Buffalo Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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Buffalo
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
52.3
Composite Rank: #82  •  4–7 (FBS games)
GC Score
35.4
#101 in FBS
GC Net
-24.8
Raw GC Net
GC Off
21
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
45.8
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
69.2
#55 in FBS
MC Net
-0.24
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.44
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
50%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 34 points. Buffalo generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 69.2) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 35.4). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Minnesota A L 10–23 10.2 77 -66.8 25.5% 0% —
2 St. Francis (PA) H — 95 2.8 +92.1 92.9% 96.7% ✓
3 Kent State A W 31–28 28.3 53.2 -24.9 41.1% 14% —
4 Troy H L 17–21 76.2 12.5 +63.7 75.4% 83% —
5 UConn H L 17–20 16.4 51.8 -35.3 38.8% 2.6% —
6 Eastern Michigan H W 31–30 21.6 36 -14.4 47% 5.1% —
8 Massachusetts A W 28–21 21.3 50.1 -28.9 41% 2.8% —
9 Akron H L 16–24 26.8 45.7 -19 44.1% 15.1% —
10 Bowling Green A W 28–3 90.8 5 +85.8 87.6% 89.1% ✓
12 Central Michigan A L 19–38 12.3 74.8 -62.5 23.5% 0% —
13 Miami (OH) H L 20–37 15.8 59.4 -43.6 32.6% 5% —
14 Ohio H L 26–31 9 81.1 -72.2 22.4% 0% —
4W / 11G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Minnesota A L 10–23 0 1.07 -1.07 0 1 ✗ 0
1
3 Kent State A W 31–28 0.24 0.12 +0.12 2 1 ✓ +2
0.12
4 Troy H L 17–21 0.62 0.62 +0 1 1 Tied
0.62
5 UConn H L 17–20 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.8
6 Eastern Michigan H W 31–30 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.48
8 Massachusetts A W 28–21 0 0.01 -0.01 0 1 ✗ 0
0.01
9 Akron H L 16–24 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.21
10 Bowling Green A W 28–3 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.07
12 Central Michigan A L 19–38 0.47 0 +0.47 1 0 ✓ +1
0.47
13 Miami (OH) H L 20–37 0.83 0.83 +0 2 2 Tied
0.41
14 Ohio H L 26–31 0 0.7 -0.7 0 1 ✗ 0
0.7
4W / 11G ——— 6 7 — —