Middle Tennessee Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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Middle Tennessee
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
42.7
Composite Rank: #102  •  3–8 (FBS games)
GC Score
22.3
#122 in FBS
GC Net
-41.5
Raw GC Net
GC Off
16.1
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
57.6
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
63.1
#71 in FBS
MC Net
-0.64
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.44
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
—
When winning MC
MC > GC by 41 points. Middle Tennessee generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 63.1) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 22.3). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Austin Peay H — 5.9 88.4 -82.5 14.8% 0% —
2 Wisconsin A L 10–42 16.2 55.9 -39.7 29.8% 0% —
3 Nevada A W 14–13 11.2 71.2 -60 23.6% 3.1% —
4 Marshall H L 28–42 23 45.6 -22.7 43.1% 10.9% —
5 Kennesaw State A L 16–24 5.7 92.7 -87.1 14.2% 0% —
7 Missouri State H L 20–22 30.8 42.6 -11.8 47.4% 18.2% —
9 Delaware A L 28–31 15.4 67.9 -52.5 26.6% 4.6% —
10 Jacksonville State H L 21–24 48.3 23.6 +24.8 61.5% 43.8% —
11 Florida International H L 30–56 23.2 60 -36.8 33.9% 19.6% —
12 Western Kentucky A L 26–42 9 85.3 -76.3 22.5% 0% —
13 Sam Houston H W 31–17 44.2 30.3 +13.9 60.3% 37.5% —
14 New Mexico State A W 31–24 35.8 27.4 +8.3 50.7% 22.4% —
3W / 11G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 Wisconsin A L 10–42 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
3 Nevada A W 14–13 0.03 0.03 +0 1 1 Tied
0.03
4 Marshall H L 28–42 0.29 0.57 -0.28 1 2 ✗ 1
0.29
5 Kennesaw State A L 16–24 0 0.62 -0.62 0 1 ✗ 0
0.62
7 Missouri State H L 20–22 0 0.47 -0.47 0 1 ✗ 0
0.47
9 Delaware A L 28–31 0.78 0.78 +0 1 1 Tied
0.78
10 Jacksonville State H L 21–24 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.17
11 Florida International H L 30–56 0.28 1.7 -1.42 1 6 ✗ 1
0.28
12 Western Kentucky A L 26–42 0.62 0.62 +0 1 1 Tied
0.62
13 Sam Houston H W 31–17 0.02 0.02 +0 1 1 Tied
0.02
14 New Mexico State A W 31–24 0 0.16 -0.16 0 1 ✗ 0
0.16
3W / 11G ——— 6 15 — —