Momentum Control Rankings — 2022 College Football | Punt & Rally
2022 Momentum Control Rankings

Opponent-adjusted Consecutive Scoring Sequences — 131 FBS teams — 2022 season

85.6%
Win Rate — CSS Leader
74.1%
Win Rate — TO Leader
92.9%
Win Rate — Lead Both
58.2%
Win Rate — TO Only
Momentum Control measures consecutive scoring sequences (CSS) — when a team scores, forces a stop, then scores again — opponent-adjusted for schedule strength. Teams that win the Momentum Control battle win 85.6% of FBS games (2016–2025, 5,485 games). That makes it the single most predictive game-outcome metric in college football. CSS Off measures sequences created. CSS Def measures sequences allowed (lower is better). CSS Net is the difference — the primary ranking metric.
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# Team Conf G Opponent-Adjusted Raw CSS Win%
CSS Off CSS Def ↓ CSS Net ▲ Off/G Def/G ↓
1 Utah State PAC 12 0.38 3.53 -3.15 0.5 1.33 75%
2 Colorado B12 12 0.14 3.14 -3 0.08 2.58 —
3 Florida International CUSA 12 0.23 2.83 -2.6 0.42 2.08 100%
4 Ball State MAC 12 0.34 2.9 -2.57 0.83 1.25 100%
5 Akron MAC 11 0.33 2.89 -2.56 0.55 1.46 50%
6 Rutgers B1G 11 0.14 2.64 -2.5 0.27 1.73 100%
7 Colorado State PAC 11 0.23 2.7 -2.48 0.27 1.36 —
8 Vanderbilt SEC 11 0.36 2.81 -2.45 0.82 1.91 100%
9 Toledo MAC 13 0.65 3.04 -2.39 1.77 0.85 50%
10 Georgia Tech ACC 11 0.27 2.6 -2.34 0.46 1.64 100%
11 New Mexico State CUSA 12 0.27 2.59 -2.32 1.17 1.17 100%
12 Temple AAC 11 0.34 2.6 -2.26 0.73 1.73 50%
13 UConn Ind 12 0.25 2.44 -2.19 0.58 1.33 80%
14 Charlotte AAC 11 0.43 2.61 -2.17 0.64 1.73 100%
15 Michigan State B1G 12 0.51 2.61 -2.1 1.08 1.58 100%
16 Nevada MWC 11 0.27 2.32 -2.04 0.64 1.46 66.7%
17 Hawai'i MWC 12 0.32 2.36 -2.04 0.58 1.42 33.3%
18 Massachusetts MAC 11 0.29 2.32 -2.04 0.36 2 0%
19 Stanford ACC 11 0.37 2.29 -1.92 0.46 1.91 100%
20 West Virginia B12 11 0.28 1.89 -1.61 0.46 1.73 50%
21 Bowling Green MAC 13 0.49 2.08 -1.6 0.54 1.39 66.7%
22 Louisiana Tech CUSA 12 0.46 2.01 -1.55 0.92 1.17 66.7%
23 South Florida AAC 11 0.85 2.36 -1.51 0.82 2.82 —
24 New Mexico MWC 11 0.12 1.6 -1.48 0.27 1.09 0%
25 Boston College ACC 11 0.19 1.66 -1.47 0.18 1.46 100%
26 UNLV MWC 11 0.55 1.97 -1.42 0.82 1.73 100%
27 Virginia Tech ACC 10 0.57 1.99 -1.42 0.4 1.5 100%
28 UL Monroe SBC 11 0.43 1.83 -1.4 0.55 1.73 100%
29 Virginia ACC 9 0.15 1.52 -1.37 0.11 1.11 —
30 Indiana B1G 11 0.35 1.65 -1.3 0.46 1.36 100%
31 Arkansas State SBC 11 0.46 1.61 -1.16 0.55 1.36 50%
32 Central Michigan MAC 11 0.79 1.93 -1.14 0.46 1.18 100%
