Boise State Composite Control — 2025

Boise State Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally

2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

55.4

Composite Rank: #72 • 8–5 (FBS games)

GC Score

44.3

#81 in FBS

GC Net

-13.4

Raw GC Net

GC Off

21.2

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

34.5

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

66.5

#65 in FBS

MC Net

-0.41

Raw MC Net

MC Off

0.43

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

100%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	South Florida A	L 7–34	17.5	57.8	-40.4	30.6%	5%	—
2	Eastern Washington H	—	97.4	2.2	+95.2	94.6%	99.4%	✓
4	Air Force A	W 49–37	65.1	17.4	+47.7	66.7%	65.8%	—
5	App State H	W 47–14	97	1.8	+95.2	95.6%	100%	✓
6	Notre Dame A	L 7–28	9.3	74.8	-65.5	20%	0%	—
7	New Mexico H	W 41–25	68.4	16.7	+51.7	70.8%	70.4%	—
8	UNLV H	W 38–21	90.8	6	+84.8	84.9%	94.6%	✓
9	Nevada A	W 24–3	61.5	14.6	+46.8	67.8%	55.8%	—
10	Fresno State H	L 7–30	11.2	68.2	-57	28%	0%	—
12	San Diego State A	L 7–17	10.6	69.6	-59	26.5%	0%	—
13	Colorado State H	W 49–21	83.8	5.9	+77.9	85.2%	83%	✓
14	Utah State A	W 25–24	16.9	72.1	-55.2	30.9%	7.3%	—
15	UNLV H	W 38–21	92.8	3.8	+89	90.4%	96.8%	✓
1	Washington NPost	L 10–38	8.5	72.6	-64.1	16.6%	0%	—
8W / 13G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
1	South Florida A	L 7–34	0	5.66	-5.66	0	3	✗ 0	1
4	Air Force A	W 49–37	1.12	0	+1.12	2	0	✓ +2	0.56
5	App State H	W 47–14	0.24	0	+0.24	1	0	✓ +1	0.24
6	Notre Dame A	L 7–28	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
7	New Mexico H	W 41–25	0.54	0	+0.54	2	0	✓ +2	0.27
8	UNLV H	W 56–31	0.47	0	+0.47	1	0	✓ +1	0.47
9	Nevada A	W 24–3	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.03
10	Fresno State H	L 7–30	0	0.45	-0.45	0	1	✗ 0	0.45
12	San Diego State A	L 7–17	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
13	Colorado State H	W 49–21	1.57	0	+1.57	4	0	✓ +4	0.39
14	Utah State A	W 25–24	0.19	0	+0.19	1	0	✓ +1	0.19
15	UNLV H	W 38–21	0.94	0	+0.94	2	0	✓ +2	0.47
1	Washington APost	L 10–38	0	3.88	-3.88	0	2	✗ 0	1
8W / 13G			—	—	—	13	6	—	—