
40 Kansas B12 11 0.72 0.76 -0.04 0.73 0.73 100%
41 Vanderbilt SEC 12 0.87 0.91 -0.05 1.08 0.83 100%
42 UNLV MWC 13 0.85 0.94 -0.09 1.23 0.46 100%
43 South Alabama SBC 12 1.17 1.3 -0.12 1.75 0.75 62.5%
44 Louisiana Tech CUSA 12 0.62 0.74 -0.12 0.83 0.33 50%
45 South Carolina SEC 12 0.77 0.91 -0.14 0.92 0.83 100%
46 Jacksonville State CUSA 14 0.67 0.85 -0.18 1.5 0.43 100%
47 Iowa B1G 12 1.1 1.29 -0.19 1.5 0.83 100%
48 San José State MWC 12 0.96 1.17 -0.2 0.83 0.75 75%
49 Fresno State PAC 12 0.42 0.64 -0.22 1.08 0.67 83.3%
50 Nebraska B1G 12 0.47 0.7 -0.23 0.83 0.58 60%
51 Georgia Tech ACC 12 0.63 0.87 -0.24 0.83 0.83 75%
52 Auburn SEC 11 0.55 0.81 -0.26 1 0.64 75%
53 Cincinnati B12 11 1 1.31 -0.31 1.18 1.09 60%
54 North Carolina ACC 12 0.69 1.03 -0.34 0.58 0.83 100%
55 Tennessee SEC 12 0.86 1.2 -0.34 2.08 0.58 100%
56 Baylor B12 12 0.89 1.23 -0.34 1.25 0.92 100%
57 Utah B12 11 0.67 1.02 -0.35 0.64 0.91 100%
58 Eastern Michigan MAC 11 0.72 1.09 -0.38 1.18 0.82 80%
59 Georgia State SBC 11 1.35 1.73 -0.38 1.18 1.73 50%
60 UConn Ind 12 0.69 1.09 -0.4 1.25 1 100%
61 Illinois B1G 12 0.37 0.78 -0.4 0.83 0.58 100%
62 Oregon B1G 13 0.75 1.16 -0.41 1.69 0.62 100%
63 Army AAC 13 0.86 1.28 -0.43 1.39 0.46 100%
64 Tulane AAC 13 0.96 1.4 -0.44 1.23 0.92 80%
65 UTSA AAC 12 0.91 1.36 -0.45 1.5 0.83 75%
66 Navy AAC 12 0.8 1.26 -0.46 1.25 0.92 100%
67 Bowling Green MAC 12 0.51 0.97 -0.46 0.67 0.67 100%
68 Florida International CUSA 11 0.55 1.05 -0.51 1 0.73 75%
69 Clemson ACC 13 1.16 1.68 -0.52 2 1.23 100%
70 Ohio MAC 13 1.2 1.72 -0.52 1.46 0.92 100%
71 Kentucky SEC 11 0.5 1.02 -0.53 0.82 0.91 100%
72 Charlotte AAC 11 0.86 1.44 -0.59 1 1.09 100%
73 Oklahoma SEC 12 0.38 0.99 -0.61 0.75 0.67 60%
74 East Carolina AAC 12 1.06 1.68 -0.62 1.33 1.42 100%
75 UCF B12 11 0.75 1.36 -0.62 1 1.18 66.7%
76 Nevada MWC 12 0.16 0.81 -0.65 0.5 0.92 100%
77 Air Force MWC 11 0.61 1.27 -0.66 1.09 1 100%
78 Houston B12 12 0.22 0.9 -0.67 0.17 1 100%
79 Toledo MAC 12 0.56 1.27 -0.7 0.58 0.92 60%
80 Florida SEC 12 0.72 1.43 -0.71 1 1 100%
81 Virginia ACC 11 0.72 1.51 -0.79 1 1.36 66.7%
82 Duke ACC 12 0.73 1.52 -0.79 0.92 1.17 100%
83 Arkansas SEC 12 0.71 1.56 -0.85 1.25 1.25 83.3%
84 Wyoming MWC 11 0.1 0.96 -0.86 0.46 1 0%
85 Wisconsin B1G 11 0.21 1.07 -0.86 0.82 1 100%
86 California ACC 12 0.71 1.59 -0.88 1.08 1 75%
87 San Diego State PAC 11 0.67 1.56 -0.89 0.55 1.18 100%
88 NC State ACC 12 1.28 2.19 -0.9 1.5 1.83 50%
