2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
47
Composite Rank: #90
•
4–7
(FBS games)
GC Score
32.7
#103 in FBS
GC Net
-28.2
Raw GC Net
GC Off
21.3
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
49.5
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
61.2
#75 in FBS
MC Net
-0.75
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.45
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
50%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 29 points.
Baylor generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 61.2)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 32.7).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Auburn H | L 24–38 | 18.3 | 68.4 | -50.1 |
| 2 | SMU A | W 48–45 | 12.9 | 64.6 | -51.7 |
| 3 | Samford H | — | 94.1 | 3.8 | +90.3 |
| 4 | Arizona State H | L 24–27 | 21.1 | 35.7 | -14.6 |
| 5 | Oklahoma State A | W 45–27 | 72 | 11.5 | +60.5 |
| 6 | Kansas State H | W 35–34 | 27.2 | 42.3 | -15.1 |
| 8 | TCU A | L 36–42 | 10.3 | 66.9 | -56.6 |
| 9 | Cincinnati A | L 20–41 | 4.2 | 93.1 | -88.9 |
| 10 | UCF H | W 30–3 | 94 | 3 | +90.9 |
| 12 | Utah H | L 28–55 | 9 | 79 | -70 |
| 13 | Arizona A | L 17–41 | 21.2 | 49.7 | -28.6 |
| 14 | Houston H | L 24–31 | 10.8 | 76.1 | -65.2 |
| 4W / 11G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 1 | Auburn H | L 24–38 | 0 | 4.84 | -4.84 |
| 2 | SMU A | W 48–45 | 0 | 2.1 | -2.1 |
| 4 | Arizona State H | L 24–27 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 5 | Oklahoma State A | W 45–27 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 6 | Kansas State H | W 35–34 | 0 | 1.59 | -1.59 |
| 8 | TCU A | L 36–42 | 2.17 | 2.17 | +0 |
| 9 | Cincinnati A | L 20–41 | 2.39 | 4.77 | -2.38 |
| 10 | UCF H | W 30–3 | 1.42 | 0 | +1.42 |
| 12 | Utah H | L 28–55 | 0 | 4.63 | -4.63 |
| 13 | Arizona A | L 17–41 | 0 | 1.36 | -1.36 |
| 14 | Houston H | L 24–31 | 2.55 | 1.28 | +1.27 |
| 4W / 11G | — | — | — | ||