Duke Composite Control — 2025

Duke Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally

2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

Composite Rank: #63 • 8–5 (FBS games)

GC Score

58.7

#44 in FBS

GC Net

+4.9

Raw GC Net

GC Off

41.1

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

36.1

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

59.3

#79 in FBS

MC Net

-0.88

Raw MC Net

MC Off

0.89

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

100%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	Elon H	—	89.3	2.2	+87	94.4%	100%	✓
2	Illinois H	L 19–45	18.9	59.7	-40.8	33.6%	6.8%	—
3	Tulane A	L 27–34	4.3	93.1	-88.8	10.7%	0%	—
4	NC State H	W 45–33	52.5	27.5	+25	63.7%	47.7%	—
5	Syracuse A	W 38–3	84.1	7.1	+77.1	83%	80.4%	✓
6	California A	W 45–21	51.4	35.6	+15.8	57.1%	52%	—
8	Georgia Tech H	L 18–27	20.2	46.9	-26.7	40.3%	8.6%	—
10	Clemson A	W 46–45	35.2	35.2	-0	47.2%	27.4%	—
11	UConn A	L 34–37	26.3	46.7	-20.5	42.6%	7.8%	—
12	Virginia H	W 27–20	7.5	85.2	-77.7	18.7%	0%	—
13	North Carolina A	W 32–25	50.9	25.7	+25.2	59.2%	46.3%	—
14	Wake Forest H	W 49–32	89.1	7.2	+82	82.1%	92.2%	✓
15	Virginia N	W 27–20	68.4	14.2	+54.2	67.3%	61%	✓
1	Arizona State NPost	W 42–39	52.6	19.8	+32.8	63.5%	50.8%	—
9W / 13G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
2	Illinois H	L 19–45	0	7.56	-7.56	0	3	✗ 0	1
3	Tulane A	L 27–34	1.1	3.31	-2.21	1	3	✗ 1	1
4	NC State H	W 45–33	2.68	1.34	+1.34	2	1	✓ +2	1
5	Syracuse A	W 38–3	0.67	0	+0.67	2	0	✓ +2	0.33
6	California A	W 45–21	4.27	1.07	+3.2	4	1	✓ +4	1
8	Georgia Tech H	L 18–27	2.22	6.65	-4.43	1	3	✗ 1	1
10	Clemson A	W 46–45	2.21	4.42	-2.21	1	2	✗ 1	1
11	UConn A	L 34–37	0	2.39	-2.39	0	3	✗ 0	0.8
12	Virginia H	L 17–34	0	4.7	-4.7	0	2	✗ 0	1
13	North Carolina A	W 32–25	1.79	0.9	+0.89	2	1	✓ +2	0.9
14	Wake Forest H	W 49–32	1.58	0	+1.58	1	0	✓ +1	1
15	Virginia A	W 27–20	0	2.35	-2.35	0	1	✗ 0	1
1	Arizona State HPost	W 42–39	1.95	1.95	+0	1	1	Tied	1
8W / 13G			—	—	—	15	21	—	—