89 Washington State PAC 12 0.61 1.57 -0.97 1 1.17 75%
90 Boston College ACC 12 0.59 1.57 -0.98 0.58 1.42 50%
91 Buffalo MAC 12 0.27 1.27 -0.99 0.58 0.92 100%
92 Maryland B1G 11 0.42 1.44 -1.03 0.82 1.36 100%
93 Wake Forest ACC 11 0.39 1.44 -1.05 0.64 1 66.7%
94 North Texas AAC 12 0.59 1.64 -1.05 1.25 1.58 66.7%
95 West Virginia B12 12 0.79 1.94 -1.15 0.92 1.83 100%
96 New Mexico MWC 11 0.28 1.47 -1.19 0.55 1.09 100%
97 UCLA B1G 12 0.54 1.74 -1.2 0.58 1.42 100%
98 Kennesaw State CUSA 11 0.44 1.65 -1.21 0.27 1.27 100%
99 Georgia Southern SBC 12 0.96 2.2 -1.24 0.92 1.33 100%
100 Washington B1G 12 0.71 1.97 -1.26 1 1.33 80%
101 South Florida AAC 12 0.68 1.94 -1.26 1.25 1.25 100%
102 Central Michigan MAC 11 0.53 1.8 -1.26 0.82 1.73 100%
103 Troy SBC 11 0.49 1.78 -1.29 0.82 1.27 100%
104 Oklahoma State B12 11 0.5 1.8 -1.3 0.73 1.73 100%
105 UAB AAC 11 0.46 1.77 -1.32 0.82 1.27 100%
106 Michigan State B1G 11 0.68 2.01 -1.33 0.82 1.64 100%
107 Coastal Carolina SBC 12 0.35 1.72 -1.37 0.58 1.5 100%
108 Marshall SBC 12 0.24 1.7 -1.46 0.75 0.92 100%
109 Arizona B12 11 0.78 2.25 -1.47 1.18 1.91 75%
110 Mississippi State SEC 11 0.5 2.13 -1.63 0.73 2.09 100%
111 Florida State ACC 11 0.2 1.82 -1.63 0.27 1.46 0%
112 Stanford ACC 11 0.49 2.14 -1.65 0.46 2.09 100%
113 Hawai'i MWC 10 0.1 1.84 -1.74 0.3 1.4 100%
114 App State SBC 10 0.44 2.28 -1.83 0.5 1.7 100%
115 Utah State PAC 11 0.77 2.68 -1.92 1.09 2.09 66.7%
116 Arkansas State SBC 12 0.33 2.26 -1.93 0.67 1.42 100%
117 Akron MAC 11 0.22 2.18 -1.96 0.64 1.64 50%
118 Florida Atlantic AAC 11 0.47 2.52 -2.05 0.91 2.09 66.7%
119 Massachusetts MAC 10 0.43 2.5 -2.07 0.6 1.7 0%
120 Northwestern B1G 11 0.33 2.41 -2.08 0.55 1.73 100%
121 Temple AAC 12 0.36 2.44 -2.08 0.75 1.67 100%
122 Tulsa AAC 11 0.62 2.72 -2.09 0.64 2.46 100%
123 Western Kentucky CUSA 13 0.32 2.42 -2.1 1.08 1.15 83.3%
124 Southern Miss SBC 11 0.21 2.36 -2.15 0.18 2.27 —
125 Western Michigan MAC 12 0.29 2.46 -2.17 1.17 1.33 80%
126 New Mexico State CUSA 11 0.29 2.5 -2.21 0.64 2 50%
127 Colorado State PAC 12 0.3 2.61 -2.31 0.75 1.17 66.7%
128 UL Monroe SBC 11 0.11 2.48 -2.37 0.27 1.36 100%
129 Oregon State PAC 11 0.23 2.98 -2.75 0.36 1.82 100%
130 Ball State MAC 11 0.35 3.44 -3.09 0.82 2.18 66.7%
131 Purdue B1G 11 0.16 3.27 -3.11 0.27 2.73 —
132 UTEP MWC 11 0.1 3.25 -3.14 0.18 2.09 —
133 Middle Tennessee CUSA 11 0.05 3.45 -3.4 0.09 1.91 —
134 Kent State MAC 11 0 4.6 -4.6 0 3.36 —