Momentum Control Rankings — 2021 College Football | Punt & Rally
2021 Momentum Control Rankings

Opponent-adjusted Consecutive Scoring Sequences — 130 FBS teams — 2021 season

85.6%
Win Rate — CSS Leader
74.1%
Win Rate — TO Leader
92.9%
Win Rate — Lead Both
58.2%
Win Rate — TO Only
Momentum Control measures consecutive scoring sequences (CSS) — when a team scores, forces a stop, then scores again — opponent-adjusted for schedule strength. Teams that win the Momentum Control battle win 85.6% of FBS games (2016–2025, 5,485 games). That makes it the single most predictive game-outcome metric in college football. CSS Off measures sequences created. CSS Def measures sequences allowed (lower is better). CSS Net is the difference — the primary ranking metric.
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Filter:
# Team Conf G Opponent-Adjusted Raw CSS Win%
CSS Off CSS Def ↓ CSS Net ▲ Off/G Def/G ↓
1 UConn Ind 11 0.16 3.89 -3.73 0.46 3.09 —
2 Massachusetts MAC 10 0 3.39 -3.39 0.1 2.7 —
3 Duke ACC 12 0.15 3.43 -3.27 0.83 2.33 75%
4 Vanderbilt SEC 11 0.11 3.11 -2.99 0.36 2.36 100%
5 New Mexico State CUSA 11 0.25 3.11 -2.85 0.46 2 50%
6 Akron MAC 11 0.3 3.01 -2.71 0.64 2.36 100%
7 Northwestern B1G 11 0.06 2.6 -2.54 0.27 2.27 100%
8 Kansas B12 11 0.5 2.81 -2.31 0.64 2.73 —
9 New Mexico MWC 11 0 2.24 -2.24 0 1.91 —
10 Temple AAC 11 0.27 2.47 -2.21 0.46 2.27 100%
11 Florida International CUSA 11 0.18 2.35 -2.18 0.36 1.91 0%
12 Georgia Tech ACC 12 0.47 2.48 -2 0.67 1.83 100%
13 Tulane AAC 11 0.46 2.38 -1.92 0.82 2.09 50%
14 UL Monroe SBC 11 0.44 2.25 -1.81 0.55 1.64 50%
15 Southern Miss SBC 11 0.22 1.97 -1.75 0.46 1.18 100%
16 Missouri SEC 13 0.47 2.21 -1.74 1.23 1.54 83.3%
17 South Florida AAC 11 0.58 2.25 -1.67 0.73 2 33.3%
18 Maryland B1G 12 0.5 2.11 -1.61 0.92 1.42 100%
19 Rice AAC 11 0.3 1.88 -1.58 0.64 1.64 50%
20 UNLV MWC 11 0.76 2.32 -1.56 0.82 1.91 50%
21 Arkansas State SBC 12 0.39 1.94 -1.55 0.5 1.58 50%
22 Charlotte AAC 12 0.46 2.01 -1.55 0.5 1.58 —
23 Northern Illinois MWC 13 0.92 2.45 -1.53 1.23 1.46 80%
24 Stanford ACC 12 0.46 1.88 -1.42 0.75 1.75 50%
25 Colorado B12 11 0.45 1.8 -1.35 0.46 1.82 100%
26 Troy SBC 11 0.2 1.55 -1.34 0.46 1.09 100%
27 Rutgers B1G 12 0.2 1.52 -1.32 0.42 1 100%
28 Indiana B1G 11 0.33 1.59 -1.27 0.36 1.36 50%
29 South Alabama SBC 11 0.47 1.68 -1.21 1.09 1.09 50%
30 Virginia ACC 11 0.84 2.03 -1.18 1.46 1.82 100%
31 UAB AAC 13 0.38 1.55 -1.17 0.85 0.92 100%
32 Tennessee SEC 13 0.97 2.08 -1.11 1.62 1.31 100%
