Momentum Control Rankings — 2019 College Football | Punt & Rally
2019 Momentum Control Rankings

Opponent-adjusted Consecutive Scoring Sequences — 130 FBS teams — 2019 season

85.6%
Win Rate — CSS Leader
74.1%
Win Rate — TO Leader
92.9%
Win Rate — Lead Both
58.2%
Win Rate — TO Only
Momentum Control measures consecutive scoring sequences (CSS) — when a team scores, forces a stop, then scores again — opponent-adjusted for schedule strength. Teams that win the Momentum Control battle win 85.6% of FBS games (2016–2025, 5,485 games). That makes it the single most predictive game-outcome metric in college football. CSS Off measures sequences created. CSS Def measures sequences allowed (lower is better). CSS Net is the difference — the primary ranking metric.
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# Team Conf G Opponent-Adjusted Raw CSS Win%
CSS Off CSS Def ↓ CSS Net ▼ Off/G Def/G ↓
1 LSU SEC 14 2.9 0.52 +2.38 3.29 0.43 100%
2 Ohio State B1G 14 2.78 0.57 +2.21 3.36 0.36 92.3%
3 Memphis AAC 13 2.26 0.88 +1.38 2.15 0.69 87.5%
4 Clemson ACC 14 1.9 0.82 +1.08 2.29 0.29 100%
5 UCF B12 12 1.55 0.48 +1.07 1.83 0.58 75%
6 Georgia SEC 14 1.35 0.47 +0.89 2 0.29 100%
7 Boise State PAC 13 1.56 0.68 +0.88 1.69 0.62 100%
8 BYU B12 12 1.02 0.2 +0.82 1.33 0.42 62.5%
9 Utah B12 13 1.34 0.58 +0.76 1.62 0.39 90%
10 Louisiana SBC 13 1.45 0.69 +0.76 2 0.46 100%
11 Iowa B1G 13 0.8 0.19 +0.61 1.31 0.15 88.9%
12 Penn State B1G 12 1.18 0.6 +0.58 1.42 0.5 85.7%
13 Michigan B1G 13 1.41 0.83 +0.57 1.62 0.54 87.5%
14 Western Kentucky CUSA 12 1.18 0.64 +0.54 1.25 0.5 85.7%
15 San Diego State PAC 12 0.86 0.32 +0.54 0.75 0.33 100%
16 App State SBC 13 1.09 0.57 +0.52 1.39 0.62 100%
17 Miami ACC 12 1 0.49 +0.51 0.92 0.5 40%
18 Washington B1G 12 1.09 0.6 +0.48 1.17 0.67 71.4%
19 Air Force MWC 12 1.22 0.74 +0.48 1.42 0.58 85.7%
20 Auburn SEC 12 0.8 0.39 +0.41 1.42 0.25 71.4%
21 TCU B12 11 1.16 0.76 +0.4 1.18 0.46 66.7%
22 Wyoming MWC 12 0.84 0.5 +0.34 1 0.42 80%
23 Alabama SEC 12 1.7 1.43 +0.27 2.67 0.75 100%
24 Oregon B1G 13 1.1 0.85 +0.25 1.31 0.62 100%
25 Oklahoma SEC 13 2.1 1.86 +0.24 2.46 1.08 90.9%
26 Florida SEC 12 0.85 0.65 +0.2 1.33 0.42 100%
27 Minnesota B1G 12 0.89 0.7 +0.19 1.42 0.5 100%
28 Ohio MAC 12 0.88 0.74 +0.15 1.42 0.58 83.3%
29 Kentucky SEC 13 1.09 1 +0.09 1.54 0.62 100%
30 San José State MWC 11 1.04 1.02 +0.02 1.18 0.82 75%
31 North Carolina ACC 12 0.91 0.91 0 1.25 0.92 100%
32 Tennessee SEC 12 0.51 0.52 -0.01 0.92 0.5 80%
