Momentum Control Rankings — 2020 College Football | Punt & Rally
2020 Momentum Control Rankings

Opponent-adjusted Consecutive Scoring Sequences — 112 FBS teams — 2020 season

85.6%
Win Rate — CSS Leader
74.1%
Win Rate — TO Leader
92.9%
Win Rate — Lead Both
58.2%
Win Rate — TO Only
Momentum Control measures consecutive scoring sequences (CSS) — when a team scores, forces a stop, then scores again — opponent-adjusted for schedule strength. Teams that win the Momentum Control battle win 85.6% of FBS games (2016–2025, 5,485 games). That makes it the single most predictive game-outcome metric in college football. CSS Off measures sequences created. CSS Def measures sequences allowed (lower is better). CSS Net is the difference — the primary ranking metric.
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# Team Conf G Opponent-Adjusted Raw CSS Win%
CSS Off CSS Def ↓ CSS Net ▼ Off/G Def/G ↓
1 Alabama SEC 13 2.36 0.31 +2.04 2.54 0.31 100%
2 Clemson ACC 11 2.44 0.79 +1.64 2.91 0.46 88.9%
3 North Carolina ACC 11 2.42 0.81 +1.62 2.55 0.73 100%
4 BYU B12 12 2.32 0.77 +1.55 3.08 0.5 100%
5 Cincinnati B12 10 1.59 0.37 +1.22 1.7 0.2 100%
6 Ball State MAC 8 1.58 0.42 +1.16 1.38 0.5 100%
7 Oklahoma SEC 10 2.36 1.22 +1.14 2.7 1 100%
8 USC B1G 6 1.34 0.37 +0.97 1.5 0.33 100%
9 Ohio State B1G 8 1.7 0.76 +0.94 2 0.5 100%
10 Iowa State B12 12 1.28 0.41 +0.86 1.67 0.33 100%
11 Coastal Carolina SBC 12 1.33 0.54 +0.79 1.92 0.58 100%
12 Wisconsin B1G 7 0.86 0.08 +0.79 1.14 0.14 100%
13 San José State MWC 8 1.28 0.63 +0.65 1.5 0.5 100%
14 Wyoming MWC 6 1.12 0.51 +0.62 1.5 0.33 66.7%
15 Florida SEC 12 2.25 1.66 +0.59 2.42 1.17 85.7%
16 Texas A&M SEC 10 1.62 1.03 +0.58 1.7 0.6 100%
17 Eastern Michigan MAC 6 1.57 1.02 +0.55 1.33 1 100%
18 Iowa B1G 8 1.02 0.55 +0.47 1.25 0.5 75%
19 UTSA AAC 11 0.69 0.24 +0.45 1.27 0.55 75%
20 Louisiana SBC 11 0.78 0.33 +0.45 1.27 0.46 100%
21 Indiana B1G 8 1.48 1.04 +0.43 1.63 0.63 100%
22 Army AAC 9 0.57 0.14 +0.43 1 0.11 75%
23 Nevada MWC 9 1.53 1.14 +0.39 1.56 0.78 100%
24 Air Force MWC 6 1.01 0.63 +0.37 1.67 0.33 100%
25 UAB AAC 8 0.93 0.58 +0.35 1.38 0.38 75%
26 Buffalo MAC 7 1.23 0.89 +0.34 1.71 0.71 100%
27 App State SBC 12 0.89 0.6 +0.29 1.58 0.25 100%
28 Virginia Tech ACC 11 1.27 1.02 +0.25 1.55 0.82 71.4%
29 Texas SEC 10 1.43 1.21 +0.21 1.9 1 100%
30 Tulsa AAC 9 0.97 0.86 +0.11 1.11 0.78 66.7%
31 UCF B12 10 1.73 1.68 +0.05 2.5 1.1 100%
32 Liberty CUSA 10 0.9 0.88 +0.02 1.7 0.4 100%
33 Toledo MAC 6 1.26 1.27 -0.02 1.83 1.17 66.7%
34 Marshall SBC 10 0.61 0.67 -0.06 1.7 0.4 100%
35 SMU ACC 9 1.59 1.66 -0.07 2.44 1.33 100%
36 Georgia SEC 10 1.6 1.67 -0.07 2 1 100%
37 Central Michigan MAC 6 1.23 1.33 -0.1 1.33 1 50%
38 Oklahoma State B12 11 1.22 1.33 -0.1 1.46 0.91 100%
39 Oregon B1G 7 0.4 0.51 -0.11 0.57 0.71 100%
40 Northern Illinois MWC 6 0.6 0.71 -0.12 0.5 0.83 0%
41 UCLA B1G 6 1.39 1.55 -0.16 1.5 1.5 66.7%
42 Nebraska B1G 8 0.97 1.15 -0.18 1 1 50%
43 Northwestern B1G 9 0.6 0.87 -0.28 0.89 0.78 100%
44 West Virginia B12 10 0.4 0.71 -0.31 0.7 0.5 50%
45 Houston B12 8 1.54 1.87 -0.32 1.75 1.38 60%
46 Penn State B1G 9 0.69 1.06 -0.37 1 0.89 66.7%
47 Memphis AAC 10 0.9 1.27 -0.37 1.1 0.8 100%