33 North Texas AAC 12 0.77 1.87 -1.1 0.67 1.42 50%
34 UCF B12 12 0.73 1.83 -1.09 1.08 1.25 80%
35 Georgia State SBC 13 0.5 1.56 -1.05 0.77 1 100%
36 San José State MWC 11 0.35 1.4 -1.05 0.55 1.27 75%
37 TCU B12 11 0.48 1.52 -1.04 0.64 1.46 100%
38 Texas SEC 12 0.77 1.77 -1 1.08 1.42 100%
39 Michigan State B1G 12 0.61 1.59 -0.99 0.58 1.17 100%
40 UTEP MWC 12 0.45 1.43 -0.99 1 0.83 83.3%
41 Eastern Michigan MAC 12 0.76 1.73 -0.97 1.25 1 100%
42 Georgia Southern SBC 12 0.26 1.23 -0.97 0.58 1 66.7%
43 Kent State MAC 13 0.8 1.75 -0.95 1.31 1.92 100%
44 Arizona State B12 12 0.57 1.52 -0.95 0.83 1.25 100%
45 Old Dominion SBC 13 0.47 1.42 -0.95 1.23 1.08 100%
46 Ohio MAC 11 0.66 1.6 -0.95 0.91 1.46 100%
47 Florida Atlantic AAC 11 0.41 1.34 -0.93 0.91 0.82 60%
48 Bowling Green MAC 12 0.53 1.41 -0.88 0.5 1.42 0%
49 Texas State PAC 11 0.88 1.75 -0.86 0.46 1.55 0%
50 Miami ACC 11 0.81 1.63 -0.82 1.27 1.09 100%
51 South Carolina SEC 13 0.74 1.54 -0.81 0.92 1 100%
52 Middle Tennessee CUSA 13 0.45 1.21 -0.76 1 0.85 80%
53 Marshall SBC 12 1.11 1.86 -0.76 1.33 1.17 80%
54 Virginia Tech ACC 12 0.41 1.12 -0.7 0.58 0.92 100%
55 Arizona B12 11 0.26 0.91 -0.65 0.27 0.82 —
56 Auburn SEC 12 0.56 1.18 -0.62 0.92 1.08 50%
57 LSU SEC 12 0.69 1.28 -0.58 0.83 1.17 66.7%
58 Florida State ACC 12 0.72 1.29 -0.57 1 1.25 100%
59 Navy AAC 12 0.66 1.22 -0.55 0.75 1 100%
60 Washington B1G 11 0.47 1 -0.54 0.91 1 100%
61 Central Michigan MAC 13 0.62 1.14 -0.52 0.77 0.92 100%
62 Texas Tech B12 13 0.71 1.2 -0.49 1.31 1.08 100%
63 Louisiana Tech CUSA 11 0.56 1.05 -0.49 0.64 0.91 50%
64 Miami (OH) MAC 12 0.97 1.46 -0.48 1.25 0.83 83.3%
65 Florida SEC 12 0.37 0.85 -0.48 0.83 0.83 100%
66 Ball State MAC 12 0.55 0.98 -0.44 0.67 0.75 100%
67 California ACC 11 0.51 0.92 -0.41 0.82 0.73 100%
68 Louisville ACC 13 1 1.41 -0.41 1.23 1 66.7%
69 Nebraska B1G 11 0.42 0.83 -0.41 0.64 0.64 50%
70 Syracuse ACC 11 0.42 0.82 -0.4 0.55 0.73 66.7%
71 Memphis AAC 11 0.8 1.19 -0.38 0.91 1.18 75%
72 Nevada MWC 12 0.91 1.21 -0.3 1.33 1 100%
73 Kansas State B12 12 0.56 0.85 -0.29 0.75 0.67 100%
74 Kentucky SEC 12 0.83 1.09 -0.26 1.17 0.67 100%
75 San Diego State PAC 13 0.83 1.07 -0.25 0.69 0.85 100%
76 Penn State B1G 12 0.56 0.8 -0.24 0.67 0.58 75%
77 Hawai'i MWC 12 1.07 1.3 -0.23 1.08 1.17 100%
78 App State SBC 13 0.84 1.04 -0.2 1.46 0.69 100%
79 SMU ACC 12 1.69 1.86 -0.17 1.83 1.08 100%
80 Buffalo MAC 11 0.75 0.92 -0.17 1.27 1.09 60%
81 East Carolina AAC 12 1.16 1.33 -0.17 1.5 0.92 100%