33 Washington State PAC 12 1.22 1.28 -0.06 2.17 1.17 80%
34 Kansas State B12 12 0.83 0.93 -0.09 1.08 0.67 80%
35 Fresno State PAC 11 0.87 1.01 -0.14 1.18 1.09 40%
36 Virginia Tech ACC 11 0.91 1.06 -0.15 0.82 1.09 75%
37 Marshall SBC 12 0.61 0.79 -0.18 0.58 0.58 100%
38 Notre Dame Ind 13 1.38 1.57 -0.19 2.15 0.92 100%
39 Illinois B1G 13 0.65 0.85 -0.2 0.85 0.62 80%
40 Navy AAC 12 1.58 1.79 -0.21 2.08 1.08 100%
41 UAB AAC 13 0.62 0.84 -0.22 0.85 0.46 83.3%
42 Iowa State B12 12 1.1 1.32 -0.22 1.58 1.08 75%
43 Indiana B1G 13 0.71 0.94 -0.23 1.31 0.54 85.7%
44 SMU ACC 13 1.19 1.45 -0.25 1.62 0.92 100%
45 Pittsburgh ACC 12 0.43 0.68 -0.26 0.42 0.83 50%
46 Ball State MAC 11 0.66 0.93 -0.27 1.18 0.91 75%
47 Arizona B12 11 0.8 1.09 -0.29 0.82 1 50%
48 Louisiana Tech CUSA 12 0.85 1.14 -0.29 1.58 0.75 100%
49 Baylor B12 13 1.24 1.53 -0.3 1.31 0.92 83.3%
50 Oklahoma State B12 12 0.83 1.18 -0.35 1.08 1.08 100%
51 Wisconsin B1G 14 1.21 1.56 -0.35 1.71 0.79 85.7%
52 Arizona State B12 12 0.63 1 -0.38 0.83 0.92 100%
53 Tulsa AAC 12 0.93 1.33 -0.4 1.08 1.17 50%
54 Missouri SEC 12 0.52 0.98 -0.45 1 0.67 100%
55 Buffalo MAC 12 0.83 1.29 -0.46 1.25 0.92 100%
56 Eastern Michigan MAC 12 0.73 1.25 -0.51 1.25 1.17 66.7%
57 Old Dominion SBC 11 0.59 1.12 -0.53 0.64 1.18 0%
58 Syracuse ACC 11 0.56 1.17 -0.61 0.73 1.36 100%
59 Louisville ACC 13 0.67 1.32 -0.65 1.08 1.08 83.3%
60 Florida Atlantic AAC 13 0.88 1.53 -0.65 1.23 0.62 100%
61 Utah State PAC 12 1.07 1.74 -0.66 1.42 1.42 100%
62 Duke ACC 11 0.99 1.65 -0.66 1.55 1.36 66.7%
63 Georgia State SBC 11 0.75 1.41 -0.66 0.82 1.09 100%
64 Texas SEC 13 0.65 1.32 -0.67 1.15 1.23 100%
65 Colorado B12 12 0.57 1.31 -0.74 0.67 1.08 50%
66 Army AAC 11 0.05 0.78 -0.74 0.64 0.73 100%
67 California ACC 12 0.31 1.05 -0.74 0.5 0.75 100%
68 Michigan State B1G 13 0.52 1.28 -0.76 1.15 0.85 100%
69 Houston B12 11 0.79 1.56 -0.77 0.73 1.18 100%
70 Florida International CUSA 12 0.68 1.46 -0.78 1.08 1.17 66.7%
71 Virginia ACC 13 0.91 1.69 -0.78 1.39 1 100%
72 Purdue B1G 12 0.54 1.33 -0.79 0.67 1 66.7%
73 Rice AAC 12 0.3 1.1 -0.8 0.75 0.83 75%
74 Wake Forest ACC 12 0.79 1.61 -0.81 1.17 1 100%
75 Oregon State PAC 11 0.69 1.51 -0.82 0.91 1.18 50%
76 Northern Illinois MWC 11 0.47 1.3 -0.83 0.73 1.55 100%
77 Tulane AAC 12 1.27 2.12 -0.85 1.58 1.58 66.7%
78 Texas Tech B12 11 0.5 1.37 -0.88 0.82 1.09 75%
79 Temple AAC 12 0.65 1.56 -0.91 0.83 1.08 100%
80 Cincinnati B12 14 0.55 1.51 -0.97 1.14 0.93 100%
81 Colorado State PAC 11 0.24 1.25 -1.01 0.64 1.09 66.7%
