2024 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
43.4
Composite Rank: #101
•
4–7
(FBS games)
GC Score
28.6
#121 in FBS
GC Net
-38.3
Raw GC Net
GC Off
17.4
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
55.7
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
58.2
#81 in FBS
MC Net
-0.79
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.72
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
66.7%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 30 points.
Virginia generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 58.2)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 28.6).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Richmond H | — | 92.7 | 3.7 | +89 |
| 2 | Wake Forest A | W 31–30 | 21.2 | 60.9 | -39.7 |
| 3 | Maryland H | L 13–27 | 20.4 | 53.2 | -32.8 |
| 4 | Coastal Carolina A | W 43–24 | 89.8 | 5.9 | +83.9 |
| 6 | Boston College H | W 24–14 | 18.6 | 69.4 | -50.8 |
| 7 | Louisville H | L 20–24 | 25.5 | 53.1 | -27.6 |
| 8 | Clemson A | L 31–48 | 15.1 | 63.4 | -48.3 |
| 9 | North Carolina H | L 14–41 | 7.4 | 78.3 | -70.8 |
| 11 | Pittsburgh A | W 24–19 | 46.6 | 27.4 | +19.2 |
| 12 | Notre Dame A | L 14–35 | 9.2 | 77.9 | -68.7 |
| 13 | SMU H | L 7–33 | 5.8 | 85.1 | -79.3 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech A | L 17–37 | 5.9 | 89.9 | -84 |
| 4W / 11G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 2 | Wake Forest A | W 31–30 | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0 |
| 3 | Maryland H | L 13–27 | 0.6 | 1.19 | -0.59 |
| 4 | Coastal Carolina A | W 43–24 | 0.9 | 0 | +0.9 |
| 6 | Boston College H | W 24–14 | 2.36 | 0 | +2.36 |
| 7 | Louisville H | L 20–24 | 4 | 2 | +2 |
| 8 | Clemson A | L 31–48 | 2.14 | 6.42 | -4.28 |
| 9 | North Carolina H | L 14–41 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 11 | Pittsburgh A | W 24–19 | 1.13 | 2.27 | -1.14 |
| 12 | Notre Dame A | L 14–35 | 0 | 3.32 | -3.32 |
| 13 | SMU H | L 7–33 | 0 | 2.31 | -2.31 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech A | L 17–37 | 0 | 5.43 | -5.43 |
| 4W / 11G | — | — | — | ||