33 South Carolina SEC 12 0.93 2.07 -1.14 1.08 1.5 100%
34 Western Michigan MAC 11 0.3 1.41 -1.11 0.36 1.09 100%
35 Nebraska B1G 11 0.64 1.73 -1.09 0.73 1.36 50%
36 Navy AAC 11 0.47 1.55 -1.08 0.73 1.27 100%
37 Iowa B1G 12 0.4 1.46 -1.06 1 0.83 100%
38 Middle Tennessee CUSA 13 0.27 1.29 -1.02 0.77 1.15 100%
39 Kent State MAC 11 0.29 1.29 -1 0.91 1.46 100%
40 Kansas B12 13 0.58 1.57 -0.98 1 1.15 80%
41 Army AAC 10 0.36 1.29 -0.93 1.1 1 100%
42 Oklahoma SEC 13 0.58 1.51 -0.93 0.92 1.08 100%
43 Northwestern B1G 11 0.09 1 -0.91 0.09 1.18 —
44 Arizona B12 11 0.85 1.75 -0.9 1.09 1.46 100%
45 Wyoming MWC 12 0.22 1.11 -0.89 0.25 0.75 100%
46 Mississippi State SEC 12 0.6 1.49 -0.89 1.08 1.08 100%
47 Auburn SEC 11 0.76 1.63 -0.87 0.82 1.36 66.7%
48 Rice AAC 12 0.55 1.4 -0.85 0.67 1.25 40%
49 TCU B12 15 1.1 1.92 -0.81 1.6 1.13 88.9%
50 Ohio MAC 13 0.56 1.37 -0.81 1.23 0.69 83.3%
51 BYU B12 13 0.72 1.52 -0.8 0.92 1.15 100%
52 Arizona State B12 11 0.57 1.34 -0.77 0.55 1.27 0%
53 Coastal Carolina SBC 13 1.31 2.07 -0.76 1 1.69 100%
54 Minnesota B1G 12 0.79 1.54 -0.76 1.5 0.92 100%
55 Wisconsin B1G 12 0.29 1.04 -0.75 0.75 0.58 100%
56 San Diego State PAC 12 0.47 1.21 -0.74 0.75 0.75 66.7%
57 Baylor B12 12 0.78 1.47 -0.69 0.83 1.25 66.7%
58 California ACC 11 0.24 0.92 -0.68 0.36 0.73 66.7%
59 Oregon B1G 12 1.06 1.74 -0.67 1.75 1.08 100%
60 Georgia Southern SBC 12 0.47 1.1 -0.63 0.5 1.08 66.7%
61 Old Dominion SBC 12 0.42 1.03 -0.61 0.42 1 50%
62 Florida Atlantic AAC 11 0.68 1.25 -0.57 0.64 1 66.7%
63 Washington State PAC 12 0.52 1.08 -0.56 0.92 0.75 100%
64 Tulsa AAC 12 0.65 1.19 -0.53 1.25 1.08 100%
65 UTEP MWC 12 1.01 1.53 -0.52 0.83 0.92 75%
66 San José State MWC 11 0.51 1 -0.48 0.91 0.73 100%
67 North Texas AAC 13 0.89 1.34 -0.45 1.39 1.08 100%
68 Tulane AAC 13 0.84 1.24 -0.4 1 0.92 100%
69 Missouri SEC 13 1.25 1.63 -0.38 1.08 0.92 80%
70 Marshall SBC 12 0.36 0.73 -0.37 0.5 0.67 100%
71 Ole Miss SEC 13 1.37 1.72 -0.36 1.77 1.39 100%
72 Kentucky SEC 12 0.63 0.97 -0.35 0.75 0.75 66.7%
73 Houston B12 13 0.72 1.06 -0.34 0.92 1.23 80%
74 Georgia State SBC 12 0.78 1.11 -0.33 1.08 1 80%
75 UTSA AAC 13 0.85 1.18 -0.33 1.54 0.85 100%
76 Florida SEC 12 1.13 1.43 -0.3 0.92 1.17 50%
77 Iowa State B12 12 0.61 0.91 -0.3 1 0.67 75%
78 SMU ACC 12 0.94 1.23 -0.29 1.5 1.08 100%
79 Eastern Michigan MAC 13 0.95 1.21 -0.26 1.15 1 100%
80 Purdue B1G 13 0.86 1.11 -0.25 0.85 0.92 66.7%
81 Western Kentucky CUSA 14 0.96 1.21 -0.25 1.21 0.79 100%
82 Miami ACC 11 0.52 0.77 -0.25 0.64 0.55 60%
