Air Force Composite Control — 2024 | Punt & Rally
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Air Force
2024 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
45.6
Composite Rank: #95  •  4–7 (FBS games)
GC Score
31.1
#115 in FBS
GC Net
-34.8
Raw GC Net
GC Off
15.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
50.3
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
60.1
#77 in FBS
MC Net
-0.66
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.61
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 29 points. Air Force generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 60.1) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 31.1). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Merrimack H — 81.5 9.4 +72 76.4% 80.8% ✓
2 San José State H L 7–17 5.9 88.1 -82.2 14.8% 0% —
3 Baylor A L 3–31 14 63.7 -49.7 30.9% 4.8% —
5 Wyoming A L 19–31 23.6 52.5 -29 39.2% 12.5% —
6 Navy H L 7–34 4.2 87.8 -83.6 10.6% 0% —
7 New Mexico A L 37–52 11.3 69.2 -57.9 24% 0% —
8 Colorado State H L 13–21 5.2 81.6 -76.3 13% 0% —
10 Army A L 3–20 12.4 67.6 -55.2 31% 0% —
11 Fresno State H W 36–28 26.2 42.6 -16.5 42% 6.7% —
12 Oregon State H W 28–0 85.3 7.3 +78 81.8% 83.3% ✓
13 Nevada A W 22–19 46 24.9 +21.2 57.3% 33.8% —
14 San Diego State A W 31–20 78 9.5 +68.5 76.3% 72% ✓
4W / 11G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 San José State H L 7–17 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.51
3 Baylor A L 3–31 0 5.93 -5.93 0 3 ✗ 0
1
5 Wyoming A L 19–31 0.34 0.34 +0 2 2 Tied
0.17
6 Navy H L 7–34 0 1.15 -1.15 0 1 ✗ 0
1
7 New Mexico A L 37–52 0.16 0.31 -0.15 1 2 ✗ 1
0.16
8 Colorado State H L 13–21 0.75 0.75 +0 1 1 Tied
0.75
10 Army A L 3–20 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
11 Fresno State H W 36–28 2.48 0.62 +1.86 4 1 ✓ +4
0.62
12 Oregon State H W 28–0 0.25 0 +0.25 1 0 ✓ +1
0.25
13 Nevada A W 22–19 0.31 0.31 +0 1 1 Tied
0.31
14 San Diego State A W 31–20 0.22 0 +0.22 2 0 ✓ +2
0.11
4W / 11G ——— 12 11 — —