2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
89.5
Composite Rank: #4
•
11–2
(FBS games)
GC Score
85.1
#9 in FBS
GC Net
+38.8
Raw GC Net
GC Off
58.1
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
19.3
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
93.8
#4 in FBS
MC Net
+1.35
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.89
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Lamar H | — | 98.7 | 0.4 | +98.3 |
| 2 | Western Michigan A | W 33–30 | 15.6 | 44.6 | -29 |
| 3 | Washington State H | W 59–10 | 94.1 | 3.4 | +90.8 |
| 4 | Army A | W 45–38 | 82.4 | 8.5 | +73.9 |
| 5 | South Alabama H | W 36–22 | 82.9 | 6.4 | +76.5 |
| 7 | South Florida H | L 36–63 | 30.1 | 50.4 | -20.3 |
| 8 | UTSA H | W 55–17 | 76.4 | 12.4 | +64 |
| 9 | Charlotte A | W 54–20 | 43.9 | 27.7 | +16.2 |
| 10 | Navy H | W 31–17 | 92.8 | 5.3 | +87.5 |
| 12 | UAB A | W 53–24 | 90.3 | 4.2 | +86.1 |
| 13 | Rice A | W 56–24 | 63.5 | 24.9 | +38.6 |
| 14 | Temple H | W 52–25 | 90 | 4.6 | +85.4 |
| 15 | Tulane A | L 21–34 | 10.9 | 72.5 | -61.7 |
| 1 | San Diego State NPost | W 49–47 | 87.6 | 5.3 | +82.3 |
| 11W / 13G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 2 | Western Michigan A | W 33–30 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 3 | Washington State H | W 59–10 | 3.33 | 0 | +3.33 |
| 4 | Army A | W 45–38 | 1.14 | 1.14 | +0 |
| 5 | South Alabama H | W 36–22 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 7 | South Florida H | L 36–63 | 0 | 1.89 | -1.89 |
| 8 | UTSA H | W 55–17 | 5.52 | 0 | +5.52 |
| 9 | Charlotte A | W 54–20 | 0.12 | 0.05 | +0.07 |
| 10 | Navy H | W 31–17 | 0.59 | 0 | +0.59 |
| 12 | UAB A | W 53–24 | 0.57 | 0 | +0.57 |
| 13 | Rice A | W 56–24 | 0.72 | 0.18 | +0.54 |
| 14 | Temple H | W 52–25 | 1.14 | 0 | +1.14 |
| 15 | Tulane A | L 21–34 | 1.1 | 1.1 | +0 |
| 1 | San Diego State APost | W 49–47 | 1.12 | 0 | +1.12 |
| 11W / 13G | — | — | — | ||