48 Stanford ACC 6 0.94 1.35 -0.41 0.83 1 0%
49 Purdue B1G 6 0.48 0.92 -0.43 0.33 1.17 —
50 Georgia State SBC 10 1.23 1.67 -0.44 1.7 1.1 100%
51 Virginia ACC 9 0.84 1.29 -0.45 1.22 1.22 100%
52 TCU B12 10 0.7 1.17 -0.47 1.3 0.9 100%
53 San Diego State PAC 8 0.59 1.07 -0.49 1 0.5 100%
54 Minnesota B1G 7 0.59 1.08 -0.49 0.86 1 50%
55 Georgia Southern SBC 13 0.44 0.94 -0.5 0.85 0.69 100%
56 Fresno State PAC 6 0.58 1.1 -0.52 0.67 1.33 100%
57 Boston College ACC 11 0.8 1.36 -0.56 1 0.91 80%
58 Pittsburgh ACC 11 1.28 1.86 -0.58 1.64 1.09 75%
59 Tulane AAC 12 1.04 1.66 -0.61 1.58 1.33 75%
60 Miami ACC 11 1.24 1.93 -0.68 1.82 1.46 100%
61 Ole Miss SEC 10 0.73 1.47 -0.74 1.5 1.1 60%
62 Louisville ACC 11 0.94 1.77 -0.83 1.36 1.46 100%
63 Michigan B1G 6 0.39 1.22 -0.83 0.5 1 100%
64 NC State ACC 12 0.97 1.8 -0.83 1.08 1.5 100%
65 Middle Tennessee CUSA 9 0.47 1.31 -0.84 0.56 1.22 66.7%
66 Michigan State B1G 7 0.4 1.25 -0.84 0.43 1 100%
67 Florida Atlantic AAC 9 0.26 1.14 -0.88 0.56 1 100%
68 New Mexico MWC 7 0.67 1.56 -0.89 0.86 1.57 100%
69 Kentucky SEC 11 0.76 1.66 -0.9 1 0.91 80%
70 Florida State ACC 9 0.71 1.62 -0.91 1.11 1.33 100%
71 Auburn SEC 11 0.83 1.76 -0.93 1 1.27 100%
72 Western Michigan MAC 6 0.55 1.5 -0.95 0.67 1.33 100%
73 Mississippi State SEC 11 0.25 1.22 -0.97 0.55 1 100%
74 Baylor B12 9 0.73 1.73 -1 1 1.44 66.7%
75 Colorado B12 6 0.68 1.68 -1 0.83 1.5 100%
76 Troy SBC 11 0.79 1.81 -1.02 1 1.18 80%
77 Oregon State PAC 7 0.36 1.42 -1.06 0.43 1.29 100%
78 Boise State PAC 7 0.72 1.8 -1.08 1.29 1.14 100%
79 Charlotte AAC 6 0.33 1.48 -1.15 0.83 1.33 100%
80 Notre Dame Ind 12 0.73 1.88 -1.15 1.17 1 100%
81 East Carolina AAC 9 1 2.18 -1.18 1.22 1.67 66.7%
82 South Florida AAC 8 0.54 1.75 -1.21 0.63 1.75 —
83 Hawai'i MWC 9 0.34 1.56 -1.22 0.44 1.33 100%
84 Rutgers B1G 9 0.38 1.62 -1.25 0.44 1.22 100%
85 Kansas State B12 10 0.79 2.09 -1.3 0.9 1.7 66.7%
86 Texas Tech B12 9 0.78 2.21 -1.44 0.78 1.44 25%
87 Illinois B1G 8 0.53 2 -1.47 0.63 1.63 66.7%
88 Arkansas SEC 10 0.67 2.15 -1.48 0.8 1.7 33.3%
89 Syracuse ACC 11 0.25 1.74 -1.48 0.36 1.27 50%
90 South Alabama SBC 11 0.3 1.81 -1.51 0.64 1.55 75%
91 Missouri SEC 10 0.69 2.25 -1.56 1.1 1.5 66.7%
92 UL Monroe SBC 10 0.11 1.69 -1.58 0.1 1.7 0%
93 LSU SEC 10 0.59 2.18 -1.6 1.1 1.6 66.7%
94 Arkansas State SBC 10 0.36 1.97 -1.6 0.9 1.7 100%
95 Southern Miss SBC 10 1.04 2.67 -1.63 1.2 1.6 100%
96 Wake Forest ACC 9 0.95 2.6 -1.65 1.33 1.89 100%
97 Tennessee SEC 10 0.32 2.01 -1.7 0.4 1.9 —
98 UNLV MWC 6 0.27 1.97 -1.7 0.33 1.83 0%
99 Western Kentucky CUSA 11 0.11 1.83 -1.72 0.27 1.27 100%
100 Vanderbilt SEC 9 0.35 2.16 -1.81 0.44 2.44 0%
101 South Carolina SEC 10 0.66 2.48 -1.82 0.8 1.9 50%
102 Texas State PAC 12 0.34 2.22 -1.88 0.58 1.67 100%
103 Utah State PAC 6 0.34 2.26 -1.92 0.5 2 100%
104 Akron MAC 6 0 2.18 -2.18 0 1.83 —
105 Kansas B12 9 0.44 2.73 -2.29 0.44 2.33 —
106 Georgia Tech ACC 10 0.53 2.91 -2.38 0.7 2.2 100%
107 Duke ACC 11 0.24 2.64 -2.4 0.55 2.18 100%
108 Temple AAC 7 0.33 2.94 -2.61 0.29 2.14 —
109 Navy AAC 10 0.37 3.11 -2.75 0.4 2.4 —
110 North Texas AAC 9 0.35 3.18 -2.83 0.78 2.11 100%
111 Louisiana Tech CUSA 9 0.37 3.42 -3.05 0.56 2.22 —
112 UTEP MWC 6 0.12 3.74 -3.63 0.5 2 100%