82 Wisconsin B1G 13 0.45 0.62 -0.16 0.92 0.39 100%
83 Illinois B1G 12 0.46 0.62 -0.16 0.83 0.58 100%
84 Oregon B1G 13 0.95 1.1 -0.15 1.46 0.92 85.7%
85 Wake Forest ACC 13 0.88 1.02 -0.15 1.23 0.77 100%
86 BYU B12 12 1.01 1.15 -0.14 1.08 1.08 100%
87 Wyoming MWC 12 0.77 0.88 -0.12 0.92 1 100%
88 Liberty CUSA 13 0.99 1.09 -0.1 1.39 0.92 100%
89 Tulsa AAC 12 0.98 1.01 -0.03 1.33 0.92 83.3%
90 West Virginia B12 12 0.77 0.78 -0.02 1 0.67 80%
91 Boston College ACC 11 0.79 0.81 -0.02 1 0.64 80%
92 Colorado State PAC 11 1.04 1.04 -0 1.18 0.91 75%
93 Houston B12 13 1.12 1.12 0 1.69 0.69 100%
94 Iowa B1G 14 0.87 0.85 +0.01 0.93 0.64 100%
95 Fresno State PAC 12 1.15 1.13 +0.02 1.58 0.92 100%
96 Clemson ACC 12 0.53 0.49 +0.04 0.92 0.42 100%
97 Oregon State PAC 12 0.92 0.82 +0.09 1.08 0.83 100%
98 USC B1G 12 1.45 1.34 +0.11 1.67 1.08 50%
99 Mississippi State SEC 13 1.21 1.08 +0.13 1.85 0.85 71.4%
100 NC State ACC 11 0.35 0.19 +0.16 0.55 0.18 75%
101 Purdue B1G 13 1.1 0.91 +0.19 1.85 0.54 87.5%
102 Army AAC 12 1 0.78 +0.21 1.42 0.58 100%
103 Washington State PAC 12 1.1 0.88 +0.22 1 1 75%
104 Ole Miss SEC 13 1.07 0.85 +0.22 1.23 0.54 100%
105 Western Michigan MAC 12 1.46 1.19 +0.27 1.58 0.83 87.5%
106 Boise State PAC 12 1.32 1.04 +0.28 1.33 0.92 83.3%
107 Toledo MAC 12 1.31 1 +0.31 1.42 0.75 66.7%
108 Arkansas SEC 12 1.31 1 +0.31 1.75 0.75 100%
109 UTSA AAC 14 1.09 0.76 +0.33 1.64 0.64 100%
110 Minnesota B1G 13 0.86 0.49 +0.37 1 0.39 80%
111 North Carolina ACC 12 1.87 1.46 +0.41 1.83 1.42 83.3%
112 Oklahoma State B12 13 0.85 0.42 +0.42 1.31 0.39 100%
113 Air Force MWC 12 1.16 0.71 +0.45 1.58 0.58 100%
114 Utah State PAC 13 1.45 0.95 +0.5 1.62 0.92 100%
115 Michigan B1G 14 1.32 0.79 +0.52 1.86 0.5 100%
116 Iowa State B12 12 1.17 0.6 +0.57 1.75 0.58 85.7%
117 Coastal Carolina SBC 12 1.26 0.68 +0.58 1.92 0.5 87.5%
118 Notre Dame Ind 13 1.4 0.75 +0.66 1.77 0.69 100%
119 UCLA B1G 12 1.32 0.64 +0.68 1.58 0.5 87.5%
120 Baylor B12 13 0.84 0.11 +0.73 1.08 0.31 100%
121 Utah B12 13 1.49 0.74 +0.75 1.69 0.54 100%
122 Texas A&M SEC 11 1.26 0.39 +0.87 1.27 0.27 83.3%
123 Cincinnati B12 14 1.56 0.59 +0.96 2 0.5 100%
124 Pittsburgh ACC 13 1.56 0.57 +1 1.77 0.54 90%
125 Western Kentucky CUSA 14 2.16 1 +1.16 2.36 0.79 88.9%
126 Oklahoma SEC 12 1.46 0.22 +1.24 1.75 0.33 100%
127 Alabama SEC 14 2 0.75 +1.25 2.43 0.57 91.7%
128 Louisiana SBC 13 1.49 0.15 +1.34 1.54 0.15 100%
129 Georgia SEC 15 2 0.62 +1.38 2.8 0.33 100%
130 Ohio State B1G 13 1.95 0.44 +1.51 2.39 0.31 100%