82 UNLV MWC 11 0.37 1.39 -1.01 0.64 1.55 100%
83 Stanford ACC 12 0.68 1.74 -1.05 0.58 1.5 100%
84 Kansas B12 11 0.86 1.93 -1.07 1 1.64 50%
85 Liberty CUSA 12 0.59 1.66 -1.07 0.92 0.92 100%
86 Coastal Carolina SBC 11 1.01 2.09 -1.07 1.18 1.18 75%
87 USC B1G 13 0.61 1.71 -1.09 1 1.31 100%
88 Western Michigan MAC 13 0.62 1.75 -1.13 1.39 1.08 80%
89 Toledo MAC 12 0.69 1.82 -1.13 1.17 1.67 100%
90 Charlotte AAC 13 0.43 1.56 -1.14 1.31 1.15 100%
91 Florida State ACC 12 0.55 1.75 -1.2 0.92 1.5 100%
92 East Carolina AAC 11 0.95 2.16 -1.21 0.82 1.82 50%
93 Ole Miss SEC 11 0.83 2.05 -1.22 1.18 1.27 60%
94 UCLA B1G 12 0.84 2.09 -1.25 0.92 1.58 100%
95 Boston College ACC 12 0.81 2.08 -1.27 1.17 1.58 100%
96 Hawai'i MWC 14 0.79 2.11 -1.32 0.93 1.57 100%
97 South Alabama SBC 11 0.34 1.66 -1.32 0.36 1.55 0%
98 South Carolina SEC 12 0.03 1.47 -1.44 0.58 1 100%
99 Southern Miss SBC 12 0.82 2.27 -1.45 1.08 1.17 83.3%
100 West Virginia B12 11 0.23 1.76 -1.53 0.36 1.55 100%
101 Mississippi State SEC 12 0.19 1.73 -1.54 0.42 1 100%
102 North Texas AAC 11 0.28 1.83 -1.55 0.82 1.46 100%
103 Middle Tennessee CUSA 12 0.45 2.01 -1.56 1 1.42 75%
104 Texas A&M SEC 12 0.39 1.95 -1.56 1.25 1.08 83.3%
105 Northwestern B1G 12 0.06 1.63 -1.58 0.42 1.08 100%
106 Georgia Tech ACC 11 0 1.63 -1.63 0 1.55 —
107 Akron MAC 12 0 1.65 -1.65 0.08 1.58 —
108 UL Monroe SBC 11 0.29 1.94 -1.65 0.55 1.36 66.7%
109 Central Michigan MAC 13 0.54 2.27 -1.72 1.39 1.08 100%
110 Troy SBC 12 0.53 2.27 -1.73 1.08 1.42 80%
111 Texas State PAC 10 0.15 1.9 -1.75 0.2 1.4 —
112 South Florida AAC 11 0.14 2 -1.86 0.46 1.46 100%
113 Rutgers B1G 12 0.1 2 -1.9 0.67 1.83 100%
114 Georgia Southern SBC 12 0.6 2.53 -1.93 0.67 1.33 100%
115 Nevada MWC 12 0.46 2.52 -2.06 0.92 1.5 75%
116 UTEP MWC 11 0.12 2.24 -2.12 0.27 2 0%
117 Nebraska B1G 12 0.48 2.67 -2.19 0.92 1.58 100%
118 UConn Ind 11 0.39 2.6 -2.21 0.73 2 100%
119 NC State ACC 11 0.34 2.71 -2.37 0.64 1.73 66.7%
120 Kent State MAC 13 0.77 3.2 -2.44 1.54 1.62 100%
121 Arkansas SEC 11 0.49 2.95 -2.46 0.73 2.27 100%
122 Arkansas State SBC 12 0.7 3.29 -2.59 1.08 1.67 75%
123 New Mexico MWC 11 0.38 2.99 -2.61 0.64 2.27 —
124 Vanderbilt SEC 11 0.2 2.9 -2.69 0.27 2.27 100%
125 Miami (OH) MAC 14 0.37 3.3 -2.93 1.07 1.29 100%
126 UTSA AAC 11 0.36 3.31 -2.95 0.36 2.09 100%
127 Maryland B1G 11 0.27 3.51 -3.24 0.82 2.64 100%
128 Bowling Green MAC 11 0.03 3.58 -3.55 0.18 2.82 100%
129 Massachusetts MAC 11 0.49 4.15 -3.66 0.46 3.64 100%
130 New Mexico State CUSA 11 0.18 4.13 -3.95 0.36 2.73 0%