83 Pittsburgh ACC 12 0.73 0.98 -0.25 0.83 0.92 100%
84 Texas A&M SEC 12 0.55 0.79 -0.24 0.5 0.58 100%
85 Texas State PAC 11 0.62 0.86 -0.24 0.73 0.82 60%
86 Oklahoma State B12 12 1.08 1.31 -0.23 1.33 1.08 75%
87 UCF B12 13 0.84 1.05 -0.22 1.39 1 83.3%
88 Maryland B1G 13 0.79 0.99 -0.2 1.31 0.77 80%
89 App State SBC 11 1.23 1.38 -0.15 1.27 1.18 75%
90 Arkansas SEC 12 1.3 1.44 -0.14 1.42 1.17 100%
91 Northern Illinois MWC 12 1.06 1.16 -0.1 0.92 1.17 66.7%
92 Texas Tech B12 13 1.36 1.46 -0.1 1.69 1.08 100%
93 Buffalo MAC 12 0.77 0.87 -0.1 1 0.58 66.7%
94 North Carolina ACC 13 1.26 1.35 -0.09 1.46 1.15 80%
95 Fresno State PAC 13 0.99 1.03 -0.04 1.46 0.77 83.3%
96 Wake Forest ACC 12 1.13 1.14 -0.01 1.33 1.08 80%
97 Illinois B1G 12 0.7 0.68 +0.02 0.75 0.5 100%
98 Syracuse ACC 12 0.92 0.89 +0.02 1.08 0.75 66.7%
99 LSU SEC 13 1.24 1.21 +0.03 1.54 0.92 100%
100 South Alabama SBC 12 0.64 0.61 +0.03 0.83 0.67 80%
101 Florida State ACC 12 1.25 1.2 +0.05 1.58 0.92 100%
102 Miami (OH) MAC 13 0.43 0.38 +0.05 0.62 0.46 71.4%
103 Southern Miss SBC 12 0.99 0.92 +0.07 1 0.92 80%
104 UCLA B1G 12 1 0.89 +0.11 1.25 0.92 100%
105 East Carolina AAC 13 0.83 0.72 +0.11 1.15 0.62 100%
106 UAB AAC 12 1.07 0.93 +0.14 1.25 0.67 80%
107 Oregon State PAC 12 1.11 0.97 +0.15 1 0.75 80%
108 Utah B12 14 1.07 0.91 +0.16 1.5 0.57 85.7%
109 Kansas State B12 13 1.42 1.25 +0.16 1.62 0.85 87.5%
110 NC State ACC 13 0.61 0.36 +0.25 1.31 0.31 85.7%
111 James Madison SBC 10 1.24 0.99 +0.26 1.4 0.7 100%
112 Troy SBC 13 0.95 0.68 +0.27 1.15 0.54 100%
113 Memphis AAC 13 1.09 0.8 +0.29 1.62 0.46 70%
114 Louisiana SBC 12 1.54 1.24 +0.31 1.75 0.92 71.4%
115 Tennessee SEC 13 1.44 1.12 +0.32 2.54 0.85 100%
116 USC B1G 14 1.46 1.12 +0.34 1.71 0.79 88.9%
117 Air Force MWC 12 1.01 0.67 +0.34 1.25 0.42 100%
118 Notre Dame Ind 13 0.94 0.56 +0.38 1.62 0.39 85.7%
119 Liberty CUSA 13 1.29 0.79 +0.5 1.15 0.92 60%
120 Washington B1G 12 1.31 0.79 +0.52 1.75 0.58 100%
121 Duke ACC 13 1.14 0.59 +0.55 1.23 0.46 87.5%
122 Cincinnati B12 13 1 0.43 +0.57 1.23 0.39 75%
123 Clemson ACC 13 0.98 0.32 +0.66 1.39 0.31 100%
124 Louisville ACC 13 1.37 0.68 +0.69 1.54 0.69 88.9%
125 Penn State B1G 13 1.56 0.84 +0.72 1.77 0.46 100%
126 Boise State PAC 14 1.52 0.64 +0.88 1.57 0.43 100%
127 Ohio State B1G 13 1.95 1.03 +0.92 2.62 0.54 100%
128 Alabama SEC 13 2.21 0.87 +1.33 2.69 0.62 90%
129 Michigan B1G 14 1.94 0.49 +1.45 2.36 0.36 91.7%
130 Texas SEC 13 1.74 0.28 +1.46 2.15 0.31 88.9%
131 Georgia SEC 14 3.32 0.47 +2.85 3.21 0.43 100%