Mississippi State Composite Control — 2024 | Punt & Rally
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Mississippi State
2024 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
32.2
Composite Rank: #124  •  1–10 (FBS games)
GC Score
18.9
#132 in FBS
GC Net
-52
Raw GC Net
GC Off
13.4
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
65.4
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
45.4
#110 in FBS
MC Net
-1.63
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.5
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 27 points. Mississippi State generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 45.4) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 18.9). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Eastern Kentucky H — 96 3.1 +92.9 92.4% 98% ✓
2 Arizona State A L 23–30 7.1 87.5 -80.4 17.7% 0% —
3 Toledo H L 17–41 5.1 88.5 -83.4 12.8% 0% —
4 Florida H L 28–45 8 77.7 -69.7 20% 0% —
5 Texas A L 13–35 10.3 75.7 -65.4 25.7% 0% —
7 Georgia A L 31–41 10.5 74.9 -64.4 23.1% 0% —
8 Texas A&M H L 24–34 14.8 67.3 -52.5 28.3% 4.7% —
9 Arkansas H L 25–58 6.3 86.5 -80.2 15.7% 0% —
10 Massachusetts H W 45–20 60.7 20.9 +39.8 70.3% 54.8% —
11 Tennessee A L 14–33 13.1 71.5 -58.4 31.3% 1.8% —
13 Missouri H L 20–39 11.3 75.4 -64 22.1% 1.4% —
14 Ole Miss A L 14–26 20.8 56.5 -35.7 36.9% 5.7% —
1W / 11G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 Arizona State A L 23–30 2.35 4.7 -2.35 1 2 ✗ 1
1
3 Toledo H L 17–41 0 0.47 -0.47 0 1 ✗ 0
0.47
4 Florida H L 28–45 0 6.05 -6.05 0 3 ✗ 0
1
5 Texas A L 13–35 3.41 3.41 +0 1 1 Tied
1
7 Georgia A L 31–41 3.09 9.28 -6.19 1 3 ✗ 1
1
8 Texas A&M H L 24–34 0 3.93 -3.93 0 2 ✗ 0
1
9 Arkansas H L 25–58 1.79 10.75 -8.96 1 6 ✗ 1
1
10 Massachusetts H W 45–20 0.84 0.21 +0.63 4 1 ✓ +4
0.21
11 Tennessee A L 14–33 0 4.53 -4.53 0 2 ✗ 0
1
13 Missouri H L 20–39 0 1.94 -1.94 0 1 ✗ 0
1
14 Ole Miss A L 14–26 0 3.33 -3.33 0 1 ✗ 0
1
1W / 11G ——— 8 23 — —