Mississippi State Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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Mississippi State
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
53.7
Composite Rank: #78  •  4–8 (FBS games)
GC Score
44.8
#79 in FBS
GC Net
-12.8
Raw GC Net
GC Off
30.2
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
42.9
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
62.6
#72 in FBS
MC Net
-0.67
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.66
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
66.7%
When winning MC
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Southern Miss A W 34–17 91.1 4.9 +86.2 87.8% 100% ✓
2 Arizona State H W 24–20 74.1 11.4 +62.7 76.4% 79.6% —
3 Alcorn State H — 97.7 1.9 +95.8 95.3% 99.2% ✓
4 Northern Illinois H W 38–10 70.4 12.9 +57.5 75.8% 70.6% —
5 Tennessee H L 34–41 42.6 25.2 +17.4 57.4% 34.5% —
6 Texas A&M A L 9–31 18.7 55.2 -36.5 31.8% 0.7% —
8 Florida A L 21–23 20.4 61.4 -41 34.8% 5.2% —
9 Texas H L 38–45 55.8 20.5 +35.3 67.4% 52.7% —
10 Arkansas A W 38–35 21.4 54.9 -33.4 36% 7.7% —
11 Georgia H L 21–41 19.5 66.4 -46.9 26.2% 15.1% —
12 Missouri A L 27–49 7.1 86.4 -79.3 17.7% 0% —
14 Ole Miss H L 19–38 9.3 84.2 -74.9 22.7% 0.6% —
1 Wake Forest NPost L 29–43 12.4 73.2 -60.8 28.6% 2.4% —
4W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Southern Miss A W 34–17 1.54 0 +1.54 2 0 ✓ +2
0.77
2 Arizona State H W 24–20 1.95 1.95 +0 1 1 Tied
1
4 Northern Illinois H W 38–10 0.32 0 +0.32 3 0 ✓ +3
0.11
5 Tennessee H L 34–41 6.35 0 +6.35 3 0 ✓ +3
1
6 Texas A&M A L 9–31 0 6.97 -6.97 0 2 ✗ 0
1
8 Florida A L 21–23 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
9 Texas H L 38–45 2.55 2.55 +0 1 1 Tied
1
10 Arkansas A W 38–35 3.4 3.4 +0 2 2 Tied
1
11 Georgia H L 21–41 0 12.87 -12.87 0 4 ✗ 0
1
12 Missouri A L 27–49 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
14 Ole Miss H L 19–38 0 3.02 -3.02 0 1 ✗ 0
1
1 Wake Forest HPost L 29–43 0 1.58 -1.58 0 1 ✗ 0
1
4W / 12G ——— 12 12 — —