Virginia Composite Control — 2024 | Punt & Rally
2024 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
43.4
Composite Rank: #101  •  4–7 (FBS games)
GC Score
28.6
#121 in FBS
GC Net
-38.3
Raw GC Net
GC Off
17.4
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
55.7
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
58.2
#81 in FBS
MC Net
-0.79
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.72
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
66.7%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 30 points. Virginia generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 58.2) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 28.6). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Richmond H 92.7 3.7 +89 90.7% 92.3%
2 Wake Forest A W 31–30 21.2 60.9 -39.7 38.9% 11.3%
3 Maryland H L 13–27 20.4 53.2 -32.8 33.7% 2.3%
4 Coastal Carolina A W 43–24 89.8 5.9 +83.9 85.2% 88.5%
6 Boston College H W 24–14 18.6 69.4 -50.8 27.5% 10.9%
7 Louisville H L 20–24 25.5 53.1 -27.6 34.5% 13.7%
8 Clemson A L 31–48 15.1 63.4 -48.3 27.2% 7.6%
9 North Carolina H L 14–41 7.4 78.3 -70.8 15.5% 0%
11 Pittsburgh A W 24–19 46.6 27.4 +19.2 58.7% 38.6%
12 Notre Dame A L 14–35 9.2 77.9 -68.7 22.9% 0%
13 SMU H L 7–33 5.8 85.1 -79.3 14.4% 0%
14 Virginia Tech A L 17–37 5.9 89.9 -84 14.8% 0%
4W / 11G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 Wake Forest A W 31–30 0.43 0.43 +0 1 1 Tied
0.43
3 Maryland H L 13–27 0.6 1.19 -0.59 1 2 ✗ 1
0.6
4 Coastal Carolina A W 43–24 0.9 0 +0.9 3 0 ✓ +3
0.3
6 Boston College H W 24–14 2.36 0 +2.36 2 0 ✓ +2
1
7 Louisville H L 20–24 4 2 +2 2 1 ✓ +2
1
8 Clemson A L 31–48 2.14 6.42 -4.28 1 3 ✗ 1
1
9 North Carolina H L 14–41 0 0.9 -0.9 0 1 ✗ 0
0.9
11 Pittsburgh A W 24–19 1.13 2.27 -1.14 1 2 ✗ 1
1
12 Notre Dame A L 14–35 0 3.32 -3.32 0 1 ✗ 0
1
13 SMU H L 7–33 0 2.31 -2.31 0 1 ✗ 0
1
14 Virginia Tech A L 17–37 0 5.43 -5.43 0 3 ✗ 0
1
4W / 11G 11 15