Florida State Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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Florida State
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
60.8
Composite Rank: #55  •  4–7 (FBS games)
GC Score
46.3
#76 in FBS
GC Net
-10.9
Raw GC Net
GC Off
32.7
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
43.6
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
75.3
#30 in FBS
MC Net
+0.16
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.32
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
80%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 29 points. Florida State generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 75.3) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 46.3). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Alabama H W 31–17 73.1 10.1 +63 78.9% 77.4% —
2 East Texas A&M H — 91.7 3.2 +88.5 92% 92% ✓
4 Kent State H W 66–10 97.5 1.9 +95.6 95.3% 99.3% ✓
5 Virginia A L 38–46 15.9 49.2 -33.3 33.7% 3.4% —
6 Miami H L 22–28 14.7 72.7 -58 22.4% 8.6% —
7 Pittsburgh H L 31–34 43.7 30.3 +13.5 56% 47.2% —
8 Stanford A L 13–20 9.8 76.7 -66.9 24.6% 0% —
10 Wake Forest H W 42–7 81.8 6.8 +75 83% 80.7% ✓
11 Clemson A L 10–24 4.7 92.4 -87.7 11.7% 0% —
12 Virginia Tech H W 34–14 60.7 11.5 +49.2 73.5% 52.4% —
13 NC State A L 11–21 9.6 84.1 -74.5 24.1% 0% —
14 Florida A L 21–40 7.5 84.8 -77.3 18.7% 0% —
4W / 11G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Alabama H W 31–17 6.27 0 +6.27 2 0 ✓ +2
1
4 Kent State H W 66–10 0.71 0 +0.71 6 0 ✓ +6
0.12
5 Virginia A L 38–46 4.7 2.35 +2.35 2 1 ✓ +2
1
6 Miami H L 22–28 6.93 6.93 +0 2 2 Tied
1
7 Pittsburgh H L 31–34 0 4 -4 0 2 ✗ 0
1
8 Stanford A L 13–20 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
10 Wake Forest H W 42–7 4.75 0 +4.75 3 0 ✓ +3
1
11 Clemson A L 10–24 0 4.42 -4.42 0 2 ✗ 0
1
12 Virginia Tech H W 34–14 3.39 0 +3.39 3 0 ✓ +3
1
13 NC State A L 11–21 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
14 Florida A L 21–40 0 5.85 -5.85 0 3 ✗ 0
1
4W / 11G ——— 18 10 — —